Saturday, March 21, 2026

伊朗:若能源基础设施遭袭,将打击美以三类关键设施

 伊朗军方警告,如果境内的燃料和能源基础设施遭到袭击,美国和以色列在中东地区的能源、信息技术和海水淡化设施都将成为打击目标。


伊朗武装部队作战指挥部哈塔姆·安比亚(Khatam Al-Anbiya)在美国总统特朗普对伊朗发出48小时通牒后,发声明表示这点。

特朗普要求伊朗在48小时内完全开放霍尔木兹海峡,否则美军将打击并摧毁伊朗各地的发电厂。

7 red flags you are about to lose (and even blow up your account)

Here is the link. 

53,734 views Mar 12, 2026 #scalpingstrategy #daytrading #stockmarket

Friday, March 20, 2026

smci stock crash over 30% technical rebound because of shorter take profit next Monday

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smci stock crash over 30% technical rebound because of shorter take profit next Monday
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) shares plummeted 
33.32% on Friday, March 20, 2026, closing at $20.53. The crash was triggered by a federal criminal indictment charging a company co-founder and two associates with conspiring to smuggle $2.5 billion in restricted AI servers to China.
Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)
US$20.53
Closed: 1:00 p.m. • Disclaimer
After hours: 5:00 p.m.
US$20.91
1.86%
8:00 a.m.10:00 a.m.12:00 p.m.2:00 p.m.4:00 p.m.2122
Mar 20, 2026 6:30 a.m. - 4:55 p.m.
Open22.52
Mkt cap$12.33B USD
52-wk high62.36
High23.09
P/E ratio15.65
52-wk low20.35
Low20.35
Div yield-
Market Dynamics & Rebound Potential
  • Intraday Volatility: The stock hit a 52-week low of $20.35 during the session before a slight after-hours uptick to $21.05 (+2.53%).
  • Technical Support: Analysts identify a primary swing trade accumulation zone between $16.75 and $18.75, where a major unfilled gap from 2023 exists.
  • Short Squeeze Risk: Short interest is high at 14.2%, which could trigger violent "snap-back" rallies if short-sellers begin taking profits.
  • Technical Resistance: Previous support at $27 has now flipped to major resistance.
Fundamental Headwinds
  • Legal & Governance: While SMCI itself was not named a defendant, the involvement of a co-founder and board member raises severe compliance and internal control concerns.
  • Margin Compression: Recent quarterly reports showed non-GAAP gross margins falling to 6.4% (down from 11.9% a year ago) due to higher freight costs and an unfavorable product mix.
  • Competitive Pressure: Competitors like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise are gaining market share as SMCI sacrifices pricing power.
Key Upcoming Dates
  • Annual General Meeting: Scheduled for April 15, 2026, where management is expected to address investor concerns.
  • Q3 2026 Earnings: Estimated for May 5, 2026 (unconfirmed).
Are you looking for specific entry levels or options strategies to play a potential Monday morning bounce?
AI responses may include mistakes. For financial advice, consult a professional. Learn more
  • Super Micro: Shares Fall Amid New Charges, Eyeing Fundamentals ...
    Mar 20, 2026 — Summary * Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is reiterated at Hold following a 28% plunge tied to employee smuggling charges and ongoing ...
    Seeking Alpha
  • Why Super Micro (SMCI) Stock Is Down Today
    Mar 20, 2026 — Weixin Lin. Fri, 20 March 2026 at 5:52 pm GMT-7 2 min read. SMCI. NVDA. Why Super Micro (SMCI) Stock Is Down Today. What Happened?
    Yahoo Finance UK
  • Securities Fraud Investigation Into Super Micro Computer, Inc ...
    Mar 20, 2026 — On the same date, Super Micro release a statement, noting the Company wasn't named a defendant but confirming the individuals char...
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Show all
options strategies
For a potential technical rebound following Super Micro Computer Inc.'s (SMCI) 
33.32% crash to $20.53 on Friday, March 20, 2026, traders are eyeing several options strategies. High implied volatility (IV), which surged toward 100% following the federal indictment news, makes traditional long options expensive, favoring spread-based or credit-generating strategies.
1. Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)
This strategy is used for a "dead cat bounce" where you expect a moderate recovery but want to limit the cost of high premiums.
  • Action: Buy a call at a lower strike (e.g., $21) and sell a call at a higher strike (e.g., $25) for the same expiration.
  • Goal: Profit if SMCI moves back toward the $27 former support level, which is now considered major resistance.
  • Risk: Limited to the net debit paid; maximum profit is the difference between strikes minus the cost.
2. Cash-Secured Puts (Income/Entry Strategy)
If you believe the stock is nearing a bottom in the $16.75–$18.75 accumulation zone, selling puts allows you to collect high premiums while waiting.
  • Action: Sell a put option with a strike price at or below the current market (e.g., $18 or $20).
  • Goal: Either the put expires worthless, allowing you to keep the premium, or you are assigned the stock at a significantly lower cost basis.
  • Risk: You must be willing to own SMCI at the strike price if it continues to fall.
3. Bull Put Spread (Credit Spread)
This is a more conservative way to play a bottom without the obligation to own 100 shares.
  • Action: Sell a put at a higher strike (e.g., $20) and buy a put at a lower strike (e.g., $18).
  • Goal: Collect a net credit; profit if SMCI stays above the higher strike through expiration.
  • Risk: Capped at the difference between the strikes minus the credit received.
4. Synthetic Covered Call (SMCY Strategy)
For those seeking income without direct ownership, active ETFs like the YieldMax SMCI Option Income Strategy ETF (SMCY) use "synthetic longs" to generate weekly distributions.
  • Mechanism: Combines buying calls and selling puts to replicate stock performance while selling additional calls to generate yield.
  • Risk: Fully participates in the downside but has capped upside, which may underperform in a sharp, violent recovery.
Technical Indicators for Monday, March 23
  • Oversold Signals: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is extremely oversold at 13.19, often a precursor to a short-term bounce.
  • Expected Move: The options market's at-the-money straddle prices in a massive 10.6% swing following recent volatility.
  • Sentiment: Despite the crash, the put-call volume ratio remains bullish at 0.4, suggesting many traders are already positioning for a rebound.
Would you like to see a specific risk/reward breakdown for a specific strike price or expiration date?
AI responses may include mistakes. For financial advice, consult a professional. Learn more
  • Super Micro Computer Inc | Option Profit & Loss Chart | Short Put
    Short Put. In this strategy, an investor sells a put option, expecting that the price of the underlying asset will remain stable o...
    OptionCharts
  • Super Micro: Shares Fall Amid New Charges, Eyeing ...
    Mar 20, 2026 — * Shares of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) plunged on the morning of Friday, March 20. The embattled Technology Hardware, Storage and...
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  • SMCY - YieldMax ETFs
    YieldMax® SMCI Option Income Strategy ETF. The Fund does not invest directly in SMCI. Investing in the fund involves a high degree...
    yieldmaxetfs.com
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