Monday, October 19, 2026

mmm stock work with AMazon on data center. In chinese

 3M (NYSE: MMM) 与亚马逊(Amazon)于2026年10月19日宣布了一项扩大的战略商业合作协议。3M 将向亚马逊提供光连接(optical connectivity)和其他数据中心产品,以支持其人工智能(AI)和云计算基础设施的扩展。 [1, 2]

协议主要内容:
  • 认股权证(Warrants):3M 向亚马逊的一家全资子公司发出了认股权证,允许其在未来7年内以 164.89美元 每股的价格购买最多 3,162,015股 3M普通股。 [1, 2]
  • 股权归属条件(Vesting):
    • 85% 的认股权证将随着亚马逊向 3M 采购数据中心产品而逐步生效,当累计采购额达到 60亿美元 时,这部分股份将完全归属。
    • 剩下的 15% 股份将在达成特定里程碑条件后归属。 [1]
  • 市场反应:消息公布后,3M 股价在盘后交易中上涨了约 3% 至 5% 以上。

Oct 19 2026 | Trades | Margin account

 Positions 


MRVL trades


VZ trades



VZ stock | 5 min chart | EMA 5 EMA 9 - downward

 


EMA 5 and EMA 9 downward 




ual stock down last 3 months, crude oil too expensive? In chinese, earnings tomorrow, options prediction?

 美联航(UAL)将于明天(2026年10月20日)美股盘后公布2026年第三季度财报。 受到国际地缘政治紧张局势(如霍尔木兹海峡冲突风险)引发的原油价格飙升影响,WTI油价目前处于 $101.08/桶 的高位(同比大涨逾73%),这使航空公司的燃油成本大幅承压,直接导致 UAL 股价在过去3个月内累计下跌了约 16.73%。 [1, 2]

美联航(UAL)过去3个月的价格走势如下:
一、 核心痛点:油价是否“过贵”?
  • 燃油成本压力极大: WTI 原油突破 $100/桶,Brent 原油甚至逼近 $104-$105。管理层此前已警告,2026年将增加近 60亿美元 的额外燃油成本,并被迫削减了部分航班。
  • 财报预期下滑: 市场普遍预计 UAL 本季度 EPS 为 $2.59 - $2.60(低于去年同期的 $2.78)。尽管美联航拥有强劲的高端机票预订需求,但高昂的航油成本正在严重挤压其利润率。 [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

二、 期权隐含波动率与财报预测 (Options Prediction)
目前市场情绪极其敏感,期权隐含波动率(IV)在财报前处于高位。对于明天的财报,策略上主要分为以下两种预期:
交易观点市场逻辑与催化剂潜在期权策略
利空出尽 / 财报反弹
(看涨/牛市)
UAL 拥有行业内领先的利润率和强劲的商务舱需求。过去3个月股价已提前下跌约16%(基本消化了油价利空)。若管理层在电话会议中对第四季度或2027年给出乐观的运力指引(如通过提升票价成功转移成本),股价将迎来强劲修复。Bull Call Spread(牛市看涨价差)
· 买入平值 Call,卖出高行权价 Call,以降低财报后 IV Crush(波幅骤降)带来的期权损耗。
高油价持续施压
(看跌/熊市)
如果管理层在财报中进一步下调 Q4 业绩指引,或者原油价格因中东局势升级而继续向 $110/桶逼近,即使三季度盈利符合预期,指引暴雷也会导致股价跌破 52周低点($84.64)。Long Put / Bear Put Spread
· 如果预期跌幅巨大,可考虑买入稍微价外的 Put;或使用价差降低权利金成本。
💡 波动率套利提示(无方向中性策略):
由于目前 IV 极高,财报公布后的第一个交易日往往会出现隐含波动率骤降(IV Crush)。如果您认为不论利好利空,UAL 都会出现超过 ±8% 的巨大单边暴动,可选择 Long Straddle(同时买入相同行权价的 Call 和 Put);若认为股价波动会小于市场预期,则适合在财报前一日卖出高位 IV(如 Iron Condor),通过赚取时间价值和波动率崩塌获利。

mmm stock gained 5% after market close, why? in chinese. Any earnings update

 3M 公司(MMM)的股票出现盘后异动(上涨约 5%),主要是因为市场在提前消化和押注其即将发布的 2026 年第三季度(Q3)财报。

关键财报更新与时间:
  • 发布时间:3M 官方定于 2026 年 10 月 20 日(星期二)美股盘前 披露第三季度财务业绩 [0.6.11]。
  • 市场预期:根据期权市场的波动率预测,市场预期本次财报发布后股价可能会出现大约 4.6% 的上下波动 [0.6.11]。盘后的 5% 涨幅反映了部分资金在绩前强烈的看涨情绪或大单抢筹。
  • 背景参考:在上一个季度(Q2)财报中,3M 曾交出了远超预期的成绩单(调整后每股收益 $2.40,大幅高于市场预期的 $2.25/ $2.24),并调高了全年利润指引 [0.6.3, 0.6.4]。这让部分投资者对本次第三季度财报的利润率和指引上调抱有较高期待。
需要注意的是,盘后交易量通常较小,波动容易被放大。真正的股价趋势将在明天(10 月 20 日)清晨官方数据正式出炉后见分晓。

CRDO stock | 5 min chart | D chart

 



MRVL stock | 1 min chart vs 5 min chart | Left 1 min vs right 5 min

 Left 1 min nchart | Right 5 min chart


3 Trades to purchase 200 shares of MRVL 





Take profit - Bar count No. 55 - $240.72/ share - 




Follow up - Retracement - New trade - EMA 50 - MRVL stock stayed above EMA 50 

  1. Should get back to purchase 200 shares of MRVL stock - Above EMA 9, uptrend continuously
  2. Another 12 bars - 5 min chart - one hour work - 8 * 200 share = $1600 US dollars gain 
  3. Be patient, and check EMA 5, EMA 9 on 5 min chart, 1 min chart check EMA 50 
  4. Right side - 5 min chart - MRVL stock was above EMA 9 - bar count No. 13 and No. 14
  5. Left side - 1 min chart - MRVL stock was above EMA 50 - VWAP blue color line 


Need to work on target band - $246/ share - Not $$240/ share 

  1. Learn 5 * 50 = 250 min, 5 HR pivot point
  2. Review 4 H chart, and then find out where is the pivot point of 4H chart 

  1. 4H EMA 200 Last Friday - PDL
  2. 4H EMA 100 - Pivot point should be above EMA 100 on 4H chart 
  3. Institional buyers should push the price high above EMA 100 on 4 H chart first






D chart - EMA 50 - $245/ share - Rebound high pivot point should above EMA 50 - $245/ share






Missing another 3% gain on uptrend 



MRVL stock | 5 min chart | EMA 5 EMA 9 | Retraced to EMA 9 | Second time retraced to EMA 9 5

 5 min chart


15 min chart




Friday, October 16, 2026

MRVL stock | 5 min chart | Lesson: $1142 loss taught me a lesson - How to design a trade to make a high successful one?

Lessons learned: 







Buy and Sell - First long trade
  1. Replay 5 min chart
  2. Buy signal - Should wait order block 5 min chart showing up first
  3. Should wait to see first big uptrend moment bar 
  4. Buy at the bottom of next downtrend shorted red bar - Mark buy signal using green color
  5. Sell at the candle bar showing peaked - after 3 uptrend bars including in-between resting small red bars - bar 9, 11, 13, 14


Replay 5 min chart 

The above 5 min chart 

  1. Bar count 1 to 6, 5 red bars, one green bar but very tiny
  2. Bar count 7, first green bar - strong uptrend momentum - height is bigger than all others - No 1 to No 6, bar No. 7's body height is bigger than No. 5 and No. 6 together; Strong uptrend momentum;
  3. Get ready to purchase MRVL stock - Wait retracement - No. 8 small red bar - buy the lowest price as possible
  4. Smart money concept - Order block will not show up until later - but it can easily tell that bar count 12 showed up, but order block not showed up yet

Notes: 
  1. Bar count No. 14 - FVG - big gap - strong uptrend momentum
  2. Bar count 15 - red cross - Should consider sell - 250 share x price gap 
  3. Price of bar count No. 15 is far above WVAP price - fair price 
  4. Previous peak range activitiy range above $237.42/ share - Resistance level 


Use tradingview measurement tool to measure the trade start price to end price, bar count - 7 bars

  1. Count three green uptrend bars, take profit. 
  2. Be cautious! It is rebound but the trend is still downtrend, MRVL stock may fall more during middle day session


Trade position and profit

  1. 250 shares x price gap-up $4.44/ share, in total, the profit can be $1000 US dollars in maximum, depending on the purchase price - timing the bottom of red bar next to strong momentum bar - green bar No. 7

Key notes:


  1. No. 17 and No 19  - big momentum red bars - Should take profit before No. 17
  2. No 16, No 17 - Usually try to take profit once No. 15 is FVG bar, try to take profit at the peak of bar No. 15
  3. Why SMC concept shows order block so late - Bar count No. 19 red downtrend bar, order block not showed up yet
  4. Order block showed up after bar count No. 20


5 min chart - SMC concept - Order block 

Action 
  1. Need to find an indicator to show order block as early as possible, right now, order block shows up too late, which does not help me to make purchase decision
  2. More ideas?

I searched Google AI, and then Google AI generated script, I published on tradingview.com a new indicator

https://www.tradingview.com/script/pB5viWWL-Uptrend-Body-Engulfing-Two-Downtrends/
https://www.tradingview.com/script/aYV9qUP2-Uptrend-Body-Engulfing-Two-Downtrends/

All my indicators are available on the second link - I tried to keep secret, but only first 15 minutes time window for edit or delete.