Saturday, June 1, 2019

401(k) balances skyrocket in the decade since the market bottom

Here is the article.

What I learn through the article reading:

The S&P 500 is up roughly 320% over the same time frame, or 426% when factoring in dividends.


“Keep your behavior in check, keep your emotions in check, keep investing,” said O’Brien. “It sounds silly, but the best thing for investors who save every payday is for the market to be down every payday so they’re purchasing stocks and bonds on sale.

“That won’t always happen but it’s the ideal situation.”

Here are copy of the article:

Key points:

  1. The average 401(k) balance rose by 466% since the market bottom in March 2009.
  2. For millennials, the average account rose by nearly 1,800% to $129,800.
  3. To make the most of your 401(k), advisors say put enough in to meet your company match and keep investing.
Turns out staying the course pays off.

According to a report released by Fidelity Investments, the average 401(k) retirement plan balance rose by 466% to $297,700, in the 10 years since the March 2009 market bottom.

Millennials, who had average savings of $7,000 in the first quarter of 2009, saw their average 401(k) balance grow to just under $130,000, a gain of 1,762%.

The numbers are surprising, said Michael Gibney, a certified financial planner with Modera Wealth Management in Westwood, New Jersey.

“Once you set it and forget it, people are amazed by how much their balance will grow.”

Fidelity based its findings on 1.64 million accounts where workers actively contributed and remained at the same company over the decade. The total amount includes both participant and employer contributions.




The eye-popping gains were certainly helped along by the overall market performance. The S&P 500 is up roughly 320% over the same time frame, or 426% when factoring in dividends.

“While the growth of account balances is due to a combination of market performance and savings, both are critical to reaching long term retirement savings goals,” Kevin Barry, president of Workplace Investing, said in the report.

Seeing a big number in your account may be deceiving, warned EVO Advisers’ David O’Brien, a financial advisor who helps smaller companies manage and develop 401(k) plans.

“It needs to have context,” said O’Brien. “Answering that big question of, ‘Am I contributing enough?,’ and, for millennials, ‘Am I contributing it in the right tax bucket?’”

Because contributions are made pre-tax, 401(k) plans offer the upfront benefit of lowering the amount of income subject to taxes.
But eventually you have to pay the piper (in this case, the IRS) and money taken out in retirement is taxed at your ordinary income rate, which for the top bracket is currently 37%.
Blair duQuesnay of Ritholtz Wealth Management in New York suggests splitting retirement savings equally into three buckets. In addition to a 401(k), duQuesnay has clients use a Roth individual retirement account — which is funded by post-tax dollars, making withdrawals in retirement tax-free — as well as a brokerage account. “You’ll have flexibility to manipulate your taxable income in any given year during retirement,” she said.

Rodney Brooks

Here is the profile of USA Today's retirement editor.


Fidelity: Average 401(k) nearly doubles since '09

Here is the article link, written in February 13, 2014.

What I learn through the article


Facts

"No one will complain when account balances go up," she says. But most of that increase — 78% — was due to last year's strong stock market. Just 22% was due to contributions. In normal years, those numbers are closer to 50-50, she says.

The article was written in 2014. 

Fact 1: 78% was due to 2013's strong stock market - balance go up 

Arguments:
"Individuals who cash out of their 401(k) plans are committing the equivalent of investment suicide,"

Thompson said the average cash-out is $16,000. For a 30-year-old, that could mean the loss of $461 in monthly retirement-income cash flow (assuming the person retires at 67 and lives into their 90s.

A few numbers to read:
Average cash-out $16,000
For a 30-year-old, $461 monthly retirement-income cash flow, retired at 67, live into their 90s
$16,000 dollars -> 37 years growth of those income.

Here is the copy of the article


Fidelity Investments' latest report on 401(k)s has both good news and bad news about our preparedness for retirement.
The good: The average 401(k) balance managed by Fidelity reached a record $89,300 in the fourth quarter of 2013. That's a 15.5% increase from a year ago and almost double the low of $46,200 set in 2009.
The number is higher for pre-retirees 55 and older: $165,200.
The bad: More than one-third (35%) of all 401(k) participants cashed out their accounts when they left their jobs in 2013. That number is even higher among younger participants ages 20 to 39.
The increase in retirement account balances is "great news," says Jeanne Thompson, vice president at Fidelity Investments.
"No one will complain when account balances go up," she says. But most of that increase — 78% — was due to last year's strong stock market. Just 22% was due to contributions. In normal years, those numbers are closer to 50-50, she says.
She says Fidelity is very concerned about the number of people who cash out their 401(k)s when they change jobs.
"What's concerning there is many people, when they cash out, I don't think they fully realize the long-term impact," Thompson says. "In the short term, they will get cash, but in the long term, they are missing out on what that money could grow to."
"Individuals who cash out of their 401(k) plans are committing the equivalent of investment suicide," says W. Kirk Taylor, chief investment strategist for 1st Portfolio Wealth Advisors in Vienna, Va. "The combination of penalties, taxes and lost opportunity costs generally have disastrous implications to an investor's long-term retirement plan."
Thompson said the average cash-out is $16,000. For a 30-year-old, that could mean the loss of $461 in monthly retirement-income cash flow (assuming the person retires at 67 and lives into their 90s.
"What you're really losing is a lot more than $16,000, long-term," Thompson says. "When you are younger, it's hard to conceive of that. Five hundred dollars a month can pay for a lot of things."
The other shock for people withdrawing that $16,000 instead of moving it to another employer or private tax-advantaged account: After $3,200 in federal and state taxes and another $1,600 in early-withdrawal penalties, it leaves only about $11,200.
"For truly cash-strapped investors, a better option may be to rollover their 401(k) balance to their new employers 401(k) Plan (if allowed) and take a loan against the rolled over balance," says Taylor. "There are pros and cons to this approach, so investors should weigh them accordingly and consult with a financial professional."
Fidelity is the nation's largest 401(k) provider in the nation. The latest data are based on a review of some 12 million accounts, Thompson says.


Target date fund

June 1, 2019

Introduction


It is time for me to look into target date fund. Why I did not look into target date fund back in 2009 when the stock was low in last 15 years. Instead I chose to sell everything in the stock, I like to figure out what I can do better after 10 years.

Case study


I like to look into my decision making process. One thing I should look into is target date fund. What I can look into target date fund, and how to consider to take one today since I am preparing my own portfolio.


How to manage your 401(k) during periods of market volatility

Here is the link.

1:44/ 5:30



Actionable Items


I need to find good ideas to work on. One thing I can do is to watch CNBC video and then try to figure out what questions I have.


Here is the way I continue to work on my research. I ask myself where those numbers in the presentation come from, so I googled it and then found article related to the presentation and also published by CNBC.

I read the article and then figure out a few things I like to learn and read more about the topics.

How to tell the difference between growth and value

Here is the link.


Finerman's Rules for Women, Life

Here is the link.


Friday, May 31, 2019

Case study: My portfolio idea - VFV, VDU, VAB (series 4 of 10)

May 31, 2019

Introduction


It is my portfolio idea just to borrow from the article Canada retirement guide using three ETF (VFU, VDU, VAB). The blog is related to CAD-Hedged vs Not Hedged. 

Case study


CAD-Hedged vs Not Hedged

Our portfolio invests in ETFs that are not CAD-Hedged because their returns are significantly higher and more stable than ETFs that are CAD-Hedged. The table below compares this historical performance on developed market stocks.

FTSE Developed All Cap Index = developed market stocks
Historical Returns
1 Year
5 Year
10 Year
FTSE Developed All Cap Index
(not CAD-Hedged)
–​1.5%    
9.8%    
10.8%    
FTSE Developed All Cap Index
(CAD-Hedged)
–7.9%    
6.5%    
10.4%    
(annualized returns as of December 31, 2018)
Note: All returns are in Canadian dollars.
Sources: FTSE Russell index fact sheets.


Actionable Items


I like to learn the concept called CAD-Hedged. 

Case study: My portfolio idea - VFV, VDU, VAB (series 3 of 10)

May 31, 2019

Introduction


It is my portfolio idea just to borrow from the article Canada retirement guide using three ETF (VFU, VDU, VAB). The blog is related to developed market vs emerging market. 


Case study



Developed Market vs Emerging Market

Our portfolio invests in developed market stocks because their returns are significantly higher and more stable than emerging market stocks. The table below compares the historical performance of those two stock indexes. Together they cover the entire global stock market.

FTSE Developed All Cap Index = developed market stocks
FTSE Emerging All Cap Index = emerging market stocks
Historical Returns
1 Year
5 Year
10 Year
FTSE Developed All Cap Index
–1.5%    
9.8%    
10.8%    
FTSE Emerging All Cap Index
–7.1%    
6.6%    
8.8%    


(annualized returns as of December 31, 2018)
Note: All returns are in Canadian dollars.
Sources: FTSE Russell index fact sheets.


Actionable Items


Please take some time to read FTSE Russell index fact sheets. 

Case study: My portfolio idea - VFV, VDU, VAB (series 2 of 10)

May 31, 2019

Introduction


It is my portfolio idea just to borrow from the article Canada retirement guide using three ETF (VFU, VDU, VAB).

Case study


It is best one. I like to read this argument based on the following analysis.

Outperform the World's Best Portfolios

Our ETF portfolio has outperformed Harvard University and Stanford University's endowments. Those endowments are considered the world's best portfolios in terms of their size and returns. They collectively hold over $60 billion in stocks, bonds, hedge funds, private equity, venture capital, leveraged buyouts, commodities, and real estate. Their investment performance are heavily followed on Wall Street.
Historical Returns
3 Year
5 Year
10 Year
       Our ETF Portfolio
7.0%    
10.9%    
7.1%    
       Harvard's Endowment
5.2%    
7.3%    
4.5%    
       Stanford's Endowment
7.8%    
9.4%    
6.3%    
(annualized returns as of June 30, 2018)
Sources: Vanguard Investments Canada, Harvard Management Company, and Stanford Management Company.

Actionable Items


I like to look into Harvard University and Stanford University's endowments. 

Case study: My portfolio idea - VFV, VDU, VAB (series 1 of 10)

May 31, 2019

Introduction


It is my personal finance research. I have to set up my portfolio on QuestTrade.com for my TFSA account,  I have $50,000 Canada dollars and I like to set up portfolio as soon as possible.

Case study


I spent half hour to read this portfolio seen in the article 2019 Top 3 Index ETF To Invest (Canadian Retirement Guide). I like to copy the idea and see what I should learn from.

Symbol
Description
VFV
Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF
  • 0.08% Management Fee
  • 500 largest stocks in the United States
  • Example: Microsoft, Google, Visa, Disney, Walmart
VDU
Vanguard FTSE Developed All Cap ex U.S. Index ETF
  • 0.20% Management Fee
  • 3,900 stocks in developed countries (excluding US)
  • Example: RBC, Nestle, Adidas, Samsung, Toyota
VAB
Vanguard Canadian Aggregate Bond Index ETF
  • 0.08% Management Fee
  • 900 government and corporate bonds in Canada
  • Example: Federal, Provincial, Municipal bonds
Pie Chart:  30% VFV / 30% VDU / 40% VAB
ETF Portfolio Summary
  • 60% Stocks and 40% Bonds
  • 0.12% MER (Management Expense Ratio)
  • 4,400 companies in developed markets around the world
  • 900 investment-grade bonds in Canada

Thursday, May 30, 2019

One good news from a friend who just joined Facebook

May 30, 2019

Introduction


I have a good news through the email. One of my friends just shared me through the mail that she joined Facebook recently.

Things to do


I like to find those blogs and algorithms we worked together, and then mark them. I learn so many things from her.

Here is one discussion session we had together in June 2018.


Tips shared by my friend


1. Get a master degree from computer science major from top 10 university;
2. Have more than 20 onsite interview in less than six months in Sillicon Valley;
3. Finish all easy, medium level algorithms on Leetcode.com;
4. Get offer from Microsoft Seattle first;
5. Have work experience more than five years in top 20 software companies.
6. Really work hard to practice, mock interview, a small group discussion with others at least one year. Apply Facebook and Google last, try all other companies first.

Work together


I met the friend in Nov. 2017 twice on pramp.com;
Later she reached out to me through linkedin early 2018, she suggested to me that we can work together a few times, one time a week;
We met again on interviewing.io once again after I failed Microsoft online assessment in July 2018;



Canada investment products

Here is the link.

I like to start to put all $50,000 Canadian dollars into different Vanguard Canada investment products. I like to build a portfolio, so that I can reblance if the market goes up or down.

Bond short term - less than three years

Canadian Aggregate Bond Index ETF  - VAB  - $20,000 dollars

3 years - 5 years


More than 5 - 10 years

VFV - $10,000
VGG - $10,000
VUN - S10,000



ETFs that invest in US Companies

ETFs that invest in US Companies

The top five ETFs (ordered by assets under management, or AUM) that invest in American companies are listed below.
NAMEISSUERDESCRIPTIONAUM (IN BILLIONS CAD)MERTSX SYMBOLMARKET CAPITALIZATION OF INDEXED COMPANIES
BMO S&P 500 Index ETF (CAD)BMO Asset ManagementSeeks to mimic the performance of the entire stock market by tracking the S&P Total Market Index50.09ZSPlarge
Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETFVanguard Investments CanadaSeeks to track large-capitalization U.S. stocks by mimicking the S&P 500 index1.90.08VFVlarge
U.S. Total Market Index ETFVanguard Investments CanadaSeeks to mimic the performance of the entire stock market by tracking the CRSP US Total Market Index1.40.16VUNsmall, mid, large
iShares Core S&P U.S. Total Market Index ETFBlackRockSeeks to mimic the performance of the entire stock market by tracking the S&P Total Market Index1.30.07XUUsmall, mid, large
Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF (CAD-hedged)Vanguard Investments CanadaSeeks to track large-capitalization U.S. stocks by mimicking the S&P 500 Index and employing currency hedging to protect you from losses if the U.S. dollar declines0.760.08VSPlarge

Which S&P500 ETF is the Best? [SPY vs. VOO vs. IVV]

Here is the link.


Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)

Here is the link.


Fed and China are driving the market, says chief market strategist

Here is the link.


Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF

Here is the pdf file to read.

I am thinking about how to purchase VFV ETF and use dollar cost average method to do the work.


VFV and VSP: Two ways to invest in U.S. stocks

U.S. stocks represent roughly 48% of the global equity market and are essential for a diversified portfolio.1 Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF (VFV) and Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF (CAD-hedged) (VSP) provide exposure to 500 of the largest U.S. companies.
“A well-balanced portfolio invested for the long term should be diversified across geographical regions as well as sectors,” says Dean Allen, head of product management for Vanguard Investments Canada Inc. “That includes exposure to U.S. equities and abroad, as Canada is highly concentrated in three main sectors.”
Both VFV and VSP seek to track the S&P 500 Index by investing primarily in the U.S.-domiciled Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, which holds every stock in the index. The only difference between VFV and VSP is that VSP hedges its currency exposure to the Canadian dollar.

2019 Top 3 Index ETFs To Buy (Canadian Retirement Guide)

Here is the link.

Symbol
Description
VFV
Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF
  • 0.08% Management Fee
  • 500 largest stocks in the United States
  • Example: Microsoft, Google, Visa, Disney, Walmart
VDU
Vanguard FTSE Developed All Cap ex U.S. Index ETF
  • 0.20% Management Fee
  • 3,900 stocks in developed countries (excluding US)
  • Example: RBC, Nestle, Adidas, Samsung, Toyota
VAB
Vanguard Canadian Aggregate Bond Index ETF
  • 0.08% Management Fee
  • 900 government and corporate bonds in Canada
  • Example: Federal, Provincial, Municipal bonds
Pie Chart:  30% VFV / 30% VDU / 40% VAB
ETF Portfolio Summary
  • 60% Stocks and 40% Bonds
  • 0.12% MER (Management Expense Ratio)
  • 4,400 companies in developed markets around the world
  • 900 investment-grade bonds in Canada

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE)

Here is the link.


Dow plunges nearly 800 points on rising fears of an economic slowdown

Here is the article's link.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 799.36 points, or 3.1 percent, to close at 25,027.07 and posted its worst day since Oct. 10. At its low of the day, the Dow had fallen more than 800 points.

The S&P 500 declined 3.2 percent to close at 2,700.06. The benchmark fell below its 200-day moving average, which triggered more selling from algorithmic funds. 

Financials were the worst performers in the S&P 500, plunging 4.4 percent. Utilities was the only positive sector in the S&P 500, rising 0.16 percent.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.8 percent to close back in correction territory at 7,158.43. The Russell 2000, which tracks small-cap stocks, dropped 4.4 percent to 1,480.75, marking its worst day since 2011. Trading volume in U.S. stocks was also higher than usual on Wall Street.


Dow drops 800 points

Here is the link.