Monday, June 29, 2026

vz stock crashed because of removing from dow index today 请预测跌多少

 Verizon (VZ) 股价在 6 月 29 日下跌了 5.30%,收于 44.08 美元。这次大跌并非仅仅是因为被移出道琼斯指数,而是多重利空叠加的结果,包括其国际合资企业的会计账面亏损重组以及市场对太空探索技术公司(SpaceX)手机业务竞争的担忧。 [1, 2, 3]

以下是促成此次下跌的核心因素和具体数据:
  • 多重利空共振: 此次下跌由三个主要因素触发:1. 追踪道指的被动型指数基金在生效日前的抛售压力;2. 威瑞森(Verizon)披露了一项与英国电信(BT Group)组建国际合资企业带来的约 7 亿至 8 亿美元重组与减值费用;3. 市场担忧 SpaceX 的 Starlink 卫星直连手机服务会对传统电信运营商造成长期冲击。 [1, 2, 3]
  • 道指剔除的实际影响: 标普道琼斯指数之所以将 VZ 剔除(由 Alphabet 取代),是因为其股价相对较低(约 45 美元左右),在价格加权的道指中影响力微乎其微(仅占 0.5% 的权重)。虽然剔除引发了抛售,但它更多反映的是指数重心的转移,不代表企业基本面的崩溃。 [1, 2, 3]
  • 基本面支撑: 尽管近期股价受压,但该公司依然是美国主要的电信巨头之一,其现金流稳定,并保持了约 6.1% 的高股息率。 [1]
股价预测与展望
鉴于近期电信行业的剧烈震荡和指数调整,未来的短期价格走势取决于行业竞争态势和重组的落地情况。华尔街对该股的走势看法呈现分歧:
  • 短期压力: 许多分析师认为,受结构性债务负担和新竞争对手(如卫星通讯)入局的潜在威胁,短期内股价表现可能承压。
  • 看多观点: 另一方面,也有不少价值投资者和金融机构持相反态度,认为被道指剔除可能是一个错杀的“买入”信号。根据金融市场的分析数据,华尔街分析师给出的平均目标价约为 51.96 美元,部分看涨机构甚至给出了高达 71 美元的最高目标价。 [1, 2, 3, 4]

Goog stock | 5% uptrend

 Alphabet (GOOG) stock is up significantly today following its official debut on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, where it replaced Verizon. The addition to the prestigious index triggered a wave of institutional buying and lifted overall investor sentiment. [1, 2]

The rally is supported by:
  • Index Inclusion: Joining the Dow increases the stock's visibility and mandates purchases from index-tracking funds.
  • Dip Buying: Investors are aggressively buying the stock to capitalize on a recent pullback caused by broader tech sector unease over AI spending and executive shifts.
  • Cloud & AI Momentum: Analysts remain highly constructive on Google Cloud demand and AI monetization. [1, 2, 3]

RBLX stock | Uptrend again

 



30 min chart | TB pattern | Peek activity | Rebound 

June 25 
  1. Bar count 12 - 30 min chart - TB 
  2. Bar count 13 - peak activity range indicator - 
June 28 
  1. bar count 11 - BE 
  2. Order block - 30 minutes on bar count 11 - best time to purchase - win rate is the best 




RBLX 股票上涨的具体原因(详细分析)

 RBLX 股票上涨的具体原因(详细分析)

Roblox (NYSE: RBLX) 股票近期出现大幅高开与上涨,主要由以下核心利好消息和市场情绪转变驱动: [1, 2]
  • 券商与分析师上调评级 (Analyst Upgrade): Arete Research 机构的分析师将 Roblox 的股票评级从“中性(Neutral)”上调至“买入(Buy)”,并给出了较高的目标价。这极大地提振了投资者的信心,吸引大量资金涌入。 [1, 2, 3]
  • 平台参与度创下新高 (Record Engagement): TD Cowen 等机构发布了利好的第三方数据,指出 Roblox 的平均同时在线用户(Concurrent Users)周环比增长 10%。这是该平台近两年半以来最好的周末用户参与度数据,有力的用户活跃度数据让市场兴奋。 [1]
  • 俄罗斯业务有望恢复 (Russia Re-entry): 市场有迹象表明,俄罗斯监管机构和官方消息显示对 Roblox 的禁令正在被解除或重新评估。重新开放这一巨大的用户基础和潜在营收流,被视为公司业绩的巨大增长催化剂。 [1, 2]
  • 全球安全账户推行 (Age-Based Accounts): Roblox 正在全球范围内正式推出针对16岁以下用户的“Roblox Kids”和“Roblox Select”账户。尽管此前的相关调整曾带来一些短期增长烦恼,但这些全面落地的严格安全与家长控制举措消除了监管层面的担忧,有助于维护平台长期的健康发展。

VZ stock | $42.78/ share POI 30 minute

 


My First Year Day Trading at a Prop Firm (4 Ways I Found Success)

 In this video, a day trader at SMB Capital shares the four pillars of success that helped them navigate their first year of professional trading. The core philosophy emphasizes maintaining psychological balance, building a defined trading style, leveraging teamwork, and embracing setbacks as learning opportunities.

The Four Pillars of Success

  1. Keep Your Mind in Check (0:51 - 2:58):

    • Focus on "one day at a time" rather than arbitrary profit goals (e.g., trying to force a $1,000 day), which can lead to poor decision-making.
    • Maintaining consistency is more important than recovering from a drawdown in a single session.
  2. Identify Your Strengths & Weaknesses (3:00 - 11:36):

    • Find the market conditions that suit your style (e.g., high average relative volume or specific stock types).
    • Learn to press your edge in areas of strength (like pre-market trading to build confidence) and dial back during slower periods.
    • Tape reading is described as a critical skill for visual confirmation of trade ideas, helping distinguish between quality setups and false breakouts.
  3. Work with a Team (11:37 - 14:14):

    • Leverage the power of group trading to gain different perspectives on the market.
    • Being vocal about trade ideas helps you identify your own blind spots through the feedback and critique of peers.
  4. Stay Humble & Accept Setbacks (14:15 - 17:54):

    • View losses and missed opportunities as essential data points.
    • Regularly review poor trades to understand exactly what went wrong—whether it was an emotional mistake, poor risk management, or a misunderstanding of the tape.
    • Recognize your psychological triggers (such as "give backs") and have the discipline to stop trading when your mental state is compromised.


Risk management | The Trader’s Guide to Surviving a Deep Drawdown

The Trader’s Guide to Surviving a Deep Drawdown

Published 2026-06-20, 03:42 a/m
Updated 2026-06-20, 03:44 a/m

Every trader knows the feeling.

You start the day with a plan. One trade goes wrong. Then another. Suddenly you are down $1,500 on a $2,000 drawdown, and your brain starts whispering the most dangerous sentence in trading:

“Just take one big trade and make it all back.”

That is exactly how accounts get blown.

When you are deep in drawdown, the goal is not to be a hero. The goal is to survive. If you still have buying power, you still have a chance. But the moment you let frustration control your size, you are no longer trading. You are gambling with the last piece of your account.

The Worst Time to Size Up Is After a Big Loss

The natural instinct after a big loss is to press harder.

You want to erase the damage. You want to get back to breakeven. You want the account to look like nothing happened.

But one oversized trade can turn a bad day into a failed challenge.

That is why recovery mode requires the opposite approach. You do not size up. You size down.

If you are down $1,500 on a $2,000 drawdown, you are not looking for a home run. You are looking for control. That may mean trading only one micro contract until your mind and account are stable again.

One micro may feel too small after trading bigger size, but that is the point. You need to take the pressure off. You need to stop trading from panic. A couple of clean trades with small size can rebuild confidence and start putting the account back together.

Your Real Account Size Is the Drawdown

This is where most traders get the math wrong.

A $50,000 prop firm account does not mean you can trade like you have $50,000 of risk capital. On many standard $50K prop accounts, the drawdown is around $2,000.

That $2,000 is the number that matters.

If you lose that, the account is gone. So every trade has to be sized around the drawdown, not the headline account size.

A good rule of thumb is to risk only 5% to 10% of the drawdown per trade. On a $2,000 drawdown, that means your stop should be roughly $100 to $200 per trade.

That keeps one mistake from becoming an account killer.

And if you are already down big, the risk should usually be even smaller. This is where one micro can save the account. You are not trying to impress anyone. You are trying to stay alive long enough to recover.

Use the Two-Trade Rule as a Recovery Guardrail

Recovery mode needs guardrails.

One useful rule of thumb is this: if you take a trade and hit your stop, consider giving yourself only one more quality setup before calling it a day.

This is not because two losses automatically mean you are wrong about the market. It is because after a big drawdown, your decision-making is usually not at its best. The more you trade from a stressed account, the easier it becomes to force entries, widen stops, or convince yourself that the next trade has to work.

That is when real damage happens.

So if you are already in recovery mode, two stopped-out trades should be a warning sign. It may be time to step away, review the setups, and come back tomorrow with a clearer head.

No revenge trade. No doubling down. No “I just need one good setup.”

The market does not owe you a recovery trade. The goal is not to win the money back immediately. The goal is to avoid turning a manageable drawdown into a blown account.

A maximum loss per day is still non-negotiable. The two-trade rule is simply one practical way to help you respect it.

The Goal Is Not to Make It Back Today

This is the part traders hate hearing.

If you are down $1,500 on a $2,000 drawdown, your goal should not be to make back $1,500 today.

Your first goal is to stop the bleeding.

Your second goal is to get back in rhythm.

Your third goal is to recover slowly with clean trades.

That may mean making $100. Then $150. Then $200. It may feel slow, but slow is how you get control back.

The trader who tries to make everything back in one shot usually blows the account.

The trader who cuts size, trades one micro, and takes only the best setups gives themselves a real chance.

A few good trades and suddenly the account no longer feels like it is on life support. You are not fully recovered yet, but you are no longer spiraling.

That is the win.

The Drawdown Recovery Playbook

When you are close to the limit, the plan should be simple:

  • Stop trading and reset.
  • Cut size down to one micro.
  • Risk only 5% to 10% of the drawdown per trade.
  • On a standard $50K account with a $2,000 drawdown, that means roughly $100 to $200 max risk per trade.
  • If you hit your stop, consider giving yourself only one more quality setup.
  • If the second trade also fails, that is usually your sign to stop for the day.
  • Respect your maximum loss per day.
  • Do not try to make it all back in one trade.
  • Build back slowly.

This is not exciting. It is not flashy. It will not give you a dopamine hit.

But it keeps you alive.

And in trading, survival is the edge most traders forget.

Final Thought

A big drawdown does not have to end the account.

What ends the account is the emotional decision that comes after the drawdown.

The amateur response is: “I need one big trade to get it back.”

The professional response is: “I need to reduce size, protect the account, and trade my way out with discipline.”

Down $1,500 on a $2,000 drawdown? Do not swing bigger.

Trade smaller. Set your max loss. Take the pressure off.

A couple of good trades with one micro, and you may be surprised how quickly the account starts to feel normal again.