Sunday, February 8, 2026

Feb 9 week earnings calendar

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The video provides a portfolio update, discussing the performance of the "Koshi Investing Portfolio 2K" and individual stock movements (0:00). The host details upcoming earnings reports from various companies and their expected growth rates (1:04).

Key takeaways include:

  • Portfolio Performance: The portfolio was down 6.3% over the past week, bringing the year-to-date performance to -3.92% (0:03). Since its inception, the portfolio is up 142% compared to the S&P 500's 39% (0:27).
  • Earnings Calendar: The video lists several companies reporting earnings next week, including Pagaya, monday.com, Open Door, Coca-Cola, Oscar Health, Robinhood, Shopify, Unity, McDonald's, Applovin, Cisco, Coinbase, Pinterest, and Rivian (1:04-3:08).
  • Stock Deep Dives:
    • Robinhood: The company is expected to grow revenue by 53.4% for the past fiscal year, with continued growth projected (3:19). The host notes the impact of Bitcoin's price on Robinhood's stock and discusses the company's "prediction markets" (3:40, 5:11).
    • Pagaya: Expected to grow revenue by 27.4% for the past fiscal year, with a deceleration in growth projected for future years (5:41). The host believes Pagaya will exceed Wall Street expectations (6:26).
    • Nebius: The stock saw a 16.6% increase recently (6:37). The host reviews the company's targeted annualized run rate (ARR) revenue and contracted power goals for 2025 and 2026 (7:00).
    • Meta: Despite reporting "amazing earnings," Meta's stock is back to its pre-earnings level (11:06). The host highlights its strong revenue generation ($200 billion) and expected 24% growth, considering it a good value at 22 times forward earnings (11:27).
    • Oscar Health: The host increased their position in Oscar Health, accumulating shares at a lower price (12:19). The company is expected to return to profitability in 2026 (12:31).
  • Portfolio Adjustments: The host sold 300 shares of Iron to invest more in Nebius and SoFi (9:56). They also increased positions in Dlocal, Robinhood, and Meta, and sold all shares of PayPal due to perceived lack of transparency from the company (13:44, 14:19).
  • Market Analysis: The video touches on the "fear and greed index," the NASDAQ 100 stocks being oversold, and the total put-to-call ratio, suggesting potential market bottoms (21:16). The host also discusses the low correlation among S&P 500 components, indicating a market where large tech companies are not participating as much as other stocks (23:19).
  • Investment Philosophy: The host emphasizes that good companies get rewarded and bad companies get punished (25:00). The video concludes with a clip from Peter Lynch, explaining market corrections and the importance of taking advantage of declines if you understand the companies you own (28:12


【美股2.7周行情复盘】💥美股真反弹,下周止跌了吗?|⚠️ 大盘以及个股点位更新!#美股

Here is the link.



6 Stocks to BUY NOW After Earnings Crash!

Here is the link. 

 This video discusses six stocks that have experienced significant dips after their recent earnings reports, presenting them as potential buying opportunities. The speaker categorizes these stocks into low, medium, and high-risk options based on their current financial health and market conditions.

Here's a breakdown of the stocks discussed:

  • Low-Risk Stocks (0:50)

    • Amazon (0:59): The stock dropped over 14% due to high spending on AI infrastructure, with a monumental $200 billion projected for 2026 (4:46). Despite this, Amazon's sales exceeded $700 billion (1:38), and net income grew by over 30% (2:16), making it one of the most profitable companies. The North America segment and AWS also show strong growth (3:07, 3:46).
    • Microsoft (6:31): Microsoft's stock fell due to a 66% year-over-year increase in capital expenditure (6:47). However, the company reported $81 billion in sales for the quarter (7:09), up 17% year-over-year, and a 60% increase in net income (7:22). Microsoft's strong market position in enterprise software, GitHub, and Azure, along with AI integrations, indicate significant future potential (7:27).
  • Medium-Risk Stocks (8:21)

    • AMD (8:31): Despite a nearly 20% drop, AMD's earnings were strong, with sales up 34% year-over-year to $10.3 billion (8:57) and operating income up 50% (9:11). The data center business, crucial for AI, grew by 39% (9:21). The dip is attributed to guidance not being "impressive enough" for Wall Street's high expectations (9:38). AMD's AI business is just starting, with new chips and major customer acquisitions like OpenAI and Oracle (10:35).
    • VeriSign (11:33): The stock fell about 10% and is down 30% from its 52-week high (11:38) due to a slight miss on EPS despite beating sales and raising guidance (11:52). VeriSign holds exclusive rights to .com and .net domains, giving it a strong monopoly (12:35). The company boasts high renewal rates (13:04), predictable revenue, and gross margins typically close to 90% (13:39).
  • High-Risk Stocks (14:27)

    • Disney (14:32): Disney's stock has lost nearly half its value (14:46) due to anticipated softer international theme park traffic (14:50), struggles in sports and legacy TV (15:11), and uncertainty surrounding a new CEO (15:38). Despite these challenges, Disney's experiences unit (theme parks, resorts, cruises) generated a record $10 billion in revenue (16:17), accounting for over 70% of operating profit (16:30). The streaming segment (Disney Plus and Hulu) is also showing significant improvement in sales and operating income (17:34).
    • ServiceNow (18:19): ServiceNow has experienced a significant crash, falling over 30% in the past month and 50% in the past year (18:26), despite strong earnings and continued business growth (18:35). The sell-off is attributed to investors not being "impressed enough" (18:41). ServiceNow is a strong enterprise software company that digitalizes workflows (18:56), leading to high renewal rates (19:20). The integration of AI is making their services even more essential for companies (19:30). The main risk is increased competition from tech giants (20:00).

MSFT stock | D chart buy point

 




NVDA stock |

 


道指破历史新高,不只是牛市狂欢,而是主力开始“选方向”……那为什么我会首推NVIDIA(英伟达、辉达)和Microsoft(微软)?

Saturday, February 7, 2026

(会员第18期) 抄底形态之W底构成要素!涨幅如何测量?哪些股票形成W底?

 


(会员第17期) 跌跌不休,何时抄底?抄底K线技术形态之二

 














(会员第16期) 跌跌不休,何时抄底?抄底K线技术形态之一

 





(会员第16期) 跌跌不休,何时抄底?抄底K线技术形态之一

(会员第39期)左侧(越跌越买)交易法,应该注意什么?

 








Feb 6 stock distributor helped to push market up detail please

 On February 6, 2026, the U.S. stock market experienced a historic rally as the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1,206.95 points (2.47%) to close above the 50,000 milestone for the first time. This "buy-the-dip" rebound was primarily driven by a recovery in AI hardware and semiconductor stocks, which investors viewed as the primary beneficiaries of massive capital expenditure plans announced by major tech companies

Market Drivers and "Stock Distributors"
While the term "stock distributor" often refers to companies like Boise Cascade (BCC), which saw a 2.8% jump, the broader market push was fueled by the following key sectors and names:
  • AI Hardware Rebound: After a week of heavy selling due to AI bubble fears, semiconductor leaders like Nvidia (NVDA) surged nearly 8%, while Broadcom gained 7%. Investors pivoted to these "pick-and-shovel" winners as they realized that massive AI spending by firms like Amazon ($200 billion forecast) directly benefits chip manufacturers.
  • Industrial and Cyclical Gains: Blue-chip industrial stocks provided significant upward pressure. Caterpillar (CAT) rallied 7.1%, benefiting from strong power equipment sales to data centers. Other notable movers in the building and infrastructure distribution space included Martin Marietta Materials (MLM), which hit a new 52-week high after rising 2.9%.
  • Cryptocurrency Recovery: A significant bounce in Bitcoin, which rose back above $70,000, helped lift crypto-exposed stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which surged 26%.
  • Consumer Sentiment: A preliminary reading from the University of Michigan showed consumer sentiment at its highest level since August, while short-term inflation expectations moderated to 3.5%, providing a macroeconomic tailwind for the rally.
Major Index Performance (Feb 6, 2026)
IndexClosing LevelDaily Change
Dow Jones Industrial Average50,115.67+2.47%
S&P 5006,932.30+1.97%
Nasdaq Composite23,031.21+2.18%
Russell 2000 (Small-Cap)2,670.34+3.60%
Philadelphia Semiconductor (SOX)7,614.64+5.70%
Key Insights
  • Historic Milestone: The Dow's climb above 50,000 took less than two years after previously hitting 40,000, illustrating the index's resilience despite ongoing "walls of worry".
  • Divergent Tech Moves: While hardware stocks soared, some major cloud and software names struggled. Amazon fell 5.6% as investors worried its aggressive $200 billion AI spending plan would burn through cash and squeeze margins in 2026.
  • Auto Sector Drag: Contrary to the broad rally, Stellantis shares plunged 24% following a $26 billion charge related to scaling back its electric vehicle business.Market Drivers and "Stock Distributors"
    While the term "stock distributor" often refers to companies like Boise Cascade (BCC), which saw a 2.8% jump, the broader market push was fueled by the following key sectors and names:
    • AI Hardware Rebound: After a week of heavy selling due to AI bubble fears, semiconductor leaders like Nvidia (NVDA) surged nearly 8%, while Broadcom gained 7%. Investors pivoted to these "pick-and-shovel" winners as they realized that massive AI spending by firms like Amazon ($200 billion forecast) directly benefits chip manufacturers.
    • Industrial and Cyclical Gains: Blue-chip industrial stocks provided significant upward pressure. Caterpillar (CAT) rallied 7.1%, benefiting from strong power equipment sales to data centers. Other notable movers in the building and infrastructure distribution space included Martin Marietta Materials (MLM), which hit a new 52-week high after rising 2.9%.
    • Cryptocurrency Recovery: A significant bounce in Bitcoin, which rose back above $70,000, helped lift crypto-exposed stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which surged 26%.
    • Consumer Sentiment: A preliminary reading from the University of Michigan showed consumer sentiment at its highest level since August, while short-term inflation expectations moderated to 3.5%, providing a macroeconomic tailwind for the rally.
    Major Index Performance (Feb 6, 2026)
    IndexClosing LevelDaily Change
    Dow Jones Industrial Average50,115.67+2.47%
    S&P 5006,932.30+1.97%
    Nasdaq Composite23,031.21+2.18%
    Russell 2000 (Small-Cap)2,670.34+3.60%
    Philadelphia Semiconductor (SOX)7,614.64+5.70%
    Key Insights
    • Historic Milestone: The Dow's climb above 50,000 took less than two years after previously hitting 40,000, illustrating the index's resilience despite ongoing "walls of worry".
    • Divergent Tech Moves: While hardware stocks soared, some major cloud and software names struggled. Amazon fell 5.6% as investors worried its aggressive $200 billion AI spending plan would burn through cash and squeeze margins in 2026.
    • Auto Sector Drag: Contrary to the broad rally, Stellantis shares plunged 24% following a $26 billion charge related to scaling back its electric vehicle business.