Five star | *****| Trading Checklist FAQs | LiteFinance

Here is the article. 

#TradingCheckList #RiskManagement #5-3-1Rule #1PercentRule #90PercentRule #No1RuleOfTrading #RuleOf20 #50-50Rule #TradingRules #MyRules #531Rule #5050Rule #TradingRules

What is a trading checklist?

A trading checklist is a predefined set of criteria a trader uses to evaluate potential trades, ensuring alignment with their trading plan and risk management strategies.

What is the 5 3 1 rule in trading?

The 5- 3- 1 rule in trading stands for analyzing 5 indicators, considering 3 different time frames, and focusing on 1 particular trading opportunity to minimize risk and enhance decision-making.

What is the 1% rule for traders?

The 1% rule for traders dictates that no more than 1% of a trader's capital should be risked on a single trade, promoting long-term sustainability by managing potential losses.

What is 90% rule in trading?

The 90% rule in trading suggests that 90% of your trading success is due to psychological factors and discipline, while only 10% relies on technical analysis and strategy.

What is No 1 rule of trading?

The No 1 rule of trading emphasizes the importance of a well-defined trading plan, guiding traders to make decisions based on logic rather than emotion, crucial for consistency.

What is the rule of 20 trading?

The rule of 20 in trading advises traders to not have more than 20% of their trading capital exposed in the market at any given time to manage risk effectively.

What is the 50 50 rule in trading?

The 50 50 rule in trading refers to the understanding that, despite thorough analysis and a solid trading plan, the outcome of any trade has an inherent 50% chance of success.

Julia's notes:

1. Be a trader following rules first
2. I have to discipline myself first, following the above rules - 1% rule for traders
3. 1% rule for traders - set stop loss - 1%
4. Forget those big loss on SABR stock, I need to learn how to make money on other stocks first; I will go back to work on risky stock like SABR later
5. Try to memorize those rules - 6 rules, rules about risk management, percentage in the market, technical analysis and chance of success - inherent 50% chance of success
6. First rule to follow - 1% rule for traders - no big bet - change my behavior

主力机构都在用的「经典解套策略」 收藏好

#SABRStrategy #SABRLoss50Thousands #SABRLessons #SABR2023 #SABRMotherDayPray #SABRFatherDayPray #SabrStopLossAt2

Here is the article. 

最近美股持续下跌，很多散户都想知道股票被深套怎么解决？是等待行情的好转还是忍痛割肉呢？其实躺平无动于衷并不是最好的方法。今天我来教大家一个主力机构都在用的经典解套策略。

假如你有10万块钱. 在10块钱的价格你买入了1万股，买入后很不幸，股价就开始下跌，一通猛跌，一下子跌了20%，这个时候你会怎么做呢？

我猜测会有8成以上的散户在这里会装死不动，也就是10块钱的股票，如果跌到8块钱很少有人在此时选择把它卖出。一般情况下呢，如果股价跌到了8块钱之前，你没有卖出，那之后你会很难再下的去手去割肉了。

我们今天讲一个极端的方法。假设当股价从10块钱跌到8块钱继续到达7块钱，也就是回撤的力度已经达到30%了，这样的情况下如何解套呢？大家注意了，主力往往会这样操作！

在跌了30%之后，主力会选择手里的股票一分为二，把5000股留在手里，另外5000股选择在这个位置卖出。此时的股价是七块钱。卖出5000股得到的现金是35000元，同时手上还剩5000股股票。

做了这一步操作之后，通常情况下，根据技术分析股价下跌，一旦回撤力度大于20%，这就说明下跌趋势已经形成了，虽然20%只是一个心理数字，但华尔街普遍的共识会把熊市定义为：从最近的峰值下跌20%。

那此时股价可能还会继续下跌，通常跌幅会达到50% 甚至更多。也就是10块钱的股票可能会变成5块钱或者更少， 而当股价跌到了五块钱时。目前我们手里的现金是上一次卖完的35000元，同时手上还有5000股。此时主力会选择干一件事情，那就是在比较低的价位5块钱买到7000股。买完之后总共的数量是12000股。

也就是在下跌途中 如果你什么都不去做的话，从10块钱持股，一直跌跌跌，跌到5块钱，你手里面还是1万股。 但是我们中间做了这两步操作之后呢，你会发现，当股价来到5块钱的时候你的手里股票数量却多了2000股，这就是经典的下跌赚股，或 “熊市赚股，牛市赚钱”，超级大熊市面前我们赚的是股票。牛市时股票从1元/股涨到3元/股，熊市底部的时候会跌回到1元/股，此时我们介入，等待一个牛市，又能继续赚几倍。等待超级大熊市形成大底时，投资者手里一定要有钱。

在这样的情况下，往往股价的下跌就有了一定的衰竭，此时股价开始强势反弹，而反弹往往是一种诱多现象，为了把股价拉起来，此时股价会再一次出现一个新的高度。

比如从5块钱反弹到8块钱，这时大家注意，8块钱的位置，你现在有12000股，我们同样选择留5000股在手，把刚才在低位买进的7000股，在这里全部卖掉。7000股卖掉，按照8块钱可以获得56000元的现金，再加上 5000股的股票。这个时候呢，我们已经完成了卖买卖的三步操作。现在在8块钱的位置，往往是一个次高点，于是股价继续回调，在回调的同时接近5块钱的位置，这时我们发现这就是庄家在打压股价的一种手法。

当股价再次跌到5块钱时候我们同样做跟上一次一样的操作，那就是在5块钱，我们再一次买入。原来你有5000股，而这个时候手里的56000块钱我们全部买入得到是1.12万股. 那么经过以上四步的操作之后呢，你突然就会发现，手中的股票数量变为了1.62万股，持股的数量多了整整6200股。

在这种情况下股价虽然已经下跌了仍旧被套，但是不算特别深，因为你的成本基本上已经回来了，5块乘1.62万股就是8.1万，离本金10万，仅仅只有1.9万块钱还不到20%，这个时候股价往往会出现反弹，因为它是前期的底部支撑。

为了更好的说明这个解套战法和“装死不动”之间的差别，假如股价反弹到6.2美元，你就能解套了。更乐观的情况是股票回到了10块钱，这个时候你 “装死不动”成本才刚好持平实现解套，但是如果你能够通过我们刚才讲到的方法来操作的话你会发现手上这1.62万股的股票对应的市值是16.2万块钱，你净赚了6.2万，收益率高达62%，一定非常开心。

这就是主力资金经常用到的经典解套战法：寻找被套股票的高抛低吸，摊低成本的一种方法。这套经典的解套战法，对于我们普通投资者来说是非常重要的，你需要的是理解这个逻辑到底是怎么看，就是上涨的时候我们要赚钱下跌的时候我们要赚股，而不是一直的被动的去等待它上涨，达到你的目标位。并且现在的股票有时候分化是很严重的，如果我们一直等着它，很有可能几个月几年都达不到你的心理预期的一个价位。

股市起起落落，涨跌无常，投资者不可能每次一买股票就会涨，最理智的方法就是设置止损，每个交易都不超过亏损总资金的3%-5%。一旦不舍得割肉，遇上熊市，就可能出现被“套牢”，套牢其实并不可怕，关键是懂得如何“解套”，从解套中吸取教训和获得经验。

在最后为大家总结一下重点：

1.学会判断区分此行情的走势。这个方法是有针对性的，适合很多类似的行情走势，不是说所有的行情走势都可以使用的。

a、大盘：企稳时补、不稳不补。（如果在行情既未止跌，也未企稳时补仓，只会越套越深）

b、股性：熟悉的补、不熟不补。（熟悉的股票，自己心中有数）

c、业绩：良好的补、不良不补。

d、走势：起涨时补、破位不补。（前面说的，大势已去的股票不补）

e、涨跌：大跌时补、大涨不补。

2.判断正确的出手、入手点位。千万不要就地取材不分情况直接套用，这样的话是要为自己的认知而买单的。这也是我不愿意看到的，希望大家可以真的活学活用！学习的话，吸收消化，以后再来使用。

3.认清形势，规划好自己手中的筹码，有计划买入、卖出。切不可凭感觉做出判断毫无根据的去操作啊，需要实时观看技术面盘面的信号，找出阻力位支撑线等。

4.不要坐以待毙，等着行情走，要变被动为主动。要巧妙的利用此战术，让对自己不利的行情转化为对自己有利的一个行情。

SABR stock | Feb. 2024 Earnings dip | Lessons to learn

 #gamble #StockTakeOffTable #StopLoss #FirstLossBestLoss #3Days15000USDollarsLoss #10Days18000USDallarsLoss #

Lesson to learn

Warning message - Not too late | No excuse, stop loss 

SABR: Yahoo -> Finance -> Conversation

 4 hours ago

Two years ago, I placed an order 1000 share of MRO at price $4.5, now it is $28. I cut loss around $180 dollars. Right now, I set up helper for SABR 7000 shares at cost 7.1, it is 2000 shares of MRO. Two years one lesson on MRO. Stay in the market, and work on long term.

2 days ago

It is hard for me to learn to be a long term investor. I failed on BORR, GTE.TO, GTE, MRO, CVE, OVV. I formed habit to trade on short term, but I could not realize BORR 300% return from June 2021 to June 202, OVV 20 baggers, GTE 20,000 share on $80 Canada cents -> $1.8. Now I am working on my first investment training, SABR, 6700 shares, cut loss 10,000 first, and then got back $7.10, had over $5000 gains around $7.90, and now went back with $5000 dollar loss. What is secret to a long term investor? Just ignore market up and down. I need to preserve cash for bear market, and continue to work on SABR research.

Guidelines

• 

  yesterday

  Simple advice….set a long term price target and be disciplined not to sell until you reach it. For me, I am holding many shares of Sabre until it hits $14.90 and will not sell a single share until then. It may take a year or even 2 years, but that’s ok with me.

• 8 days ago

  SABR went down over 3.43%, and I like to review technology strength:
  
  Senior Director Software Engineering
  
  Aug 2015 - Present · 6 yrs 10 mos
  Southlake, Texas, United States
  • Managing development of USD 12M+ R&D budget for multiple product lines in the Airline IT portfolio used by 100+ airlines generating USD 60M+ in revenues. Primary responsibilities include:
  - managing and providing leadership to 100+ team members across three global development centers with 8 direct reports (software engineering managers, technical product managers, software architect)
  - closely collaborating with product management and cross-functional teams (UI/UX, PMO, Operations Research -OR)
  - executing product roadmap (investment budget) and customer change requests (CRs)
  - improving SCRUM team productivity using tools, processes and metrics
  - ensuring quality and stability with release management best practices and extensive monitoring
  - driving cost efficiencies and speed to market by automating CI/CD pipeline
  - defining and executing technology transformation in partnership with Google. This involves migrating complex monolithic applications to GCP, Cloud SQL, containerization/GKE, REST API and Microservices architecture with a web front end
  
  Those 100+ team member and three development centers are so important for SABRE business. One more quarter, two more quarters, business will continue to improve since pandemic should have gone ...

  

  Guidelines

  • 

    6 days ago

    Money and manpower help but won't solve SABR's technology problem. That needs the right leaders. My sense is SABR's tech operations is dated to IBM era, with numerous modern pieces of patched on top, here and there. Whomever can fix it should be hired to fix IRS's tech shop, which is even more dated.
• 

  12 days ago

  Plan to invest another 2 - 3 years, if recession does happen, interest goes up.
  
  This high debt level entails additional interest costs which ranged from $80M to $100M annually, compared to 2019. The company has paid $156M of interest payment in 2019, and this is increased to $235M during 2020.
  
  Thus the recovery of operating cash flow will be offset by this interest payment from 2021 to 2024. Prior to the pandemic, the company generated an operating cash flow of $735M excluding the interest payments of $156M. I expect that the company will generate an operating cash flow before interest payment of $10M to $200M in 2021. This level of operating cash flow is not enough to cover annual interest costs of $230M. From 2022 to 2023, the company will begin to record the positive operating cash flow, but more than half of those values will be used for paying the interests. Of course, this means that equity investors cannot expect the dividends for at least 2-3 years.
• 

  12 days ago

  SABRE debt management plan:
  Over the next 2-3 years of recovery, the company will not lower its debt level significantly because it needs to keep its cash reserve until its operating cash flow recovery is strong enough. According to my forecast (see the last table at the end of the post), the company cannot generate meaningful cash flow that can pay off the debt of $500M - $600M until the year 2023. This is also evident in the company's own debt repayment schedule in the table below. According to this schedule, the major repayment will start from 2023 with $645M, followed by $1.9B in 2024.
• 

  12 days ago

  From a day trader to a good thinker, learn one thing a day about SABRE business:
  
  During the initial pandemic shock to the travel industry, the company’s revenue declined by -67% YoY during 2020. The company started to burn cash by recording a negative operating cash flow of -$773M during 2020.
  
  To manage this unprecedented crisis, the company raised its capital by $1.5B. ($1.1B from loan, $375M from equity and $69M from the leaseback of their own building.) Also, the company has made its business model lean, via restructuring and reducing its global workforce by 20%. The company could increase the operating margin by migrating over from a legacy server to a cloud infrastructure. The company now expects to have $175M to $200M in annual savings from 2021 onwards, based on their last quarterly review.
• 

  13 days ago

  I did some research about SABRE. There are total around 800 employees in Texas headquarters, 300 in India, 300 in Europe countries; And SABRE is also cutting budget and in 2021 SABRE cut office space, two -> one building office. I googled https://www.dallasnews.com/business/real-estate/2021/01/11/sabres-southlake-headquarters-campus-sells/
  
  One senior manager left SABRE to join AMAZON as a manager, one senior architect joined Amazon Vancouver. Anyway, the company tech leadership is no problem.
  
  Everything is normal about SABRE. I chose good tech company, which can survive, grow through pandemic, with vaccine.
  
  Also since I Hold so many shares, it is hard to resist tempation to do day trade. I chose no to day trade. I did my case study about Nov. 2021 oil stocks, 5000 dollars GTE, I chose OXY, MRO, CVE, APA, and RIG to track growth together, diversification is definitely good idea. OXY over 100% gain, GTE over 100% gain, RIG only 10% gain, MRO 80%, APA 58%
• 

  19 days ago

  why is this trash not moving with the index anymore?
• 

  20 days ago

  Glad to see SABR up 5%, compared to NCLH 13%, AAL 7%. I still learned to hold those positions of SABR. I have 6700 shares, average cost: 7.08. I cut loss over $11,000 dollars a few weeks ago. Learn to stay in the market, do not time the market.

  

  Guidelines

  • 

    19 days ago

    Agree..good advice. It may take a year or two, however I think those who are patient will recognize over 100% ROI. This is my largest position currently and the one I am least worried about.