Saturday, October 31, 2026
NVDA stock | D chart | Down 17% | Below EMA 200
Day chart | EMA 200 | Down 17%
- NVDA stock down below EMA 200
- Down 17%
- From peak pont
- What is next?
- 5 min chart showing rebound - If you have stocks with loss, you may think about exchange your loss stock to NVDA stock
- Most likely NVDA stock should be above EMA 200
- Worst case - AI bubble burst - NVDA stock down more than 5% below EMA
- 5 min chart - green line - 205 - EMA 200 price - supposed to be strong support
- How to read chart of 5 min chart NVDA stock last Friday?
MRVL stock | 5 min chart | TB candlestick pattern
Lesson learned
- Purchased 100 shares 30 minutes before market close
- MRVL stock went up 3 dollars - Market closed - Should sell - avoid overnight risk
- MRVL stock - Buy Lite stock - Risk 13% off
- Followed by 10% off Friday - After market close, MRVL stock went down 2 dollars to 8 dollars
- Should look into the issues, and then sold MRVL stock
- Before market open, 3:30 AM, sold 100 shares of NOW stock and FTNT stock
- FTNT stock gain $850 US dollars, Now stock loss $160 US dollars
- Should sell 100 shares of GOOG and MRVL stock - 3:30 AM
- Think about panic sell may stop any time - Take it seriously
- Sell MRVL stock before market close - Buy back when MRVL stock crashed 10% - Buy dip can recover the loss
- Goog stock loss is around $1800 US dollars
- Do not buy dip - Should wait candlestick pattern - TB reversal pattern
- 15 min chart show target band - 191 US dollars
- Later 15 min chart showed impulse leg - target band $180/ share
Replay bar count No. 22
Friday, October 30, 2026
Nov 2 - 6 2026 - Earnings - AAPL, QCOM, PFE, AMD, AMGN, PFE, MCD, COP
What a day, what a week! The market has been wrestling for months with the appeal of the potential productivity of artificial intelligence (AI) versus the economics of the billions of dollars invested to get there.
It’s been a tough match. As we noted at the start of earnings season, we expected results from AI-related tech companies to either solidify the AI spending story or keep investors questioning it. It looks like we might have an answer: the accountability needed to justify AI spending appears to be starting to come to roost.
This week’s tech selloff follows a heavy week of earnings from technology and semiconductor companies that disappointed investors, who appeared to move on to other sectors. All three major indices lost value but ended Friday’s session off intraday lows.
The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite wiped out 2.86%, and the S&P 500 Index gave back 1.82%. A few tech stocks on the Dow Jones Industrial Average weighed on the index, down 1.09%. In all, the tech selloff erased more than $1 trillion in value.
The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX Index) sent a warning signal, nearing 24 in intraday trading. Anything above 20 is considered cautious. By the session’s end, the VIX Index was 12.91% higher but measuring just below 20.
Among the biggest decliners were Intel (INTC) shares, down 28.5%, marking its worst intraday decline since 1974, according to CNBC. SanDisk (SNDK) lost 13.8%, Micron (MU) dropped 5.3%, and Marvell (MRVL) backtracked by 10%. Nvidia (NVDA) fell by 4.2% and lost its $5 trillion market capitalization in the process.
But let’s be clear. This week’s selloff doesn’t mean the AI technology boom is ending or the demand is fading. It appears to signal that Wall Street is shifting how it balances spending with still-uncertain returns. And, here’s the thing, no one has an answer.
The fallout was meaningful, but it wasn’t an across-the-board slump. On the S&P 500 Index, financials, healthcare and energy sectors all ended solidly in the green as investors turned to those defensive stocks. The healthcare sector climbed to a 52-week high after pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies reported strong earnings.
Investors also moved into Treasury bonds, considered a safe haven amid market volatility. Yields dropped as prices rose. The 10-year yield fell to 4.92%, while the 30-year fell to 5.31%.
Other issues also impacted trading today. Crude oil prices reversed earlier-week pullbacks to end the session higher. WTI Crude climbed above $104 per barrel, up 2.2%, while Brent rose 2.45% to just below $118 a barrel as security risks escalated in the Middle East and reports of threats of more conflict after next week’s midterm elections surfaced.
The good news is the week is over, and we have the weekend to see whether cooler heads prevail. Monday’s trading could paint a whole different picture: The bottom pickers have come in on every down mover over the last 10 years. Will it happen again?
Earnings on the calendar next week should give us more insight into the tech selloff as well as strength in healthcare, energy and consumer spending. Here’s the lineup we’ll be watching: Apple (AAPL) reporting on Monday; Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Amgen (AMGN) and Pfizer (PFE) on Tuesday; McDonald’s (MCD) and Qualcomm (QCOM) on Wednesday; and ConocoPhillips (COP) on Thursday.
Happy Trading!
© 2026 Cboe Exchange, Inc. All rights reserved.
GOOG stock | 5 min chart | Oct 30 2026
How to read chart?
- 5 min chart bar count 24, 25, 26, 27
- Pivot point - $281.86 / share
- Bar count 27 - downtrend momentum bar - height bigger than 23 - It should start a downtrend - Need to cut the loss
- Still has 4 bars to go before it goes down big amount - updraftwith supply box on 5 min chart
- The low price of bar count 27 is lower than bar count 23
- Stop loss - The way to survive Goog stock as an investor - Stop loss and avoid downtrend
- Bar count No 27 - went cross EMA 5 red color, EMA 9 (green color), EMA 21 ( yellow color)
- Usually Bar count No 27 crossed down EMA 9 - Stop loss right away - Do not waste time since it is the second downtrend bar
- Take some risk, apply the decision based on 5 min chart reading - Will benefit long term
- Usually GOOG stock will not consolidate more than 1.6% in a normal day range.
Lumentum acquisition schedule next week? WSB discussion on this. In Chinese
关于**邁威爾科技（Marvell Technology, MRVL）**拟收購光網絡與雷射巨頭 Lumentum（LITE） 的最新進展與 WallStreetBets (WSB) 的討論焦點摘要如下：
1. 收購時間表與最新進度 (Acquisition Schedule)
- 預計宣佈時間： 根據彭博社、路透社等多家主流財經媒體於 2026年10月28日至29日 的最新報導，邁威爾與 Lumentum 的談判已進入後期（advanced talks），最快可能在下週（11月的第一週）正式宣佈協議。
- 關鍵財報節點： Lumentum 預計將於 2026年11月5日（下週四） 盤後公佈 2027 財年第一季財報。市場普遍預期，如果收購案屬實，可能會配合財報日或在財報日前夕正式定案。
2. WallStreetBets (WSB) 與散戶討論焦點
🐻 熊市觀點與擔憂（為什麼 Marvell 股價大跌 13%）
- 股權稀釋風險（Dilution Risk）： 由於 Marvell 帳面上僅有約 39億至40億美元 的現金，面對高達 800 億美元的龐然大物，該交易必然會採取「全股票（All-Stock）」的形式進行。WSB 網民痛批這將嚴重稀釋 Marvell 現有股東的權益。
- 「溢價極低」的隱憂： 最新消息指出，這筆全股票收購可能不會給予 Lumentum 股東太高的溢價（Limited Premium）。這導致 Lumentum（LITE）的股價在消息公佈首日大漲後迅速回吐，散戶對短期內套利空間（Arbitrage）的熱情大打折扣。
🐂 牛市觀點與長線邏輯（AI 光通信的稀缺性）
- 輝達（NVIDIA）的共同背書： WSB 用戶瘋狂轉發一項宏觀背景——輝達（Nvidia）此前已分別向 Marvell 和 Lumentum 各注資了 20億美元。Marvell 收購 Lumentum 是為了在 AI 數據中心集群從「銅纜傳輸」轉向「光路傳輸（CPO/共封裝光學）」的過程中，徹底掌控不可或缺的磷化銦激光器和光電組件。
- 產能早已賣空： 散戶看好 Lumentum 的核心理由是其執行長此前透露，公司的人工智能光學器件訂單已完全售罄，產能直接排到了 2029 年初。
您是否想了解 Lumentum 11月5日財報的具體市場預期，或是需要分析下週可能出現的期權套利策略？
Lumentum acquisition schedule next week? WSB discussion on this. In Chinese
关于**邁威爾科技（Marvell Technology, MRVL）**拟收購光網絡與雷射巨頭 Lumentum（LITE） 的最新進展與 WallStreetBets (WSB) 的討論焦點摘要如下：
1. 收購時間表與最新進度 (Acquisition Schedule)
- 預計宣佈時間： 根據彭博社、路透社等多家主流財經媒體於 2026年10月28日至29日 的最新報導，邁威爾與 Lumentum 的談判已進入後期（advanced talks），最快可能在下週（11月的第一週）正式宣佈協議。
- 關鍵財報節點： Lumentum 預計將於 2026年11月5日（下週四） 盤後公佈 2027 財年第一季財報。市場普遍預期，如果收購案屬實，可能會配合財報日或在財報日前夕正式定案。
2. WallStreetBets (WSB) 與散戶討論焦點
🐻 熊市觀點與擔憂（為什麼 Marvell 股價大跌 13%）
- 股權稀釋風險（Dilution Risk）： 由於 Marvell 帳面上僅有約 39億至40億美元 的現金，面對高達 800 億美元的龐然大物，該交易必然會採取「全股票（All-Stock）」的形式進行。WSB 網民痛批這將嚴重稀釋 Marvell 現有股東的權益。
- 「溢價極低」的隱憂： 最新消息指出，這筆全股票收購可能不會給予 Lumentum 股東太高的溢價（Limited Premium）。這導致 Lumentum（LITE）的股價在消息公佈首日大漲後迅速回吐，散戶對短期內套利空間（Arbitrage）的熱情大打折扣。
🐂 牛市觀點與長線邏輯（AI 光通信的稀缺性）
- 輝達（NVIDIA）的共同背書： WSB 用戶瘋狂轉發一項宏觀背景——輝達（Nvidia）此前已分別向 Marvell 和 Lumentum 各注資了 20億美元。Marvell 收購 Lumentum 是為了在 AI 數據中心集群從「銅纜傳輸」轉向「光路傳輸（CPO/共封裝光學）」的過程中，徹底掌控不可或缺的磷化銦激光器和光電組件。
- 產能早已賣空： 散戶看好 Lumentum 的核心理由是其執行長此前透露，公司的人工智能光學器件訂單已完全售罄，產能直接排到了 2029 年初。
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