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最近行情盤整量縮，現在進場很容易會「砍在阿呆股、賣在起漲點」，到底有什麼方法可以擺脫散戶宿命？今天我們就找來阿魯米跟達文熙，教你如何利用「箱子戰法」，在風險可控的情況下，抓出起漲的關鍵點位！一起來看看他們是怎樣做到的？ #股票 #投資 #技術分析 00:00 精彩開場 01:05 台股萬七站不穩? 達人解密大盤量縮4大元凶! 04:32 台股今年難創新高? 投資人下一步如何布局? 05:28 想當航海王卻變韭菜! 達人解讀散戶必敗思維 08:00 專家一張圖教你畫箱子! 找出股票關鍵起漲點 10:40 該突破追高還是回檔低接? 2分鐘搞懂優缺點! 12:47 買強勢股別怕追高!高手教你設定進場停損點! 13:56 箱子戰法實戰教學!一張圖掌握加碼、停利時機 16:42 茫茫股海挑好股! 專家3條件選出隔日冲標的! 19:04 當沖選股SOP全公開!高手如何設保命停損點? 22:27 箱子戰法一招走天下! 做好2件事不再當韭菜!
KB Home is a homebuilding company based in the United States, founded in 1957 as Kaufman & Broad in Detroit, Michigan. It was the first company to be traded on the NYSE as a home builder. Its headquarters are in Los Angeles, California.
The company has built 600,000 homes since its founding.[5] It builds homes primarily for first-time home buyers.
UK engine maker’s performance on Stoxx 600 comfortably beats Danish pharma giant Novo Nordisk
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Basic Info. 2 Year Treasury Rate is at 4.40%, compared to 4.38% the previous market day and 4.45% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 3.19%.
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Bruce Richards, Marathon Asset Management CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether Richards' outlook for the economy has changed in the last few weeks, if the equity market is due for a correction, and more.
当地时间周四晚间提交给美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的一份文件显示，沃伦·巴菲特旗下公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦（下称“伯克希尔”）在1月2日至1月4日期间购买了近280万股Liberty SiriusXM股票，耗资约8200万美元。目前，伯克希尔总计持有约6620万股Liberty SiriusXM，持股比例约20%，按周四收盘价计算价值约20亿美元。
8200万美元增持Liberty SiriusXM
根据伯克希尔向SEC提交的Form 4文件，1月2日至1月4日期间，伯克希尔支付了大约8200万美元，购买了近280万股Liberty SiriusXM股票。目前，伯克希尔在Liberty SiriusXM的持股比例约为20%。
伯克希尔同时购买了有投票权和无投票权的Liberty SiriusXM股票。具体来看，伯克希尔购买了109.0754万股Liberty SiriusXM A类有投票权股票，目前持有2129.8434万股；还购买了166.9219万股Liberty SiriusXM无投票权C类股票，目前持有4487.751万股。
据悉，本次伯克希尔加仓的Liberty SiriusXM为追踪股（tracking stock）。追踪股是公司发行的一种普通股票，其价值仅与公司一些特定部门或子公司经营业绩挂钩，而不与整个公司经营情况挂钩。它们与母公司的股票分开交易。发行追踪股票通常是为了将高增长部门与其母公司分开，而母公司及其股东仍控制着子公司的运营。
本次伯克希尔购买的追踪股票由自由媒体公司（Liberty Media）发行，自由媒体公司通过追踪股持有SiriusXM Holdings大约82%的股份。SiriusXM是一家美国广播公司。
官网资料显示，SiriusXM以卫星广播和在线广播的形式向听众提供电台广播服务。SiriusXM的平台共覆盖1.5亿多听众，涵盖音乐、体育、谈话和播客等所有类别的数字音频，是北美地区覆盖范围最大的数字音频提供商。除音频娱乐业务外，SiriusXM还为汽车制造商提供车联网服务，为客户提供一整套安全、安保和便利服务，包括碰撞自动通知、被盗车辆找回协助、增强型道路救援和逐向导航，并正在开发车载商务解决方案。
事实上，伯克希尔最早于2016年就持有了Liberty SiriusXM的股票。据伯克希尔此前向SEC提供的2023年三季度持仓报告，Liberty SiriusXM是伯克希尔第21大持仓股票。
为何加仓“追踪股”？
目前，Liberty Media公司以及SiriusXM公司在美股均有单独发行股票，如果是看好公司未来前景，为何伯克希尔选择加仓Liberty Media公司发行的SiriusXM追踪股票，而不是直接购买SiriusXM公司股票？
有市场观点认为，Liberty SiriusXM追踪股票的吸引力在于，Liberty SiriusXM的交易价格历来比其所持Sirius XM股份的资产价值低25%至30%。价差较大的部分原因是因为SiriusXM股票的浮动量较小，做空困难，使得套利者很难买入追踪股票并卖空SiriusXM。
就在2023年12月，Liberty Media公司和SiriusXM公司宣布了一项交易，将把Liberty Media发行的追踪股票与SiriusXM合并。经过折算调整后，Liberty SiriusXM的股东将获得一定比例的新SiriusXM的股票。两家公司表示，通过简化SiriusXM控股公司的结构，这项交易对双方股东都有利。
这一交易预计将在2024年第三季度初完成。因此部分市场多头开始押注，随着合并交易的临近，追踪股票与SiriusXM股票间的差距缩小，追踪股票的持有者可能会获得收益。不过也有投资者认为，SiriusXM股票目前估值过高，一旦交易完成，其价格将大幅下跌。
据美国《巴伦周刊》报道，一些长期追踪伯克希尔投资动向的人士认为，伯克希尔针对Liberty SiriusXM的投资是由公司投资经理特德·韦施勒（Ted Weschler）而不是首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特（Warren Buffett）主导的。韦施勒和托德·康姆斯（Todd Combs）管理着伯克希尔约3500亿美元股票投资组合中的约10%，巴菲特管理着另外90%。据知情人士透露，韦施勒与自由媒体首席执行官格雷格·马菲（Greg Maffei）关系良好。
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Noah Blackstein, senior portfolio manager at Dynamic Funds, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether the S&P 500 will get to new highs before the end of the year, how multiples will perform, and what the Federal Reserve would do if the economy stays strong.
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Amy Zhang, Executive Vice President and Portfolio Manager at Alger, discusses why she sees opportunity in small-cap stocks.
IJT, SLYG, VIOG
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Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors founder, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his market expectations, bullish call on stocks in 2023, and more.
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Tom Lee, Fundstrat, joins 'Closing Bell' to offer his year-end bullish case on the markets.
The outlook for 2024
Fundstrat's Tom Lee:
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What is the best ETF for magnificent 7 stocks?
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is an American multinational cybersecurity company with headquarters in Santa Clara, California. The core product is a platform that includes advanced firewalls and cloud-based offerings that extend those firewalls to cover other aspects of security. The company serves over 70,000 organizations in over 150 countries, including 85 of the Fortune 100.[6] It is home to the Unit 42 threat research team[7] and hosts the Ignite cybersecurity conference.[8] It is a partner organization of the World Economic Forum.[9]
In 2018, Palo Alto Networks was listed 8th in the Forbes Digital 100.[10] In June 2018, former Google and SoftBank executive Nikesh Arora joined the company as Chairman and CEO.[11]
Palo Alto Networks was founded in 2005 by Nir Zuk, a former engineer from Check Point and NetScreen Technologies.[12]
Starting in 2011, Gartner began listing Palo Alto Networks as a leader in the Magic Quadrant for Network Firewalls.[13][better source needed]
The company debuted on the NYSE on July 20, 2012, raising $260 million with its initial public offering, which was the 4th-largest tech IPO of 2012.[14][15][16] It remained on the NYSE until October 2021 when the company transferred its listing to Nasdaq.[17][better source needed]
In 2014, Palo Alto Networks founded the Cyber Threat Alliance with Fortinet, McAfee, and NortonLifeLock, a not-for-profit organization with the goal of improving cybersecurity "for the greater good" by encouraging cybersecurity organizations to collaborate by sharing cyber threat intelligence amongst members.[18][19] By 2018, the organization had 20 members including Cisco, Check Point, Juniper Networks, and Sophos.[20]
The company expanded over the years, offering new enterprise cybersecurity services beyond its original next-generation firewall offering, such as Traps endpoint protection, Wildfire malware prevention,[21] machine learning, and data analytics.[22]
In 2018, the company began opening cybersecurity training facilities around the world as part of the Global Cyber Range Initiative.[23]
In May 2018, the company announced Application Framework, an open cloud-delivered ecosystem where developers can publish security services as SaaS applications that can be instantly delivered to customers.[2]
In June 2018, former Google Chief Business Officer and SoftBank President Nikesh Arora joined the company as chairman and CEO.[11] His predecessor, Mark McLaughlin, became vice chairman of the board of directors. Arora received a pay package worth about $128 million, making him one of the highest-paid executives in the United States.[24] In September 2018 Liane Hornsey, formerly Chief People Officer at Uber, joined Palo Alto Networks as Chief People Officer.[25] In October 2018, Amit Singh, formerly President of Google Cloud, succeeded Mark Anderson as President of Palo Alto Networks.[26] In August 2021, William (BJ) Jenkins succeeded Singh as president, with Singh assuming the role of Chief Business Officer.[27][better source needed]
In 2019, the company announced the K2-Series, a 5G-ready next-generation firewall developed for service providers with 5G and IoT requirements.[28][better source needed] In February 2019, the company announced Cortex, an AI-based continuous security platform.[29] In 2022, the company was also listed in the Gartner Magic Quadrant for Network Firewalls, also marking the 11th consecutive year of the company being listed.[30]
Nikesh Arora (born February 9, 1968) is an Indian-American business executive.[2] Arora was formerly a senior executive at Google.[3] He was the president of SoftBank Group from October 2014 to June 2016. On June 1, 2018, Arora took on the role of CEO and chairman at Palo Alto Networks.[2]
Born to an Indian Air Force officer,[4] Arora completed his schooling at The Air Force School (Subroto Park),[5] and went on to graduate from the Indian Institute of Technology, BHU in Varanasi, India, with a bachelor of technology degree in electrical engineering in 1989.[6] He holds a degree from Boston College and an MBA from Northeastern University. He has held the CFA designation since 1999.[6]
Investor's Business Daily
May 8, 2014
As IBD stock screens go, the IBD Big Cap 20 is of a different stripe.
A primary focus on large-capitalization stocks distinguishes it from the high-growth slant of the IBD 50 or Your Weekly Review. But that doesn't mean that the IBD Big Cap 20, which runs in Tuesday's paper, won't find its fair share of winning stocks before they start big price advances.
The Big Cap 20 is also featured in the eTables online product.
Some big companies can still produce robust gains in earnings and share prices. A look back at some of the stocks that made the Big Cap 20 aptly illustrate that point (more on that later).
To find the winners in this weekly feature, investors should follow a systematic approach.
Start by studying the mini weekly charts that are published for each of the 20 stocks. Separate the ones that are forming bases or in secondary buy areas.
Not sure how to spot them? You've got help. The bottom of each chart shows a brief analysis, written by IBD market writers, that tells readers if the stock is near a buy point or too far extended in price to be of immediate interest. In many cases, this analysis gives the correct buy point. Do not buy until the stock hits this buy point.
For more analysis, read the Big Cap 20 column. Here, you can learn more about the stocks setting up in attractive chart zones, as well as which industry sectors are showing leadership among big caps.
In June of last year, the stock market was struggling, yet top-rated stocks Google (GOOGL) and Biogen Idec (BIIB) formed bases during that time. Both also made the June 11 Big Cap 20 list.
Google was finding support at its 10-week moving average. The chart analysis noted the action. Google continued a long consolidation and broke out on Oct. 18 in a powerful gap-up sparked by a solid earnings report.
Shares surged 36% until peaking in February. Google's 21% EPS gain was smaller than what investors had seen from the Internet giant in its halcyon days. Yet it was in line with other Big Cap 20 firms; double-digit growth for large, mature companies denotes market leadership and strength.
Biogen had found support and eventually formed a cup-with-handle base. The stock broke out Sept. 11; after a few pullbacks, it gained 53% by March this year.
In the June 4, 2013, edition of the Big Cap 20, fellow biotech Celgene (CELG) was forming a base. After a July 11 breakout, it shot up 32% to its Jan. 13 peak of 174.66.
The IBD Big Cap 20 is a computer-generated ranking of the leading large-capitalization companies trading in the U.S. The list is featured in the IBD paper every Tuesday. Rankings are based on a combination of each company's profit growth; IBD's Composite Rating, which includes key measures such as return on equity, sales growth and profit margins; and relative price strength in the past 12 months. Some of the companies also appear on the IBD 100, which features a blend of small- mid- and large-cap names. For investors who prefer less volatile investments with greater liquidity, the Big Cap 20 offers more mature yet still vibrant enterprises. Companies must have a minimum market value of $15 billion and trade more than 300,000 shares a day.
How do I Connect with someone who is 3rd on LinkedIn?
RBC Capital Market’s bank research team, led by Darko Mihelic, published a 39-page report discussing the upcoming mortgage payment shock on domestic earnings in the sector,
“We believe a significant number of mortgages are coming due in the next three years (around 60 per cent of all outstanding mortgages at the Canadian chartered banks) and that payment shock (the increase in payment at renewal) could be significant and represents a tail risk to Canadian banks. Unless there are significant declines in interest rates, we believe that credit losses will inevitably rise, perhaps significantly in 2025 and beyond … We are not changing our estimates with this report but feel confident that our tepid outlook for revenue growth of approximately 4 per cent in 2024 and 3 per cent in 2025 in Canada retail banking is reasonable as we believe banks will be managing through this phenomenon carefully with slow loan growth, low NIMs [net interest margins] , and fee pressure. We will revisit PCL [provisions for credit losses] estimates at year-end … We believe there will be more than $186-billion of mortgages renewing in 2024 at the chartered banks in Canada and at current interest rates (for example, the 5-year fixed mortgage rate of 5.54 per cent is over 180 bps higher than five years ago), a weighted average payment shock of 32 per cent could be expected. .. In 2025, we believe there will be $315-billion of mortgages renewing at chartered banks in Canada
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Upcoming mortgage renewals at high interest rate levels will potentially drive the Canadian economy into a more severe downturn than anticipated, according to analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.
In a note published Wednesday, analysts Mike Rizvanovic and Abhilash Shashidharan estimated the impact of Canadian mortgage renewals would total $34 billion by 2027, assuming all mortgages are renewed at currently elevated interest rate levels.
“The resulting hit to both consumer spending and economic growth would be meaningful, indicating that a 'higher rates for longer' theme could easily push Canada into a more severe recession than is currently expected,” the analysts wrote.
RATE PATH
The analysts said confidence among banks over the medium term “is largely predicated on the expectation that interest rates will decline.”
“As such, we believe the trajectory of interest rates will remain a key focus for Canadian bank investors, with most remaining underweight the sector until there is more certainty that rates will in fact decline before too long,” the analysts said.
Despite a series of interest rates from the Bank of Canada since last year that have brought the bank’s key rate to five per cent, the analysts noted that the “majority of homeowners” haven’t yet felt the impact of higher mortgage costs.
The Bank of Canada has not indicated when it intends to cut interest rates, but the analysts with the investment banking firm made the case that rate reductions would blunt the economic impact of high-rate mortgage renewals.
The analysts estimated that a 100-basis-point reduction in interest rates would bring the $34-billion impact down to about $23 billion, showing that interest rates would have to fall significantly to “fully eliminate higher mortgage renewals.”
“Other potential mitigating factors include higher wage inflation and deposit rates, both of which are likely to remain elevated if inflation and rates remain higher, as well as forbearance by the banks (i.e. allowing borrowers to renew loans with a longer amortization period),” the analysts said.
Currently, three major banks in Canada allow for negative amortizations in variable rate mortgage products, the analysts highlighted, including Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce and TD Bank.
The analysts said balances for negative amortizations in variable rate mortgage products are $33 billion for the Bank of Montreal, $50 billion for CIBC and $46 billion for TD Bank.
Meanwhile, Canada’s banking regulator, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, said it’s concerned about instances of long-extended mortgages and is working with lenders to rein in this type of borrowing.
