Friday, December 15, 2023

突发!美国众议院投票决定,对拜登展开弹劾调查!美联储主席发声,人民币爆拉,美股狂欢,发生了什么?

周乐 券商中国 2023-12-13 15:51 

美联储凌晨释放重大信号!

北京时间12月14日凌晨3点,美联储宣布,将联邦基金利率的目标区间维持在在5.25%-5.5%不变,符合市场预期。最新公布的“点阵图”显示,本轮加息周期已完成,美联储官员们对2024年的政策利率中位预期为4.6%,暗示明年将降息75个基点,以每次降息25个基点估算,相当于明年3次降息。

在美联储发布年内最后一次利率决议后,美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上的讲话罕见释放了明确的“鸽派”信号,他表示,通胀在失业率没有飙升的情况下放缓是好消息,降息已开始进入视野,决策者正在思考、讨论何时降息合适。

受此影响,美股市场彻底狂欢,三大指数指直线飙涨,道琼斯指数盘中最大涨幅超570点,创下历史新高,首次站上37000点;纳指、标普500指数均创2022年年初以来新高。截至收盘,道指涨1.4%,纳指涨1.38%,标普500指数涨1.37%。另外,COMEX黄金期货价格涨超2%,离岸人民币兑美元大涨近600个基点,报7.1365。


刚刚,美国政坛传来一则最新消息,当地时间12月13日,美国众议院共和党人投票通过一项表决,决定对总统拜登展开正式弹劾调查。此前一天,众议院规则委员会通过了授权调查的决议。此次弹劾调查将针对包括拜登是否利用政策从其儿子亨特·拜登和其他家庭成员的国外商业交易中不当获益等内容。


美联储暂停加息


北京时间12月14日凌晨3点,美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)宣布,将联邦基金利率的目标区间维持在在5.25%-5.5%不变。




本次暂停加息的决策得到了FOMC投票委员全票赞成,暂停加息也符合市场共识预期。


其实,市场对于美联储12月暂停加息的决定,已有充分预期。在议息会议前夕,芝商所的美联储观察工具显示,利率市场的交易员预计美联储暂停加息的概率高达98%。


当前,市场更关注的是,美联储的加息周期结束后,何时会启动降息?


最新公布的美联储决议声明释放明确“鸽派”信号,其中表示,明年可能不会有任何紧缩措施,而之前的声明曾表示明年可能会有紧缩。华尔街分析人士认为,美联储本轮加息周期已经完成。


相较于今天的议息决议,全球投资者更关注的是美联储最新公布的“点阵图”。数据显示,FOMC委员们对2024年的政策利率中位预期为4.6%,大幅低于今年9月时预期的5.1%。隐含着,明年美联储将降息75个基点的含义。


消息公布后,美股市场彻底狂欢,三大指数指直线飙涨,道琼斯指数盘中最大涨幅超570点,创下历史新高,首次站上37000点;纳指、标普500指数均创2022年年初以来新高。截至收盘,道指涨1.4%,纳指涨1.38%,标普500指数涨1.37%。


美股科技巨头集体收涨,奈飞收涨近3.7%,苹果收涨1.6%创收盘新高,市值达3.08万亿美元;亚马逊涨逾0.9%,创收盘历史新高;英特尔、Arm涨超1%,英伟达涨0.9%,Facebook母公司Meta、谷歌母公司Alphabet小幅收涨。


热门中概股多数上涨,纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨0.42%,蔚来、微博涨超2%,唯品会、京东、腾讯音乐、网易、阿里巴巴小幅上涨;小鹏汽车跌1%,百度、哔哩哔哩、拼多多、爱奇艺、理想汽车、富途控股、满帮小幅下跌。


其他标的方面,美元指数大跌近1%,离岸人民币兑美元汇率大涨近600个基点,报7.1365;COMEX黄金跳涨超2%,COMEX白银跳涨超3.5%;美债亦全线上涨,其中两年期美债收益率狂降近30个基点,十年期美债收益率也跌至4%附近。


降息即将启动?


暂停加息的决定,毫无疑问是今日凌晨美联储决议的最大看点之一,但市场更为关注的是,美联储的货币政策未来走向。


当前市场一致预期,美联储的这一轮加息周期已经终结,将于2024年启动降息。


被视为“美联储喉舌”、“新美联储通讯社”的华尔街日报记者Nick Timiraos表示,美联储将利率保持稳定,同时暗示,通胀好转的速度比预期快,为明年降息敞开大门。


同时,在刚刚召开的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔也罕见释放了“鸽派”信号。他表示,尽管美联储不排除适当时候进一步加息的可能性,但相信利率可能已经达到或接近峰值;虽然鲍威尔仍然措辞谨慎,拒绝宣告抗击通胀胜利,但联储会议已经开始讨论降息时间点的问题。


鲍威尔强调,在本次会议中,美联储讨论了降息的时间点问题,但重点仍然是,FOMC应当加息至多高的水平。他说,目前虽然打击通胀有所进展,但宣布胜利仍然为时尚早,现在只是通胀回落的同时没有发生严重的失业。


鲍威尔表示,目前美国GDP增速仍有2.5%,“美国经济现在陷入衰退”的想法几乎没有依据。鲍威尔说,联储打击通胀的任务有两个方面,一个是弱化需求,二是将竖直的供给曲线正常化。他表示,目前许多方面的供给侧已经接近疫情前的水平,暗示即便2024年经济继续增长,也会降息,意味着经济“软着陆”成为可能。            


对于鲍威尔的这番表态,Nick Timiraos指出,鲍威尔本月初和月中的表态反差明显:12月1日,鲍威尔曾表示猜测何时降息的时机尚不成熟;而到了13日,他就放话称降息已经开始出现在视野范围内,显然进入了讨论范围。


“鸽派”大转向


美联储2024年降息更明确的信号来自于,最新公布的利率“点阵图”。


作为季末的议息会议,美联储还发布了最新一季的的经济预测、利率点阵图,给市场提供了判断美联储政策路径的依据。


相比9月上次公布的点阵图,本次联储决策者对利率峰值的预期大幅下降,意味着,美联储的宽松货币政策即将启动。



最新发布的利率点阵图显示,本次提供利率预测的19名联储官员中,共有16人预计,明年利率会降至5%以下,其中,五人预计利率在4.75%到5%,以每次降息25个基点估算,相当于明年2次降息;6人预计,明年利率会降至4.5%到4.85%,相当于3次降息;4人预计,利率在4.25%到4.5%,相当于4次降息;有1人甚至预计利率将会低于4%。


以此计算,19人之中,共有11人、占比近53%的联储官员预计,明年至少降息3次,共5人、占比26%的官员预计至少降息4次。


作为对比,今年9月的“点阵图”中,FOMC委员们对2024年联邦基金利率的中值预期为5.1%,对应只降息1次25个基点,美联储的利率转向预期展露无遗。


随着美联储“鸽派”大转向,CME“美联储观察”工具也显示,交易员们加大了对2024年降息的押注,目前降息125、150个基点的概率之和已经从昨日的40%升至60%。


Global X首席投资官Jon Maier指出,市场正在庆祝美联储的点阵图更接近市场的期望,这不仅仅是一次维持当前利率不变的决议,这是对美联储长期目标的欢呼。


另外,在通胀和其他经济数据的指引方面,12月经济预期呈现出明年GDP增速上修、失业率维持不变、通胀增速下修。


具体来看,美联储官员上调了今年的GDP增长预期,小幅下调明年的经济增速预期,今明后三年失业率预期不变,下调今明后三年的PCE与核心PCE通胀预期,其中今年的预期均下调50个基点,仍预计2026年通胀回落到联储目标2%。

至少降三次?美联储明年开启降息周期,美股提前狂欢道指创新高 | 潜望 | 2023 Dec 15

纪振宇 腾讯财经 2023-12-13 18:38 

事实上,在过去几个月市场早已对美联储即将终结紧缩货币政策,在明年进入降息通道有所预期,而美联储最新货币政策会议后的相关发布和表态,是对市场此前预期的进一步确认和巩固。

在经过11次快速大幅加息并将基准利率水平维持在22年高位后,美联储应对这一轮通胀已经渐进终局。

美国时间12月13日,在今年最后一次货币政策会议上,美联储宣布维持目前基准利率水平不变,但市场最为关心的是,美联储终于将结束这一轮紧缩性货币政策,从明年起正式开启降息周期。

尽管美联储的声明和美联储主席鲍威尔的措辞依然谨慎,均表示不会过早宣告“对抗通胀取得胜利”,但在同一天发布的反映美联储成员对未来利率水平预期的“点阵图”却清晰地反映出,美联储多数成员认为,明年至少需要降息三次,甚至有一位最为激进的“鸽派”成员认为需要降息6次。

市场的乐观氛围弥漫了整个美联储货币政策决议及随后的新闻发布会环节,道琼斯工业平均指数收盘一举突破37000点,创下历史新高,标普、纳斯达克综合指数均显著拉升,涨幅均在1%以上。

事实上,在过去几个月市场早已对美联储即将终结紧缩货币政策,在明年进入降息通道有所预期,而美联储最新货币政策会议后的相关发布和表态,是对市场此前预期的进一步确认和巩固。

Section 1

维持基准利率水平不变长达6个月

根据当天美联储公布的货币政策决议声明,继续维持目前5.25%-5.5%的联邦基准利率不变,符合之前的市场预期。这也是美国22年来最高基准利率水平。

当天的声明措辞也并没有重大变化,除了对经济活动的判断有了微小的调整。美联储称,最近的经济指标显示,经济活动从第三季度的强劲增长逐渐放缓,通胀在过去一年里持续缓解,但依然维持高位。

美联储在声明中并没有表达任何货币政策转向的论调,强调要达到2%的通胀目标,任何额外的政策可能都是合适的。

今年以来,美联储总共进行了四次加息活动,最近的一次是在今年7月份,从那时以来,美联储一直将联邦基准利率维持在5.25%-5.5%的区间不变,符合美联储之前对利率水平一直强调的“更高更久”的论述。

考虑到美联储下一次货币政策会议将在明年1月份进行,因此在12月份的货币政策会议后决定继续维持利率水平不变,也意味着美联储利率维持不变的时间长达6个月之久。

相比此次货币政策决定,实际上外界最为关心的是美联储对未来经济走向的判断以及相应的货币政策取向,这在当天同时公布的美联储经济预测报告中也有所进一步体现。

Section 2

点阵图显示明年至少降息三次

根据美联储货币政策委员会成员给出的对未来经济走向的判断,对接下来的经济增长总体更为悲观。对于2023年的经济增长预期从9月份的2.6%下调至目前的2.1%,对明年经济增长的预期从1.5%小幅下调至1.4%,对于2025年的增长预期维持9月份的1.8%的水平不变,但对2026年的预期由9月份的1.8%上调至1.9%。对于长期经济增长水平依然维持在1.8%的预期。

对于失业率水平,此次经济展望报告与9月份基本没有变化,明年依然预期在4.1%,2025年保持在4.1%,预计2026年依然维持在4.1%,与9月份预期的4.0%略微上调。

对于与货币政策直接相关的通胀水平,美联储在此次经济展望报告中给出了相对更为乐观的判断,认为2023年PCE全年为2.8%,相比9月份3.3%的预期大幅下调,到2024年将进一步下降至2.4%,也低于9月份预期的2.5%的水平。美联储认为到2026年PCE能够达到长期通胀目标2%。


外界最为关心的美联储点阵图显示,有6名联储货币政策委员会成员认为明年基准利率水平将下调至4.5%-4.75%的区间,也就是在现在的基准利率水平上,以每次25个基点的水平降息三次,有4名联储成员认为应降息至4.75%-5%的水平,有1名认为应降息至5%-5.25%的水平,有两名认为仍应保持在目前的水平,有3名认为应降息至4.25%-4.5%的水平,也就是降息4次,只有一名最为鸽派的成员认为应该降息至4%以下水平。


因此尽管当天美联储的表态并没有透露任何对货币政策松动的迹象和信号,但对于明年的展望实际上已经表明,美联储大概率至少降息3次以上,这已经在联储内部形成大面积共识。

联储这样的货币政策取向也与目前美国通胀缓解的情况有关。近几个月,美国的主要通胀指标持续走低,与此同时,就业市场之前趋紧的状况也有所缓解,两方面都给了美联储更充足的放宽货币政策的理由。
Section 3
首次降息何时到来?
对于美联储货币政策大概率转向,市场也早已有所预期。在美联储本月货币政策会议之前,衡量市场对于未来利率水平走向预期的隔夜拆借利率期货显示,投资者认为美联储将在明年降息4次,即100个基点的幅度,将目前的基准利率水平从5.25%-5.5%一路下调至4.25%-4.5%的水平,结合当天美联储发布的经济展望报告,这样的预期并不显得过度乐观,实际上与美联储内部的多数成员的判断也基本一致。

但即便在美联储内外部对于降息都已经形成一致预期的同时,美联储对外的表态依然选择更为谨慎的措辞,并不愿意过早宣告对抗通胀取得胜利。

目前市场预期首次降息大概率会发生在明年3月份,但有华尔街分析师认为,降息可能比市场预期来得更晚。当天美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上也表示, “过去几个月的较低通货膨胀数据令人欣慰,但我们需要进一步的证据来增强对通货膨胀持续朝着我们的目标方向下行的信心。”

这也反映了美联储希望能够通过更长时间来验证通胀下行已经形成长期趋势的迹象。德意志银行首席经济学家Matthew Luzzetti认为,美联储首次降息将发生在明年6月,并在明年将利率一路下调至3.5%的水平。

在对抗通胀已经取得显著进展后,美联储目前面临的主要风险已经从货币政策收紧不足,进一步朝着货币政策转向不够快而转移。

在当天的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔开始谈论更多关于紧缩货币政策“终局”的相关话题。他表示,之前美联储内部成员预期达成通胀目标2%的最后时刻可能会比较艰难,但目前还没有发生这样的情况。此前美国财政部部长耶伦在接受采访时,表示几乎所有数据都在佐证美国经济朝着“软着陆”的方向运行。

当天的市场早已按耐不住,仿佛在欢庆胜利。在降息预期得到美联储进一步确认的情况下,美国十年期国债收益率急速下滑,当天下跌4.11%至4.03%,在整个货币政策发布和新闻发布会期间,美股普遍上涨,道琼斯工业平均指数收盘突破37000点,创下历史新高,标普和纳斯达克指数也均有显著上涨。



一只股票可抵欧洲最大股市!苹果再创新高

 作为全球市值最高的上市公司,苹果股价的涨势没有显示出任何放缓的迹象。在周四收盘创下历史新高后,苹果的市值正接近欧洲最大的股市:法国。

目前,在法国巴黎上市的公司总市值约为3.2万亿美元,而苹果的市值接近3.1万亿美元。苹果市值已超过除全球六大股票市场外其余股市的市值。

并非首次挑战法股

这已不是苹果市值首次挑战法国股市了。去年下半年,在各国央行纷纷加息以应对通胀之际,市场遭遇抛售,两者“你追我赶”,苹果市值在此期间也多次超越法国股市总市值。

受包括路易威登母公司LVMH,以及爱马仕在内的奢侈品公司股价上涨推动,法国股市本周也创下纪录新高。法国股市近期强劲反弹,因为有越来越多的证据表明,随着欧元区通胀降温,利率可能已经触顶。

股价前景向好

在美国,同样的宏观背景(美联储加息或已结束)推动科技股再度飙升,尤其是那些最大的公司。

周四,苹果股价上涨0.1%,收于198.11美元,再创历史新高。苹果股价今年以来已经飙升了近60%,市值增加了约1万亿美元。今年7月份,苹果市值首次突破3万亿美元,成为全球首家市值超过3万亿美元的公司。

当地时间周三,美联储一如预期按兵不动,而公布的点阵图显示,本轮加息周期已完成,官员们预计2024年将降息75基点,也就是明年将降息三次,降息幅度高于9月份时的预期。

苹果股价最近的大涨趋势与今年10月相比是一个“大逆转”,当时该股股价因投资者担心其营收增长速度和销售额放缓而承压。

目前,华尔街分析师对苹果股价前景持乐观态度。据媒体汇编的分析师平均预期,华尔街预计,随着智能手机、笔记本电脑和电脑需求的反弹,到2024年,苹果的收入将重新加速增长。

花旗集团分析师Atif Malik近日将苹果的目标股价上设定为230美元。他在一份报告中写道:“看空该股的人忽视了结构性毛利率扩张的故事。”

他指出,苹果持续受益于iPhone的高端定位、服务销售加速以及大宗商品定价优势。“我们预计上述趋势明年将持续,并认为AI手机和Vision Pro的是潜在的上涨催化剂,”他表示。

美国投行Wedbush的资深分析师Dan Ives近日发布报告称,随着宏观经济环境改善、Vision Pro上市、iPhone升级潮等一系列利好因素来临,苹果可能会在2024年成为历史上首家市值突破4万亿美元的公司。Wedbush将苹果的目标股价从此前的240美元上调至250美元,为华尔街最高目标价。

Thursday, December 14, 2023

Jim Cramer trust fund vs SP 500 index

 


Cruise | Layoff notice | Memo | Dec. 14, 2023

Here is the link. 

 In October, Cruise paused operations to take time to examine our processes, systems and tools and improve how we operate. While we remain committed to commercialization, we will approach it within a thoughtful and achievable time frame—with safety as our north star. 

As a result of our updated operating plans, today Cruise shared the difficult news that we are making staff reductions impacting 24% of full-time Cruisers. This reflects our new future and a more deliberate go-to-market path, meaning less immediate need for field, commercial operations and corporate staffing. 

As we look forward, the road to successful commercialization is dependent on defining and meeting an exceptional performance and heightened safety bar.  Cruise is committed to playing a key role in defining these standards with the input of our regulators, our communities and other AV industry leaders.

We are extremely grateful to the departing employees who have helped further our mission, and the remaining Cruisers who will carry that mission forward in our next chapter.  

Below is a letter from Mo ElShenawy, President and CTO of Cruise, that went to all employees today:

Cruisers:

We knew this day was coming, but that does not make it any less difficult—especially for those whose jobs are affected.  

Today, we are making staff reductions that will affect 24% of full-time Cruisers, through no fault of their own. We are simplifying and focusing our efforts to return with an exceptional service in one city to start with and focusing on the Bolt platform for this first step before we scale. As a result, we are reducing our employee counts in operations and other areas. These impacts are largely outside of engineering, although some Tech positions are impacted also. As you might have learned, yesterday, we took action to part ways with several SLT members.  

Craig and I believe this is a necessary step, and our leadership team and the board are fully aligned with how our go-forward U.S. staffing needs will map to the priorities ahead of us, and set up Cruise for the long term. We have also ended additional assignments of contingent workers who support our driverless operations, as we refined our go forward plans.  

In a few moments, you will receive an email letting you know whether or not you are affected by this staffing reduction. If you are impacted, you will get details about what happens next in a subsequent email.  

Please know that our first priority is to treat departing Cruisers with fairness, and I will describe more about how we are doing that below.  

I also want to explain why we are making these reductions, and what this means for Cruise moving forward.  

Cruise today vs Cruise moving forward 

As we’ve shared, our goal is to focus our work on a fully driverless L4 service that meets a new AV performance bar, prioritize the Bolt platform, relaunch ridehail in one city to start, and enhance our safety standards and processes before we scale. We are ceasing work on the Origin MY24 but not losing sight of our work on future programs. This is very different from our prior plans to expand into more than a dozen new cities in 2024.  

As a result of our decision to slow down commercialization, we are restructuring to focus on delivering the improvements to our tech and vehicle performance that will build trust in our AVs.  

Many of you will be impacted because we aren’t commercializing as quickly, and therefore don’t need support in certain cities or facilities. In other cases, we restructured teams based on the work we’re prioritizing. We didn’t take any of these decisions lightly, though I know that isn’t much of a consolation if you’re someone affected by the actions we are taking today.  

How we’re helping departing employees 

We know there’s no “good” way to lay off employees, but treating people fairly on their way out was a key principle that guided our approach, and our top priority was determining how we could provide a strong severance package, while treating departing Cruisers with respect. In short, we are offering departing Cruisers pay, at minimum, through April 8, 2024 (approximately 16 weeks), plus continued subsidized health benefits, RSU vesting, the January 5 bonus, and additional immigration support for those holding work visas.  

 Severance details include:  

  • Severance pay: Departing employees will remain on payroll through Feb. 12 and are eligible for an additional 8 weeks of pay, with long-term employees offered an additional 2 weeks’ pay per every year at Cruise over 3 years.  

  • Bonus: All impacted employees will receive their 2023 bonus (eligible target payout) on Jan. 5, 2024. 

  • Medical, Dental, Vision: we will provide Cruisers and their dependents who are currently enrolled in Cruise benefits the option to receive Cruise-subsidized medical, dental and mental health/EAP benefits through the end of May.  

  • Perks Wallet: We will give Cruisers two months to access the perks most important to them via our Perks Wallet.  

  • 401(k): We will give Cruisers two months to continue contributions into their 401(k) plan, including our employer match.  

  • RSU vesting: All Cruisers, including those impacted and those remaining, will receive their January 15th RSU vest. In addition, we will provide liquidity for all of these January 15th shares in Q1 based on an updated 409A fair market valuation that we will conduct in the first quarter. Tax obligations for these January 15th vested shares will not be incurred until we provide you liquidity for these shares.

  • Career support: Departing employees will receive a year-long subscription to LinkedIn Premium, and we will create an opt-in alumni directory to connect potential employers with impacted Cruisers. Cruise Talent Acquisition will also run workshops on resume building, networking, and interview prep with departed Cruisers in the new year. 

  • Immigration support: We are offering continued time on payroll through March 24 in lieu of a lump-sum severance payment to allow visa holders additional time to help transition and manage their immigration status. Eligibility for the Perks Wallet and 401(k) contributions and match will also continue through this time. We also have dedicated support lined up to help Cruisers based on their needs.  

Our message to other employers in the market is that each departing Cruiser is a talented, driven, and mission-focused team member who will contribute and achieve great things elsewhere. They are departing us through no fault of their own. Other companies will be privileged to have these professionals on their teams, as we were privileged to have them here during their time at Cruise.  

 What’s next 

As mentioned, in a few moments, you will receive an email letting you know whether or not you are affected by this staffing reduction, and if you are impacted, you will get details about what happens next. I am so sorry we have to do this by email, as I would prefer that we have a conversation with each of you. Unfortunately, given the scale of this change, this approach allows us to communicate to those who are impacted at the same time. We know you will want to say goodbye to your colleagues, so you will have access to Cruise email and Zoom for the next couple of hours (until 10am PT).  

This is one of the hardest days we’ve had so far because so many talented people are leaving. I’m thankful we had the chance to work together, and I know I speak on behalf of so many Cruisers who will be reaching out to those departing to help with our professional networks and references. On behalf of the SLT, the Cruise Board and GM, I’m truly grateful to everyone who has played a role in building Cruise and who has poured so much into the promise of making our roads safer and our world better. 

Cruise lays off nearly a quarter of its staff after grounding its robotaxi fleet

Fed暗示明年降3码 美利率决策转鸽带动全球股市

 美国联准会(Fed)和我中央银行昨天宣布最新利率决策,两国一如市场预期维持利率不变。但联准会的决策声明被认为是去年启动升息以来最鸽派,并暗示明年将降息三码(○点七五个百分点),主席鲍尔也以直白说法暗示货币政策紧缩过程已完成。

我央行总裁杨金龙则说,明年上半年没有降息机会,下半年看通膨变化等因素;若能确定通膨率低于百分之二,升息循环就进入尾声。

联准会的利率决策牵动全球金融市场,昨天高唱“鸽调”更被视为提前送投资人耶诞大礼。鲍尔的发言充分显示联准会态度大转变,他说,现在联邦资金利率“可能位于或接近紧缩周期的顶峰”,即使美国经济明年未陷入衰退,Fed也愿意降息。鲍尔指出,联准会不会等到通膨已回到百分之二才开始降息;此外,官员在本周的会议已讨论何时适合开始降息的问题。

联准会急转鸽带动全球股市欢欣鼓舞,道琼斯工业指数十三日收盘首度涨破三万七千点,创新高;国际金价昨天盘中涨破两千美元;美元指数贬至四个月低点。台北股汇市在热钱涌入下双双大涨,大盘指数上涨一八四点、收一万七六五三点,创去年四月一日来新高;台币兑美元汇率强升一点九六角,以卅一点三三元作收,攀上两周新高。

联准会维持基准利率区间于百分之五点二五至五点五不变;反映决策官员最新公布的利率位图显示,多数官员预测明年至少将降息三码到百分之四点五至四点七五区间。市场则加码押注Fed最快明年三月启动降息。

央行在今年最后一场理监事会决议利率“连三冻”,重贴现率维持百分之一点八七五。

至于明年是否跟进联准会降息,杨金龙说,央行关注主要经济体货币政策动向、中国大陆经济下行风险,以及国际原物料价格变化、地缘政治风险等因素对国内经济金融的影响,会适时调整央行货币政策。

杨金龙指出,如果能确定通膨率低于百分之二,升息循环就进入尾声了,但“不能关起门来、只注意自己情况”,可以确定的是,明年上半年我国货币政策将维持紧缩、没有降息机会,下半年要看通膨变化,以及美国等国的货币政策调整状况而定。

杨金龙说,如果美国降息的速度很快,而美元强弱又会影响到全球金融循环与资金流动,央行就必须“做适当的处理”。

Freedom Mobile Inc.

 Freedom Mobile Inc. is a Canadian wireless telecommunications provider owned by Quebecor. It has 6% market share of the Canadian wireless market, mostly in urban areas of Ontario, British Columbia and Alberta. Freedom Mobile is the fourth-largest wireless carrier in Canada, with 2,290,497 subscribers as of November 30, 2022.[3]

Founded in 2008 as Wind Mobile by the telecommunications company Globalive, Freedom was one of several new mobile carriers launched in Canada in 2008 after a government initiative to encourage competition in the wireless sector alongside Mobilicity (later acquired by Rogers Communications) and Public Mobile (later acquired by Telus). It initially launched mobile data and voice services in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area, Ontario, on December 16, 2009, and two days later in Calgary, Alberta.[4] Since then, Southern Ontario has been the main target of network expansion: first with Ottawa in Q1 2011, and then with about half a dozen additional regions, the most recently being Cornwall, Cobourg, Belleville, Trenton, Brockville, and Pembroke on March 8, 2019.

In 2016, Wind Mobile was acquired by Shaw Communications and subsequently renamed Freedom Mobile. On June 17, 2022, Shaw Communications, Rogers Communications and Québecor jointly announced an agreement for the sale of Freedom Mobile to Québecor, parent of Vidéotron, pending approval of Competition Bureau and Minister of Innovation, Science and Economic Development. The sale of Freedom to Québecor was approved on March 31, 2023 and closed on April 3, 2023.

Wednesday, December 13, 2023

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