Friday, July 11, 2025

SMCI stock | Research

 

SMCI vs. VRT: Which Stock Has an Edge in the Liquid Cooling Space?

Zacks Investment Research - Fri Jul 11, 11:00AM CDT

Super Micro ComputerSMCI and Dell TechnologiesDELL are key players in the data center liquid-cooling market, driven mainly by coolant architectures needed for AI and high-performance computing. Per a report by MarketsAndMarkets, the data center cooling market is anticipated to witness a CAGR of 12.8% from 2023 to 2030, and both players are positioned well to capitalize on this opportunity.

With this strong industry growth forecast, the question remains: Which stock has more upside potential? Let’s break down their fundamentals, growth prospects, market challenges and valuation to determine which offers a more compelling investment case.

The Case for SMCI Stock

SMCI’s server and storage revenues are driven by its direct liquid cooling products for data-center applications, which reached a production volume of more than 2000 DLC racks per month.

High volume shipments of liquid-cooled 4U NVIDIA B200 HGX systems and GB200 NVL72 racks developed by SMCI in the third quarter of fiscal 2025 further reflect traction in SMCI’s liquid cooling technology.

Furthermore, SMCI launched DLC-2 technology in May 2025 with features like water and space saving, noise reduction and reduced power consumption to lower the electricity cost by up to 40%, putting it at the forefront of liquid cooling technology.  

The company also introduced Direct Liquid-Cooled Building Block Solutions, which integrates rack-scale, plug-and-play architecture with direct liquid cooling to optimize thermal performance, while keeping the data center architecture modular.

However, SMCI is facing some near-term headwinds like delayed purchasing decisions from customers as they are evaluating the adoption of next-generation AI platforms. SMCI is also facing margin contraction due to the growing price competition from established competitors like HPE and Dell Technologies in the server space. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is pegged at $2.07 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 6.3%.

The Case for Vertiv Stock

Vertiv also commands a strong thermal management portfolio. It provides Coolant Distribution Units, chillers, rear-door heat exchangers, and immersion cooling systems to optimize performance, power utilization, control, and heat re-use.

The complexity of hybrid air and liquid cooling brought in by AI and HPC workloads presents significant opportunities for the company to innovate its offerings. Vertiv acquired CoolTera in 2023 to deepen its expertise in advanced cooling technology, controls and systems.

Vertiv continues to invest in research and capacity expansion to support the growing AI infrastructure deployment needs. Vertiv’s high-density reference design for NVIDIA’s GB300 NVL72 platform supports up to 142kW per rack through a combination of liquid and air cooling for AI factories. Vertiv has also developed the iGenius Colosseum sovereign AI factory in collaboration with NVIDIA.

These factors are contributing to both top and bottom-line growth of Vertiv. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $9.52 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 18.8%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is pegged at $3.56 per share, indicating year-over-year growth of 24.91%.

Conclusion: SMCI vs. DELL Stock

Both SMCI and VRT are gaining from the momentum in the cooling technology due to the use case in AI workloads and HPC. However, VRT’s financials make it a stronger pick among the two.

VRT carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present, making the stock a stronger pick compared with SMCI, which has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Victor Sperandeo Career

 

Victor Sperandeo Career, Life and Net Worth – All You Need to Know

Last Updated on April 13, 2023

Victor Sperandeo is a visionary trader and financial commentator with over 45 incredibly successful years under his belt. Victor is known in financial circles as “Trader Vic” and is widely renowned for his proven track record in the trading field. 

Not only has he been trading on his behalf, but he also handled investments of big names like George Soros and Leon Cooperman. 

Victor Sperandeo made much of his money trading commodities, particularly in the metal and energy sectors. He shot to international fame by famously predicting the stock market crash of 1987. 

Nowadays, he is based in Grapevine, Texas, and serves as the president of Alpha Financial Technologies, LLC.

Throughout his career, Sperandeo has maintained that investors should strive for objectivity and consistency within their trading choices. 

Whether you are a stock market veteran or a newcomer, you can learn a lot from the life and career of Victor Sperandeo – particularly his uncanny ability to identify rising stock market trends and gauge potential risks.

This article will examine the biography and career of the legendary trader, investor, and financial commentator in detail.

Victor Sperandeo – Overview

  • Name: Victor Sperandeo
  • Gender: Male
  • Date of birth: March 16, 1945
  • Birthplace: Queens, New York
  • Current residence: Grapevine, Texas
  • Nationality: United States
  • Occupation: Trader, index developer, financial commentator, best-selling author
  • Famous for: Predicting Black Monday in 1987 and being an astute financial observer and trader

Victor Sperandeo’s Personal Life

Born in Queens, New York, Victor was always into taking risks and making money from an early age. According to an interview published in The New Market Wizards: Conversations with America’s Top Traders, Victor developed a keen passion for poker during his teen years.

He realized early on that winning in poker was all about managing odds. Although he did pretty well playing poker, he didn’t want to be a professional card player, and at the age of 20, he decided to dive into the New York job market.

A career in OTC trading caught his eye, and, thinking that his poker background might help him, he went for it. Later on, Victor admitted that the idea of pursuing a trading career was the best decision of his life.

Today, apart from being a successful trader and investor, Victor is also a popular public speaker and a best-selling author.

Victor Sperandeo’s Career

Victor started his trading career straight out of high school. His beginnings were far from the glamor of Wall Street. He began as a quote boy at Filer Schmidt & Co., earning minimum wage before moving on to a slightly better-paying position as a statistical clerk for Standard & Poor.

Sperandeo didn’t consider his work particularly exciting and is said to have had difficulty focusing on it. As a result, he was later on dismissed.

After this unsuccessful stint on Wall Street, seeking greater autonomy in trading decisions, Sperandeo found his true calling as a dealer in the over-the-counter (OTC) options market.

One of his bets proved hugely successful, as he earned $50,000 in commissions in just six months. High on confidence, Victor decided to launch his own firm in 1971.

After securing a partner, Victor Sperandeo launched Ragnar Options. The USP of the firm was that it was one of the first firms on Wall Street to offer guaranteed quotes on options without charging exorbitant premiums.

The strategy proved so successful that Ragnar became among the largest OTC option dealers in the world within six months of launch. After a while, the company merged operations with another Wall Street firm. Sperandeo then quit and joined Interstate Securities in 1978.

At Interstate, he was in charge of managing private accounts. Victor learned a lot on the job, but when Interstate went public in 1986, they decided to dissolve their trading group.

Starting His Own Money Management Firm

Fresh out of a job, Sperandeo traded his personal account for over a year before deciding to start his own money management firm, Rand Management Corporation.

The company stringed together eighteen consecutive winning years before registering its first loss in 1990.

Over the years, “Trader Vic” traded futures for some leading corporations, including EAM Group, HSBC Bank, and Nomura.

Currently, he serves as the CEO and President of Alpha Financial Technologies, LLC.

Victor was inducted into the Trader Hall of Fame by Trader Magazine in 2008.

Victor Sperandeo’s Net Worth

Not much is known about Victor Sperandeo’s net worth. However, when the DJIA fell by over 20% during the 1987 crash, he is said to have made 300% returns during a single day by shorting the Dow.

According to some estimates, Victor’s net worth is between $1 and $7 million.

Victor Sperandeo’s Trading Strategy

Victor is an astute financial observer who believes in following rules that take emotions away from your trading activity. He insists that all traders follow investment rules designed to make their trading choices as objective as possible.

In his best-selling book “Trader Vic – Methods of a Wall Street Master,” he notes that keeping your emotions in check when trading is necessary. He says avoiding rationalizing yourself into taking unwarranted risks or choosing a position too early or too late is crucial.

Sperandeo also insists that he abides by specific rules that can help investors gain solid returns and avoid mistakes, especially in the long haul.

Rule 1: Trade With a Plan

According to Victor, having a carefully-defined plan and sticking to it is crucial when trading stocks. He believes confusion is your biggest enemy since it can provoke an emotional response, thus hurting your performance.

Having a trading plan and sticking to it enables you to better navigate periods of high market volatility and protect you from taking high risks.

Rule 2: The Trend Is Your Friend

Sperandeo highlights the importance of this rule and notes that, despite it, it is often ignored. 

According to him, there are three trends in the stock market- the short-term, the intermediate-term, and the long-term. While short-term trends change rapidly, you should maintain sight of intermediate- and long-term trends.

He says an investor should know which trend he is involved in and its correlation with the other two.

Rule 3: Use Stop Loss

According to Sperandeo, it is tough for investors to identify the point when the market starts going against them. That is why many traders fail to close a trade on time, leading to significant losses.

One of the safest ways to avoid this is to put in a stop-loss order. According to Victor, once you open a position, you should immediately place a second order to close the position when the market turns against you and hits the predetermined stop-loss threshold.

Rule 4: When in Doubt, Get Out

Sperandeo says that every long position you hold should be a “buy today,” and every short position you hold should be a “sell today.”

Victor is a big proponent of having the odds in your favor. He says getting out of the market is better if the changing conditions pile the odds against you.

Rule 5: Never Overtrade

Sperandeo believes investors should be more patient in waiting for the right opportunities and act only when as many factors as possible are in their favor.

He says you should only trade once you feel familiar with the price action of your market and at your own pace. On the other hand, overtrading and going against your trading plan is a recipe for disaster.

Study Victor Sperandeo to Become a Better Trader

Victor Sperandeo is one of the legendary traders on Wall Street who believes in a conservative and responsible trading strategy. 

He is known for his diligent market research and objective trading approach. 

If you are a trader looking to make it big, studying Victor Sperandeo’s trading strategy and philosophy can help you gain insight into responsible trading and solid returns without taking unnecessary risks.

Victor Sperandeo

 Victor Sperandeo, known as "Trader Vic", is an American financial trader, index developer, and financial commentator based in Grapevine, Texas, United States. He serves as the President and CEO of Alpha Financial Technologies, LLC (AFT), is a founding partner of EAM Partners L.P., and serves as the President and CEO of its general partner, EAM Corporation.

Sperandeo traded in commodities, particularly in the energy and metals sectors. He is renowned for having 'predicted' the stock market crash of 1987 during an extensive interview in the September 21 issue of Barron's; on October 16, one trading session prior to Black Monday, Sperandeo shorted the Dow and made 300% during a day the DJIA fell by over 20%.[2]

FICO stock | Paying Rent on Time Could Now Help You Get a Mortgage After Key Change at Fannie and Freddie

Paying Rent on Time Could Now Help You Get a Mortgage After Key Change at Fannie and Freddie

July 8, 2025 

A new policy change at mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could help first-time homebuyers qualify for a mortgage if they have a track record of paying their rent on time.

Effective immediately, Fannie and Freddie will allow mortgage lenders to use VantageScore credit ratings to assess borrower creditworthiness, in addition to or instead of traditional FICO scores, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte said on Tuesday.

Unlike some versions of FICO, VantageScore takes rent payment history into account, if those payments are reported to either Equifax, Experian, or TransUnion, the three major credit bureaus.

"We are expanding credit access to millions of forgotten Americans—people who live in rural areas, renters who pay their rent on time every month—and bringing down closing costs," said Pulte, who is also the chairman of Fannie and Freddie, in a social media post.

FICO and VantageScore both issue a credit score between 300 and 850 to potential borrowers, with the goal of projecting the likelihood that a person will fall behind on debt payments.

A higher score means you're less likely to miss a payment, and the highest scores can help you qualify for a lower mortgage rate.

However, the two companies have different methods for calculating scores. VantageScore can take rent payments into account and can generate a credit profile with just one month of credit history, as opposed to six for most FICO products. (FICO's latest product, FICO 10T, can also consider rent payment history.)

"This should help folks with thinner credit files get qualified for mortgages, which will add to the pool of potential homebuyers and boost the market as a whole," says Realtor.com® senior economist Joel Berner. "People who haven't taken out much debt on things like auto loans or credit cards will have the opportunity for their rental history to help them qualify for a loan."

VantageScore is also typically easier for consumers to check for free through credit monitoring services.

National Association of Realtors® Executive Vice President and Chief Advocacy Officer Shannon McGahn praised the policy change in a statement.

"This is a major step toward a more accurate and equitable mortgage underwriting process, one that considers timely rent, utility, and telecom payments as indicators of creditworthiness," she said. "These are real-world factors that show how people pay their bills and should count when determining if someone qualifies for a mortgage."

The addition of VantageScore as an option for mortgage lenders could also help improve competition in the credit score business, potentially lowering fees and reducing closing costs for consumers.

Last year, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau announced a public inquiry into “junk fees” that increase mortgage closing costs, including credit-check fees that have soared in recent years.

“The market for credit scores has long been dominated by one company’s algorithm: the Fair Isaac Corporation, which sells the FICO score,” former CFPB Chairman Rohit Chopra said in a speech last year. “Mortgage lenders have shared that costs for credit reports and scores have increased, sometimes by 400% since 2022.”

Pulte in a social media post on Tuesday predicted that lenders who used both FICO and VantageScore "should get better pricing," arguing that "it’s just math."

A spokesperson for Fair Issac Corporation, the creator of the FICO score, in a statement said that "the safety and soundness of the system is built on the integrity of the FICO Score."

"FICO welcomes competition on a level playing field among credit score providers. We compete vigorously in every U.S. consumer credit market, and the FICO Score is freely chosen by lenders, investors, and other market participants because it is trusted as the most predictive and reliable credit score. FICO scores are the industry standard and preferred choice for evaluating creditworthiness in the mortgage process, regardless of whether the loan is conforming or non-conforming," the statement said.

Although Fannie and Freddie do not originate loans themselves, the two government-backed entities are powerful forces in the world of mortgages as major buyers of whole loans for repackaging into securities.

Home loans that meet the rules and requirements set out by Fannie and Freddie are known as "conforming" mortgages, which are the type of loans offered by nearly all lenders and the most common mortgage vehicle for homebuyers.

Editor's note: This article has been updated with additional comments from NAR and FICO.

BA stock | 美宣布印航空难初步调查结果:飞行员失误 无关波音

美宣布印航空难初步调查结果:飞行员失误 无关波音

文章来源:  于  - 新闻取自各大新闻媒体,新闻内容并不代表本网立场!

 当地时间7月11日,美国官员宣布印度航空AI171航班坠机调査初步评估结果,称事故原因可能与飞行员操作失误有关,而非机体本身问题。


初步调查发现,控制双引擎燃油供应的关键开关被关闭,导致客机起飞后旋即失去推力。这些开关在正常飞行状态下应该保持开启,但目前仍无法确定,究竟是意外操作还是刻意为之。

事故机长拥有超过1万小时大型客机飞行经验,副机长也有3400小时资历。印度民航官员莫霍尔(Murlidhar Mohol)表示,“现在无法确定坠机原因,因为调查仍在进行中。双引擎同时停止是极其罕见的事件。”

6月12日,这架波音787梦想客机从印度阿默达巴德飞往英国伦敦,未料起飞不久即坠毁,机上共242人仅1人生还。除此之外,飞机还撞上一间医学院宿舍,因此一共造成至少294人遇难。

航空安全顾问兼飞行员考克斯接受彭博社访问时说:“如果把这些开关从运行状态切换到关闭状态,这些发动机将在几秒内停止运行。”

据报道,负责此次调查的印度飞机事故调查局即将发布初步报告。

6月12日,印航一架波音787客机在印度西部城市艾哈迈达巴德起飞后不久坠毁,机上只有一人生还,241名乘客和机组人员遇难,地面上也有至少38人身亡。失事客机的两个黑箱已先后寻获。

印度民航官员莫霍尔上月底告诉新德里电视台:“由于调查仍在进行中,目前无法确定坠机原因。这是一起非常罕见的事故。两个引擎同时熄火的情况从未发生过。”

Thursday, July 10, 2025

高精准判断市场反转趋势,我推荐这个交易策略

Here is the article. 

1-2-3交易形态是相当经典的反转形态。这个理论由上个世纪华尔街风云人物维克多·斯波朗迪(Victor Sperandeo)提出,他依照道氏理论,将趋势反转的信号做了有意义的简化。
交易者可以利用1-2-3形态来捕捉趋势发生反转的机会,然后在市场达到顶部时做空,达到底部时做多。
Graph 1
事实证明,无论是长期、中期还是短期趋势,1-2-3形态对反转趋势的判断相对准确。市场上有不少经典的趋势跟踪策略,但是却较少有能做到反转趋势策略长期有效的。因此,1-2-3形态在交易市场有非常重要的意义。
认识1-2-3反转形态
下图就是一个典型的1-2-3形态示例。简单来说,这个图是看跌1-2-3形态,牛市反转,适合做空:
Graph 2
1-2-3形态有三个关键点:
  • 点1——当前看涨趋势的高点;
  • 点2——小幅回撤的低点;
  • 点3——尝试恢复看涨趋势的最后高点。这时候,点3一定低于点1。


点3之后趋势开始下行,当价格突破此前点2时,就可以入场做空,而点3则可作为止损位。
1-2-3反转形态的实例
我们可以用具体的例子来看看如何在交易中应用1-2-3形态。
  • 盈利的例子

图表中用红色圈标注的就是1-2-3形态中的三个点。蓝色区域是价格进行整理的区域。
Graph 3
方框1译文:价格突破了看跌趋势线,但是,蜡烛图仍与趋势线有重叠,意味着此时的突破并不明确。
方框2译文:市场尝试恢复此前的看跌趋势,但是蓝色整理区域意味着这种尝试并不强烈。
方框3译文:出现远离趋势线的强势看跌蜡烛图。我们是时候寻找价格尝试继续看跌趋势的信号了。
方框4译文:这里出现了连续3个看跌蜡烛图,如果它们成功让价格继续走低,那么1-2-3反转形态就失败了。但是,这个图中,价格只是陷入波动减缓的状态,显示对继续看跌的犹豫。
方框5译文:市场反转了,出现1-2-3形态的点3。在价格达到与点2同一水平位时便可以入场做多。
  • 亏损的例子
Graph 4

方框1译文:这根单独的看跌蜡烛图并没有明确的突破趋势线。
方框2译文:从点2开始,市场开始上涨并数次试图恢复看涨趋势,这从一连串蜡烛图长长的上影线就能看出来,但是每一次都失败了。
方框3译文:市场突破之前点2。根据1-2-3形态,这里适合做空。但是,价格却立刻开始上涨,导致这个入场位变得不再合适。
市场就是这样,再有效的策略也不可能次次都保证能够盈利。因此,我们既要看如何利用1-2-3形态来盈利,也要从失败的例子中找到原因并在以后留意。
于是,我们回头再来看一下上面这个失败的例子,找找我们漏掉了什么重要信息。
Graph 5
这个图中,我们忽略的是左边的这根长长的蜡烛图,这根蜡烛图意味着这个时间段出现相当高的交易量,可能存在价格陷阱,让市场掉入有意控制的区间。如果注意到这根蜡烛图,那么我们可以在1-2-3形态出现后选择入场时更加谨慎,比如更耐心等待看后续行情。
上涨和下跌趋势中123法则运用
尽管123法则简单有效,但其入场点较晚,通常已经错失一段相当大的行情,因而维克多进一步提出了2B法则,其实质是针对假突破现象进行观察。
基本理念是:如果在下降趋势中,价格已经创新低而未能持续下跌,而且重新升逾前期低点,则趋势可能反转。
在下图EUR/GBP 1小时图中,上涨趋势中价格未能形成新高、趋势线被跌破、价格回落至前低下方,可以确认这波上涨趋势已结束。
Graph 6
通常建议至少在小时图上运用这个法则来判断趋势,因为分钟图上的价格量太少,还不足以形成有效趋势。
结语
没有任何一种反转交易策略能保证抓住每一次价格反转。这是非常正常的现象,我们在使用任何策略前都应该记住这一点。交易的目的也不是抓住每一次机会。
对于经典的1-2-3反转形态,我们需要多多练习,用不同的方式去尝试它。对此,我们有几个小建议:
  • 结合1-2-3形态与其他汇聚点;
  • 寻找此前预示着趋势将结束的最高交易量信息;
  • 在趋势中寻找小幅1-2-3形态并交易回撤;
  • 谨慎对待入场和出场。可以考虑在价格突破点2价位前入场,并根据市场行情来设置更紧的止损