Friday, January 23, 2026

BTO abbot $90 1/15/2027 $90 pay $22

 AI Overview

Based on the query "BTO abbot $90 1/15/2027 $90 pay $22", this appears to be a trade setup for 
Abbott Laboratories (ABT), not "abbot."
Here is the analysis of the position:
  • Action: BTO (Buy to Open)
  • Asset: Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
  • Option Type: $90 Strike Call
  • Expiration: January 15, 2027
  • Price: $22 per share ($2,200 total cost per contract) 
Trade Characteristics (Long LEAPS Call)
By buying this call option, you are establishing a long-term bullish position (LEAPS) on Abbott Laboratories with the following characteristics: 
  • Breakeven: $112 per share ($90 strike + $22 premium) at expiration.
  • Maximum Risk: $2,200 per contract (if ABT is at or below $90 on 1/15/2027).
  • Maximum Profit: Unlimited (increases as ABT rises above $112).
  • Leverage: You control 100 shares for $2,200, whereas buying 100 shares outright would cost roughly $10,000+ (depending on the spot price). 
Disclaimer: Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor.

ABT stock | Support on M chart

 


Thursday, January 22, 2026

视野环球财经

 1月22全体会员通知(本帖不答疑,请勿提问,谢谢!):

计划内加仓2只股票 1月22 MSFT: 标准止跌形态,孕线,但成交量偏低,不一定完全止跌。加仓理由,由于我成本较低,492卖过仓位,差价已经做出来,所以把减掉的仓位全部加回去,无大碍。 加仓4%:均450 持仓成本:185.1 10% INTU: 非标准止跌形态,昨天21号的星线实体太大,已经是阴线,不标准,三天组合形态,只能算疑似止跌,类似一个变种的启明星。由于整个软件板块IGV,已经碰到了强支撑,从昨天开始,明显反抗力度变强,所以INTU先加2%,还有4%的仓位没有加完,不确定就此完全止跌。 加仓2%:均543.5 持仓成本:588.9 4% 未完成加仓计划:484-568 4% 等更强的止跌形态

ISRG stock | Earnings gain | Jan 22 2026

 


GE earnings crash on Jan 22 2026

 Stock "crashes" following earnings reports typically occur when a company's performance or future outlook significantly misses investor and analyst expectations (the "whisper number"), triggering a rapid sell-off and high volatility. 

Recent Examples of Earnings-Related Stock Drops
Individual company stock prices can experience severe, short-term drops (not to be confused with a broad market crash) after releasing disappointing earnings or guidance. For example, in late 2025/early 2026: 
  • Mobilicom Limited (NASDAQ:MOB) shares dropped over 99% on December 8, 2025, after a poor earnings report.
  • Agape ATP Corp (NASDAQ:ATPC) saw a decline of over 94% on December 10, 2025, following a significant earnings miss. 
Other recent instances where company stocks declined due to various earnings-related issues include:
  • Old Republic International Corp (ORI): The stock dropped nearly 14% in pre-market trading in Q4 2025 after an EPS miss, despite a revenue beat, reflecting concern over income metrics.
  • Abbott (ABT): The stock fell after missing quarterly revenue estimates and forecasting lower current-quarter profit, specifically due to reduced COVID-19 testing demand and pricing pressure.
  • McCormick (MKC): Shares sank after the spice maker issued a soft profit forecast for fiscal 2026, which was below analyst expectations.
  • Netflix (NFLX): In July 2018, its stock plunged over 14% in after-hours trading after it added fewer new subscribers than expected, erasing billions in market value within hours. 
Key Insights
  • Expectations Matter Most: The most significant factor is not just the actual results, but how they compare to the market's expectations (including unofficial "whisper numbers").
  • Future Guidance is Critical: A weak forecast or "guidance" from management regarding future earnings or sales can heavily overshadow strong current results, leading to a sell-off.
  • "Buy the Rumor, Sell the News": Often, a stock price runs up before the earnings report based on positive expectations. When the actual "good news" is released, investors sell to take profits, causing the price to drop.
  • Hidden Weaknesses: Investors look beyond top-line numbers (revenue and profit), examining metrics like declining gross margins, cash flow issues, or increased expenses, which can signal underlying problems.
  • Volatility is Common: Stock prices are highly volatile around earnings announcements as investors rapidly digest new information. Negative surprises tend to have a larger impact than positive ones. 
AI responses may include mistakes. For financial advice, consult a professional. Learn more

Orcl stock | Overnight price up to $82.77/ share

 


Wednesday, January 21, 2026

orcl stock sell put $190 in 3 weeks is a good idea or not

 AI Overview

Based on data from late January 2026, selling a $190 put on Oracle (ORCL) with a 3-week expiration is a 
high-risk, tactical move, as the stock has recently experienced significant downward pressure, dropping below $180. 
Here is an analysis of why this strategy is risky, given that Oracle (ORCL) closed at $173.88 on January 21, 2026. 
Key Considerations (as of Jan 21, 2026)
  • Deeply In-the-Money (ITM): With ORCL trading around $174, a $190 strike put is already over $15 in-the-money. This means if you sell this put, you are highly likely to be assigned and forced to buy the shares at $190, even though they are trading significantly lower.
  • High Risk of Assignment: A sold put is "assigned" if the stock price is below the strike price at expiration. Given the current price of $174, the probability of assignment is very high.
  • Significant Unrealized Loss: If assigned at $190 while the stock is at $174, you would immediately have an unrealized loss of roughly $16 per share ($1,600 per contract), minus whatever premium you collected.
  • Weak Support Levels: Recent analysis indicated that if the $176 support level was broken, there might not be strong support until the $153-$156 range. 
Is it a Good Idea?
No, this is likely not a good idea unless your specific goal is to acquire ORCL shares at a "discounted" price compared to higher prices earlier in the month.
  • If you want the stock: You are better off buying the shares outright at $174 rather than promising to buy them at $190.
  • If you are looking for income (premium): While the premium will be high, the risk of assignment and a $1,600+ loss makes it a dangerous, non-defensive play.
  • If you are bearish: You should not be selling put options (which is a bullish or neutral strategy). 
Technical Context (Jan 2026)
  • Down Trend: The stock has shown major weakness, with recent reports highlighting a 17% drop in 5 days, showing "wild" volatility.
  • Lower Support: Recent data shows the stock falling below $180, potentially toward $170. 
Conclusion: Selling a $190 put when the stock is at $174 is a aggressive bet that the stock will sharply rebound back over $190 in just 3 weeks, which contradicts the current downward momentum. 

六种股市里赚钱最好的方法

 

爱玩股票AiWanGuPiao

对于普通人来说,在股市里赚钱最好的方法,大概就这六种: 第一种,是等大跌,买指数。 平时什么都不做,该上班上班,该生活生活。只用闲钱,等到市场出现那种“股灾式”的大跌(比如去年9月、今年4月的行情),再买入宽基ETF。不用选股,一次行情赚个30%-40%是可能的。 第二种,是专注一两只股票,反复做波段。 找到一两只你认为真正值得投资的股票,永远保留现金。涨的时候卖一点,跌的时候买一点,来回做,目标是把成本一路做低,甚至做成负数。 第三种,是攒股收股息。 买入那些股息率能到5%左右的国企、央企,在它们跌透时买进去,然后拿着吃分红。就像有朋友买公路股,本来只想每年拿4%的利息,结果遇上行情,股价还翻了一倍。 第四种,是看懂周期,反向布局。 远离现在炒上天的板块,去找那些没人关注的、低估的板块。比如2022年,大家都在追光伏、医药、白酒,有朋友那时布局跌了几年的银行股,现在市值已经翻了一倍。 第五种,是价值投资,等好公司打折。 说白了就是“数月亮不数星星”,只买龙头公司。等它们因为市场情绪被打到极度便宜时,分批重仓买进去。你的目标不是赚几个点,而是等它价值回归,赚两倍、三倍甚至更多的钱。 第六种,是赚企业成长的钱。 这是比较有难度的,就是去投那些市值还小、但前景很优秀、未来可能翻几倍甚至几十倍的公司。这需要你对行业有深刻的理解,就像“数星星”,考验的是你超级的选股能力。 这六条路,每一条都能走通。关键不是知道,而是选一条适合你自己的,然后坚持下去。

如何交易position trade | Leo Yuen

 

今天传授大家我是如何交易position trade的,并且举例过去这几年PLTR给我带来上百万美金的利润!

说下我对swing trade和position trade的本质区别吧,自从2020年开始我就喜欢做position trade,因为position trade通常会伴随一些市场上big winners的出现,一旦你抓到这些big winners的话,你的帐户是比做swing trade带来的收益要高很多很多,我定义的position trade无非就一个核心就是市值必须要大才行,至少在40 billions以上,最好在50 billions以上,这样你才安心的开大一点ROTE,通常这种position trade的ROTE可以开到0.4-1%这个区间,止损的话通常在3%以内,这样窄止损可以把仓位开到很大,一旦遇到市场的big winners的话,你是可以吃的非常香的!position trade的止盈方式都会伴随我用的被动止盈方式,就是不断提高你的止损区域until真的被打到离场 总结下我自己对position trade的核心看法: 1.市值至少在40 billions以上,最好在50 billions以上 2. 这只股必须是华尔街机构目前交易的热点,而且每个季度的Sales和operation revenue都必须有3位数的增长 3. ROTE可以开到0.4-1%这个区间 4. 止损的话通常在3%以内,窄止损大仓位这种配合 5. 止盈方式都会伴随我用的被动止盈方式,就是不断提高你的止损区域(在50MA附近)until真的被打到离场,这样你才能真正的抓去一段bigger move 而swing trade就不同了,没有市值的要求,但市值小的股票涨幅的延续性不如市值大的big winners,市值小的非常容易大涨大跌,即使涨了100%也很容易跌50%,这是非常常见现象,swing trade的ROTE不能开特别大,一般在0.1-0.4%这个区间,止损一般也是比position trade大一点的,在3-12%这个范围内,而止损大了这也意味着你仓位会很小,所以这就是swing trade和position trade区别。 总结下我自己对swing trade核心看法: 1. 市值没有特别要求 2. ROTE在0.1-0.4%这个区间 3. 止损的话通常在3-12%以内,止损大的话意味着仓位会特别小 引用William O'Neil说过:“股市的一个伟大悖论是看起来太高的东西通常会更高,看起来太低的东西通常会更低。”通常太高的东西会更高这些都是big winners的特征,都是市场的热点,都是有一定市值的,所以position trade给你赚大钱远远多过swing trade的,美股每年都会有big winners出现所以不用担心抓不到!

能源、盟友、格陵兰……特朗普达沃斯演讲回应一切

 美国总统特朗普于周三抵达瑞士达沃斯,并在世界经济论坛年会上发表演讲。


综合央视新闻与新华社等报道,特朗普的演讲超过一个小时,逐一回应了美国经济、能源路线、与欧洲等盟友的关系,以及格陵兰岛等热点话题。

对于美国经济,他表示,美国通胀已被击败,美国核心通胀率为1.5%,由于关税措施,美国药品价格将大幅下降90%,预计美国2025年第四季度经济增长率为5.4%,超过国际货币基金组织预测的两倍。

在能源方面,特朗普称美国石油日产量增加73万桶,汽油价格很快就会低于2美元/加仑,而天然气产量则处于历史最高水平。此外,美国还在大力发展核能,现在能够以合理的价格获得核能。

为配合人工智能爆发式的运算需求,美国能源部在去年底通过改革将石油和核能资源置于优先地位。联邦政府正计划在2030年前开建10座新反应堆,总投资达800亿美元。

特朗普还透露,上周美国从委内瑞拉获取了5000万桶原油,并将与对方“分成”石油收入。一天前,委内瑞拉代总统罗德里格斯称该国政府已从由美国主导的5亿美元原油销售收入中收到首笔款项3亿美元,这些资金将用于帮助提高劳动者收入并抑制通货膨胀。

截至2025年底,美国联邦债务总额已逼近‌40万亿美元‌,占其GDP的比重高达‌123%‌。对此,特朗普宣称经济增长、削减开支、收取关税是解决出路。他透露通过关税措施,将月度贸易逆差削减了77%。

在谈到美国与传统盟友的关系时,特朗普的讲话显得火药味十足。

他回应了加拿大总理卡尼的“不点名批评”,称加拿大因为美国而存在,对方需要记住这一点。卡尼在一天前的达沃斯演讲中暗指长期以来由美国主导的国际秩序已经终结,加拿大等中等大国必须转变策略,避免沦为强大势力进一步“胁迫”的牺牲品。

特朗普还提到,美国一直受到北约的不公平对待,但从来没有(向北约)伸手索要任何东西,如果美国遭到打击,也不确定北约是否会提供帮助。

他试图还在演讲中为格陵兰岛话题降温,称这个丹麦的自治领地是北美洲的一部分、美国的“核心国家安全利益”所在,但美国无意动用过激武力来获取,正寻求立即就收购格陵兰岛事宜展开谈判。随后丹麦政府对这一最新表态予以正面评价。

特朗普说,美国需要的是强大盟友,而不是实力严重削弱的盟友,格陵兰局势充分反映了这个问题,除了美国,没有哪个国家有能力确保这个世界第一大岛的安全。

由于俄乌冲突和关税纷争,围绕价值观与安全分歧,跨大西洋之间的裂痕在加深。白宫新版《国家安全战略》报告进一步将欧洲地位降级。

特朗普自称是欧洲移民的后代,美国关心欧洲人民,但欧洲在绿色能源和移民问题上走错了路。欧洲的一些地方已经变得面目全非。

鉴于特朗普就格陵兰岛问题发出关税威胁,欧洲议会已决定无限期冻结欧美贸易协议,还考虑对价值930亿欧元的美国输欧商品加征关税,或者限制美国企业进入。

特朗普还可能在本次论坛期间召开所谓的“加沙和平委员会”首次会议,这个由他主导的机制被批评人士质疑为试图打造“平行联合国”的地缘政治工具。德国和法国已明确收到其加入的邀请,但公开回绝。

本届达沃斯年会以“对话的精神”为主题,围绕如何在竞争加剧的世界中开展合作、如何释放新的增长动力、如何推动创新技术的规模化应用等五大关键全球挑战展开讨论。各大国的互动也备受瞩目。

HAL | TDY | Earnings Gainers | Jan 21 2026