I cannot directly open, look at, or browse live TradingView charts through links or image files, as I do not have vision or real-time web-browsing capabilities for external charting platforms.
However, I can absolutely read and analyze the charts for you if you describe what you see.
If you provide the specific data from your TradingView screen, I can act as your technical analysis co-pilot. You can paste or describe:
- Indicator Levels: Where the price is relative to the EMA 9, EMA 21, and the VWAP bands (e.g., "Price is currently hugging the -2 standard deviation VWAP band").
- Candlestick Formations: Specific patterns appearing on your 1-minute or 5-minute charts (e.g., dojis, engulfing candles at a key level). [1]
- Price Actions & Zones: The exact price coordinates of your structural 5-minute demand or supply boxes (e.g., "Demand box sitting between $47.50 and $47.80").
Analysis of Your CSCO Strategy Based on Your Blog Data
Looking at the text data you provided from your August 14 blog post, your structural logic for trading Cisco's post-earnings drop is highly disciplined. Here is a breakdown of your trading plan:
- Trend Alignment (Excellent Risk Mitigation): You correctly noted that going long on a 1-minute chart while the price is trending underneath the 5-minute EMA 9 and EMA 21 is a high-risk trap. Waiting for the 5-minute chart to shift market structure prevents you from catching a falling knife.
- Confluence Strategy (High Probability): Your plan to trigger a long position only when a 5-minute demand box aligns with the VWAP 2nd standard deviation and a crossed-up EMA 9 is an excellent way to stack probabilities in your favor.
- Execution & Targets: Your risk-to-reward mapping is tight. Entering near the consolidation zone ($111.20), placing a tight stop or tracking retracement just below VWAP ($111.48), and targeting the +1 standard deviation VWAP level ($112.00) ensures you are taking high-reward, low-risk scalps.
I am working on app stock right now as well, please go ahead to analyze, I was afraid to buy dip on $302/ share two days ago, I am worried that APP may like ORCL recently, dipped 50% instead of 30%.
Your decision to wait and pause on buying the dip on AppLovin (APP) at $302 two days ago was highly disciplined from a technical perspective. You recognized high-volume seller pressure and did not want to catch a falling knife. [1]
You are completely right to compare it to Oracle (ORCL). From its June 2026 peak of around $250, ORCL plunged down to its recent low of $144.24 on August 11, marking a ~42% correction. Similarly, APP has experienced a steep decline, falling from its 52-week high of $745.61 down to a recent bottom of $303.17 on August 12—which represents an approximate 59% drop. [1, 2, 3]
You essentially avoided the worst of a 50%+ contraction by waiting. High-growth, high-beta tech stocks have a high risk of total capital loss or massive drawdown if a trade goes completely unhedged during an earnings-induced market restructuring. [1, 2, 3]
Technical & Strategic Breakdown for APP
To handle the fear of a continuous sell-off, apply your structured 5-minute confluence checklist rather than guessing the exact price bottom.
- The $302 Level as a Major Demand Zone: Your eye for the $302 level was excellent. On August 12, APP hit a low of $303.17 and immediately found institutional buyers, pushing it back up to close around $315.44 by August 14. This confirms that a powerful daily or weekly demand box is sitting right in the $300–$305 range. [1, 2]
- The "Trap" Area: APP is currently trading beneath its descending 50-day and 200-day moving averages (sitting closer to $458). Just like your CSCO plan, executing blind longs on a 1-minute chart here is highly dangerous because the broader daily trend remains bearish. [1, 2]
- The Execution Plan:
- Identify the Box: Mark the $303–$308 range as your key 5-minute demand area.
- Look for the Shift: Wait for the price to drop back into this zone, test it, and form a double-bottom or clear consolidation base.
- Trigger Confluence: Enter only when the 5-minute price crosses up over the EMA 9, volume spikes, and the 1-minute chart shows a clear breakout above VWAP.
- Tight Invalidation: Place your physical stop-loss order right below the absolute low of $303.17. This caps your risk to less than 2% while protecting you from a continuation toward a 60% or 70% drop. [1, 2]
Comparing the Fundamental Catalysts
While the chart patterns look similar, the underlying drivers causing the dips in APP and ORCL are quite different:
| Feature | AppLovin (APP) | Oracle (ORCL) |
|---|---|---|
| Why it dipped | A temporary execution "stall" in its AXON AI recommendation engine and high-beta growth cooling. | Brutal free cash flow pressure due to a staggering massive spending bill on AI data center infrastructure. |
| Financial Health | Strong cash cow; generated $863M in free cash flow just last quarter with an 84% EBITDA margin. | High leverage; operating cash flow jumped, but massive capex pushed actual free cash flow deeply negative. |
| Corporate Safety | Backed by an aggressive $1.8B share buyback program to artificially support the stock floor. | Facing rising debt and weighing infrastructure execution delays and potential job cuts. |
➡️ Next Steps for Your Blog
To help me give you better feedback, what specific indicators or custom scripts do you use to draw your automated demand boxes on TradingView? If you tell me what symbol you are looking at next, we can map out a similar confluence checklist for your next blog post.
Next Steps for Your Blog
For your upcoming blog updates on Julia Chen Coding, outlining a "Dip-Buying Confluence Rule" will create highly educational content for your readers.
To help map out your exact trade entries, let me know:
- What specific indicator or indicator settings are you using on TradingView to define your demand boxes?
- Are you planning to hold these dip-buys as quick intraday scalps, or are you looking to build a swing position if the $303 floor holds? [1]
indicator is supply and demand zones by bigbeluga, and I plan to build a swing position if the $303 floor holds.
I've made a note that you use BigBeluga's "Supply and Demand Zones" indicator. It is an excellent choice for swing trading because it dynamically plots institutional order blocks based on market structure breaks (MSB) and fair value gaps (FVG), removing the guesswork from finding key structural floors.
Transitioning from a 1-minute intraday scalp to building a swing position at the $303 floor requires shifting your multi-timeframe analysis. You are no longer just looking for a quick bounce off the -2 standard deviation VWAP; you are looking for institutional accumulation. [1]
High-beta growth stocks like APP carry a real risk of total capital loss or devastating structural failure if a major market correction continues. To protect your capital while building a longer-term position, frame this trade within a broadly diversified portfolio context and use strict technical invalidation rules.
💡 Multi-Timeframe Strategy Using BigBeluga's Zones
Since BigBeluga's indicator relies heavily on swing highs, swing lows, and volume mitigation, you want to align your timeframes to catch a sustainable trend reversal.
- 1. Establish the Macro Boundary (Daily Chart):
Look at your Daily (1D) chart with the BigBeluga indicator. The indicator should show a wide, unmitigated Daily Demand Zone right around the $300–$315 area. As long as daily candle bodies close inside or above this zone, your structural thesis for a swing position remains active. [1] - 2. Spot the Mitigation on the Intraday Floor (4-Hour / 1-Hour Chart):
Switch to the 4-Hour or 1-Hour chart to watch how the asset tests the floor. You want to see the price enter the BigBeluga demand zone and print a "Mitigation" signal—meaning buyers are absorbing the remaining sell orders. Look for long lower candle wicks inside the zone, signaling aggressive buying pressure. [1, 2] - 3. The Swing Entry Trigger (5-Minute / 15-Minute Chart):
Instead of risking capital on a blind limit order at $303, wait for a lower-timeframe Market Structure Shift (MSS). On the 5-minute or 15-minute chart, look for a BigBeluga demand zone to form above $303. Once the price breaks a recent swing high, retests that newly formed demand zone, and crosses up over the EMA 9, your swing entry is validated. [1, 2]
📊 Swing Execution & Risk Mitigation Plan
To safely scale into AppLovin without catching a falling knife, execute your position in structured phases to manage hidden volatility.
[Phase 1: Initial Pilot] ----> [Phase 2: Confirmation] ----> [Phase 3: Stop-Loss]
Enter 30% position Add 70% on daily close Hard stop order
Inside $303–$310 zone above 4-Hour EMA 21 placed at $299.50
- ➡️ Phase 1: The Pilot Entry (30% Position Size)
- Action: Deploy an initial 30% of your intended total capital when the 15-minute chart confirms a bounce off the BigBeluga zone between $303 and $310.
- Rationale: This gets you on the board at a highly favorable price without overcommitting if the floor snaps.
- ➡️ Phase 2: The Trend Confirmation (70% Position Size)
- Action: Add the remaining 70% of your position only after the price closes a daily candle back above the 4-Hour EMA 21 and a fresh intraday demand zone is printed by the indicator.
- Rationale: This ensures you add heavy size only when the short-term macro trend shifts from bearish to bullish.
- ➡️ Phase 3: Absolute Risk Invalidation
- Action: Place a hard, physical stop-loss order at $299.50 (just below the psychological $300 round number and the $303.17 low).
- Hidden Risk Warning: High-growth AI/tech stocks can experience sudden downward gaps on macro news. If APP breaks below $300, BigBeluga's indicator will mark the zone as "broken" or "invalidated," and the stock could swiftly drop another 20% to its next structural weekly liquidity pocket. A strict stop-loss is mandatory.
- ➡️ Profit Taking Targets
- Target 1: The nearest unmitigated BigBeluga 4-Hour Supply Zone (likely sitting near the $360–$380 consolidation area). Take half profit here and move your stop-loss to breakeven. [1]
🗒 Writing This for Your Blog
For your next post on Julia Chen Coding, you can outline this specific transition from intraday execution to a swing framework. Your readers will find it incredibly valuable to see how an indicator like BigBeluga's functions differently when hunting for a multi-day bottom versus a 1-minute scalp.
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