Powell talk today main highlights so far

 In today's Federal Reserve meeting on March 18, 2026, Fed Chair 

Jerome Powell

 and the committee held interest rates steady within the current range of 3.5% to 3.75%. While the Fed signaled that it remains on a path toward one rate cut this year, the overall tone was cautious due to new global uncertainties. 

Key Highlights

• Rates Unchanged: The Fed opted to hold rates, maintaining its stance that more evidence is needed before further easing.
• Economic Outlook: Powell emphasized that while the economy has shown surprising strength, recent "uncertain" global events—specifically developments in the Iran war—have added significant variables to the Fed's outlook.
• One Cut Projected: New quarterly projections suggest that officials now expect only one quarter-point reduction through the end of 2026, a shift toward a "higher-for-longer" approach.
• Inflation & Tariffs: Powell reiterated that inflation remains slightly elevated above the 2% target, with tariffs continuing to put upward pressure on goods prices.
• Labor Market: The job market is described as "gradually cooling," and while unemployment is still low, the Fed is watching for increased downside risks to employment. 

Policy & Independence

• Independence Stance: Amid ongoing political pressure and a transition toward a new nominee (Kevin Warsh), Powell strongly defended the independence of the central bank, stating that policy must remain data-driven and free from political influence.
• Wait-and-See: The Fed remains "well-positioned to wait" for more clarity on how trade policies and fiscal changes will impact the long-term economy.

TT stock business 快速分析

 特灵科技 Trane Technologies (TT) 是一家专注于全球暖通空调（HVAC）和运输温控解决方案的工业领导者。

业务核心与优势

• 双品牌策略：拥有全球领先的商用/家用空调品牌 Trane 以及冷链运输品牌 Thermo King。
• 脱碳趋势受益者：随着全球建筑法规对节能减排的要求提升，其高能效系统需求强劲。
• 高经常性收益：服务和零件业务（Aftermarket）占比高，提供了稳定的现金流 GuruFocus。

财务表现简析

• 增长稳健：收入和盈利持续实现内生性增长，近期受数据中心降温需求推动，商用业务表现尤为突出 MSN 财经。
• 强劲现金流：经营活动产生的现金流量净额通常高于净利润，显示出极高的盈利质量 GuruFocus。
• 股东回报：具有稳定的股息支付历史，并伴随积极的股票回购计划 Fintel。

快速估值参考

• 溢价交易：由于其在环保工业领域的稀缺性，其市盈率（P/E）通常高于传统工业股。
• 分析师预期：多数分析师对其维持正面评价，目标价反映了对其未来 1-2 年持续增长的信心 MSN 财经。

THE FINAL WARNING: Why The US Stock Market Will Officially 'Reset' This Week

 Here is the link.

687 views Mar 17, 2026 UNITED STATES

In this episode of Market & History, JOHN AG breaks down a critical shift happening right now in the U.S. stock market — one that history has only signaled twice before in the past century. This is not a prediction of an imminent crash. This is not fear-based commentary. Here is the link.

This is a data-driven analysis of a market “reset” — a concept often misunderstood by the average investor, but deeply rooted in decades of financial history. A reset is not the end. It is a repricing of expectations — and for informed investors, it can be the beginning of opportunity. 📊 What this video explains: • Why current market conditions resemble only two historical periods: 1929 and 2000 • What the Shiller CAPE ratio (~39.8) is signaling about long-term returns • Why a short-term market bounce does not equal a true recovery • The significance of the S&P 500 breaking below its 50-day moving average • Why the Nasdaq falling below its 200-day moving average matters • How extreme market concentration (top 10 stocks ≈ 35%) increases risk • The real meaning of a “market reset” vs. a crash • How oil prices above $100 are feeding inflation and market pressure • Why Federal Reserve policy decisions this week are critical • The role of interest rates in determining stock valuations • What stagflation means — and why it’s dangerous for equities • Bull vs. bear arguments in today’s market (AI growth vs. valuation risk) 📉 Key idea: The Market is Resetting The U.S. stock market is currently facing a convergence of four powerful forces: Historically high valuations (CAPE near dot-com levels) Slowing growth + persistent inflation (stagflation risk) Elevated oil prices driven by geopolitical tension Federal Reserve uncertainty and leadership transition These factors do not require a crash to create impact. They simply require time and repricing. 📈 What history suggests • Average intra-year drawdowns (~14%) are normal • Corrections of 10–20% are routine, not catastrophic • Long-term returns depend heavily on entry valuation • Periods of high CAPE historically lead to lower future returns

IT JUST HAPPENED: The $8 Trillion 'Silent Bank Run' Destroying Wall Street

Here is the link. 

Something massive is happening inside the US financial system right now—and almost nobody is talking about it. There are no panic headlines. No long lines outside banks. No breaking news alerts flashing across your screen. And yet, trillions of dollars are quietly leaving the traditional banking system at a pace never seen before in modern history. This video uncovers the truth behind what experts are now calling a “Silent Bank Run.” It begins with a simple story. A financially responsible individual, doing everything right—saving consistently, avoiding unnecessary debt, building an emergency fund—only to realize that her bank is paying virtually nothing in return. While her savings sit idle earning near-zero interest, a massive shift is already underway behind the scenes. As of March 2026, over $8.27 trillion has moved into money market funds—an all-time record. This is not random. This is not panic. This is a calculated, rational migration driven by one simple reality: savers are no longer willing to accept near-zero returns when significantly higher yields are available elsewhere. But this shift is bigger than just interest rates. This video breaks down how this unprecedented movement of capital is quietly reshaping the entire financial system—from banks and lending to mortgages, small businesses, and the broader economy. We explore how both institutional investors and everyday individuals are participating in this transition, and why traditional banks—especially regional and community banks—are now facing a new kind of pressure that could impact credit availability across the economy. We also connect the dots between this silent migration and major recent events, including the 2023 regional bank failures, the rapid rise of digital bank runs, and the evolving behavior of the Federal Reserve as it attempts to stabilize the system through interest rate adjustments. At the same time, global uncertainty is accelerating the trend. Rising geopolitical tensions and energy market disruptions are pushing investors toward safer, more liquid assets—further fueling the growth of money market funds and reinforcing the structural shift already in motion. This is not just a financial story. This is a real-world shift with direct consequences. It affects: Where your money is safest How much your savings actually grow Your ability to get a mortgage The availability of business loans Your job security and economic stability The reality is simple: the rules of the financial system are changing—but most people are still operating based on outdated assumptions. This video is not about fear. It’s about awareness. Because the difference between those who adapt early and those who react late often comes down to one thing—understanding what is happening before it becomes obvious to everyone else. Watch until the end to fully understand how this silent transformation could impact your financial future—and why the decisions being made right now, quietly and steadily, could shape the next phase of the global economy.

How this was made

Market & History | 周一“死亡交叉”：美国银行股为何明日暴跌

 

周一“死亡交叉”：美国银行股为何明日暴跌

链接 在此。

浏览量：15,598 2026年3月14日 美国

当金融市场中最令人担忧的技术形态之一开始出现在主要银行股中时，会发生什么？ 在本视频中，我们将分析正在几家美国主要银行股（包括摩根大通、美国银行、花旗集团和富国银行）中形成的“死亡交叉”技术形态。当**50日移动平均线跌破200日移动平均线**时，就会出现这种形态。许多交易员和市场分析师密切关注这一信号，因为它可能预示着长期市场动能的潜在转变。 当技术信号与更广泛的经济不确定性同时出现时，金融市场往往会做出强烈反应。近几日，由于通胀数据、利率预期、全球能源市场波动以及对未来经济增长的担忧等多种因素的影响，银行股面临下行压力。 在本视频中，我们将深入剖析市场的技术结构，并解释分析师如何解读通常在金融资产出现重大趋势转变之前的四个阶段。 本分析涵盖的主题包括： • 死亡交叉形态的定义及其在金融市场中的形成方式 ；• 交易者和机构投资者广泛使用移动平均线的原因 ；• 类似技术形态在重大市场压力事件中出现的历史案例 ；• 银行股如何应对利率周期和经济不确定性 ；• 通胀数据、美联储政策和金融板块表现之间的关系 ；• XLF 等 ETF 的走势如何影响个股； • 如何使用 RSI、移动平均线和行业 ETF 等技术指标分析市场动能。 该视频还探讨了当前影响金融板块的更广泛的经济压力，包括利率动态、存款竞争、技术投资成本以及企业贷款市场的变化。通过分析技术信号和宏观经济背景，观众可以更好地理解市场参与者如何解读银行业风险。 本内容旨在帮助观众理解**专业分析师如何利用公开数据、图表形态和历史对比来评估市场趋势**。理解这些分析工具可以帮助投资者和市场观察者更清晰地解读财经新闻，并认识到技术信号如何影响市场情绪。 本分析中引用的资料来源包括公开的市场数据、历史价格图表、经济研究报告以及金融行业广泛讨论的技术指标。 教育及信息免责声明： 本视频仅供**教育、信息和分析之用**。内容基于公开的市场数据、技术分析方法和历史金融事件进行探讨。本视频**不构成任何财务、投资或交易建议**。市场状况瞬息万变，观众在做出任何投资决策前，应自行进行独立研究并咨询合格的金融专业人士。创作者不对分析中提及的未来结果做出任何保证。 本频道致力于解读*全球市场、经济趋势、金融历史和地缘政治发展*，旨在帮助观众更好地理解塑造现代经济的各种力量。

The Monday "Death Cross": Why US Bank Stocks are Crashing Tomorrow

Here is the link. 

15,598 views Mar 14, 2026 UNITED STATES

What happens when one of the most feared technical patterns in financial markets begins to appear in major banking stocks? In this video, we analyze the *“Death Cross” technical pattern* that is forming across several major U.S. banking stocks, including JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo. This pattern occurs when the **50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average**, a signal that many traders and market analysts watch closely because it can indicate a potential shift in long-term market momentum. Financial markets often respond strongly to technical signals when they appear alongside broader economic uncertainty. In recent days, banking stocks have faced pressure due to a combination of factors including inflation data, interest-rate expectations, global energy market volatility, and concerns about future economic growth. In this video we break down the technical structure of the market and explain how analysts interpret the four stages that typically precede a major trend shift in financial assets. Topics covered in this analysis include: • What the Death Cross pattern is and how it forms in financial markets • Why moving averages are widely used by traders and institutional investors • Historical examples where similar technical patterns appeared during major market stress events • How banking sector stocks react to interest-rate cycles and economic uncertainty • The relationship between inflation data, Federal Reserve policy, and financial sector performance • Why ETF movements such as XLF can influence individual bank stocks • How technical indicators like RSI, moving averages, and sector ETFs are used to analyze market momentum The video also explores broader economic pressures currently affecting the financial sector, including interest-rate dynamics, deposit competition, technological investment costs, and shifts in corporate lending markets. By examining both technical signals and macroeconomic context, viewers can better understand how market participants interpret risk within the banking sector. This content is designed to help viewers understand **how professional analysts evaluate market trends using publicly available data, chart patterns, and historical comparisons**. Understanding these analytical tools can help investors and market observers interpret financial news more clearly and recognize how technical signals influence market sentiment. Sources referenced in this analysis include publicly available market data, historical price charts, economic research reports, and widely discussed technical indicators used across the financial industry. Educational & Informational Disclaimer: This video is created strictly for **educational, informational, and analytical purposes only**. The content reflects discussion of publicly available market data, technical analysis methods, and historical financial events. It does **not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice**. Market conditions can change rapidly, and viewers should conduct their own independent research and consult qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions. The creator does not guarantee future outcomes discussed in the analysis. This channel focuses on explaining *global markets, economic trends, financial history, and geopolitical developments* to help viewers better understand the forces shaping the modern economy.

How this was made

GOOD stock | D chart | Uptrend starting from March 26 2026

 

Questrade.com | Marginal account | Interest charge

 

How to use the VWAP indicator

 

How to use the VWAP indicator

 VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is an intraday technical indicator that combines price and volume to reflect the average cost of holding positions within the day. It is used as follows: prices above the VWAP are considered bullish (long), and prices below it are considered bearish (short). Its main functions are to determine trends, identify support and resistance levels (buy on pullbacks that don't break the support/resistance level, sell on rallies that don't break the resistance/resistance level), and guide entry and exit points for intraday trading.

How to use and strategies for VWAP metrics

VWAP is calculated automatically on most trading platforms (such as Futu NiuNiu ) and is particularly suitable for intraday analysis. 

1. Determine the trend of the day (trend confirmation)
   • Uptrend:  When the price is trading above the VWAP line and the VWAP line is sloping upwards, it indicates that the bulls are in control of the market.
   • Downtrend:  When the price is trading below the VWAP line and the VWAP line is sloping downwards, it indicates that sellers are in control of the market.
   • Market consolidation:  Prices fluctuate frequently around VWAP, indicating that the market is in a narrow range of fluctuation.
2. Find support and resistance levels (reversal signals)
   • Support level (for going long):  In an uptrend, when the price falls back to the vicinity of VWAP but fails to break below it, VWAP acts as an effective support level, and buying opportunities can be sought.
   • Resistance level (short selling):  In a downtrend, when the price rises to near VWAP but fails to break through, VWAP acts as a resistance level, and short selling can be considered.
3. Determine the timing of buying and selling
   • Breakout Buy Signal:  A buy signal is generated when the price breaks through and holds above the VWAP from below.
   • Sell ​​when  the price breaks below VWAP: This is considered a sell signal. 

VWAP Usage Notes

• Resettable:  VWAP is an intraday indicator that is reset at the opening of each trading day and is not suitable for judging medium- to long-term trends.
• Volume confirmation:  When the price breaks through VWAP, if the volume increases, the breakout is more effective; if the breakout is on low volume, be wary of a false breakout.
• Combining with other tools:  It is recommended to use it in conjunction with other technical indicators such as RSI and MACD to improve accuracy. 

Summarize

VWAP is a core tool for financial institutions and day traders to find true transaction costs and intraday entry points, optimizing buy and sell points through "trend following" and "pullback/bounce confirmation".