Wednesday, January 27, 2021

Equity research: NAKD stock - 50 million shares offering

Jan. 27, 2021

This is a 50 million shelve INSTITUTE OFFERING. Not public. Only for the big boys. They put in 50 million and get the shares at a 1,70 fixed price.


This means some big investors are in now. This is VERRY GOOD news for the stock. They raise capital and also the big boys don't like to lose money. When they are in for 50 million at 1,70 avg you can expect that the price will be hovering around that at the start. Prob between 1,70 and 2 bucks. But this will increase sharp after the bell.

I expect the price end today around 2,50-2,80 and Friday this can double again, when shorts need to cover there position.

Equity research: Short squeeze | Yahoo -> Finance -> Conversation - NAKD stock

 Gamestop (GME) and (AMC) are two failing companies who's stocks got a bump in the market due to some recent good, but ultimately inconsequential news. That jump caused large multi-billion dollar short-selling hedge funds to short GME and AMC stock with the assumption that they'd continue to fall after their bumps.


(Short selling is when someone borrows shares at a higher price then sells it with the assumption that they can buy the shares again later (1/29) at a cheaper price, give those shares back and then pocket the difference.)

This is where we the people (FB, Reddit, Twitter..) come in to ruin their day.

A bunch of us agree to flood AND HOLD! the stock with unexpected new money, causing the stock price to rise instead of fall. This causes the short sellers to lose money because they are going to have to give back those borrowed shares in the future (1/29).

As the short sellers watch the stock rise alomg with their losses, they start folding one by one and buying the stock in order to give the shares back and close their position. Buying those shares causes the stock to rise which in turn puts MORE pressure on the short sellers and more of them have to buy more shares... This is called a SHORT SQUEEZE.

On Friday (1/29), time will be up for many of the short sellers. They'll have to close out their positions by buying stock which will cause AMC, EXPR, and GameStop to sky rocket.

That is why you BUY NOW (apply pressure and start your investment) and HOLD. Because every person that sells is relieving the pressure and reducing the billions of dollars the hedge funds will owe us, the little guys.

The price will go up, and it will go down, just buy it and hold it at LEAST until Friday 1/29.

CNBC: Why most short sellers lose money

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

"Short sellers have obviously picked the wrong stocks in January," CNBC's Bob Pisani says. He adds that the current short squeezes can teach us about short sellers in general. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/2NGeIvi Short sellers on the ropes — or are they? Short sellers clearly have picked the wrong names in January. The GameStop phenomenon — where buyers deliberately target heavily shorted stocks — is only the most recent development in a long series of failures from short sellers. But don’t count them out. Most short sellers lose money The market’s relentless rally has not been kind to short sellers for many years. For all the attention that is put on superstar short sellers, most of these managers lose money. Equity shorts lost $243 billion in 2020, a return of negative 26%, according to S3 Partners. This month, their performance is even worse. In January alone, they are down $91 billion, according to S3. And while traders often focus on stocks that have made money for short sellers due to being in sectors that were out of favor (ExxonMobil) or had accounting irregularities (Luckin Coffee and Wirecard), most shorts do not succeed. In 2020, 57% of all securities shorted lost money. Sixty-eight percent of every dollar bet lost money. “The biggest enemy of short sellers has not been Robinhood or Reddit chat rooms, it’s been the Federal Reserve and stimulus, which have pushed most stocks higher. It’s not a value market, it’s a momentum market, and they [short sellers] are on the wrong side of the momentum,” said Ihor Dusaniwsky of S3 Partners. Given the beating short sellers have been taking, it’s not surprising that the dollar value of stocks shorted compared to the dollar value of the S&P 500 is at its lowest level in several years, according to Goldman Sachs.



CNBC: Hedge Fund Shorts Get Crushed

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

Jan.27 -- The skyward march in GameStop continues to accelerate. The stock nearly doubled during exchange hours then rallied another 40% in after-hours trading. Now, the battle has turned into one of Reddit day traders versus hedge fund heavyweights. Bloomberg’s Dani Burger reports on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe.”


CNBC: Reddit rebellion is sparking three market scenarios, and one's really bullish: Fundstrat's Tom Lee

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

Fundstrat's Tom Lee discusses signs of a market top. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Guy Adami, Tim Seymour, Karen Finerman and Dan Nathan. Subscribe to CNBC PRO for access to investor and analyst insights on medias and more: https://cnb.cx/3dIH56N


CNBC: GameStop skyrockets as retail investors force short squeeze

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

The Reddit group WallStreetBets, which is behind the massive run in GameStop, has now gone private. Leslie Picker joins Shep Smith to explain how and why GameStop stock surged in the past couple of months.

CNBC: Excessive speculation is sparking bubbles, but the bull market's intact: Kolanovic

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

Marko Kolanovic, J.P. Morgan global head of macro quantitative and derivatives strategy, believes the bull market is intact. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Guy Adami, Tim Seymour, Karen Finerman and Steve Grasso.

Take my notes here:

  1. CBOE volatility index - 37.21 +14.19 [+61.64%]
  2. Short squeeze hits stocks - weeding through speculative trades (7:52/ 9:38)
  3. New shares authorized - sell shares - balance sheets under control - 300 million dollars to sell stocks
  4. Fundamental reasons - Macy - balance sheet is better - half of Macy positions - short interest - 40%
  5. Long viacom - gift - AMC raised money - business model does not change overnight - ?
  6. Tailwind - fundamental rationale - be careful about that

CNBC: Derivative strategist on GameStop's surge in put volumes

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

CNBC's Brian Sullivan breaks down what's happening with GameStop's stock action with Chris Murphy, co-head of derivative strategy at Susquehanna Financial Group. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/2NGeIvi Speculative trading in some high momentum stocks and options could be signaling a near-term top, but the bull market is likely to run on for some time, stoked by prospects of an improving economy and easy Fed money, investors said. Julian Emanuel, head of equity and derivative strategy at BTIG, said the surge of options buying and frothy trading in some high-flying stocks is very similar to the period leading up to the tech bubble crash in 2000. He said it’s very possible if the market behaves the same the S&P 500 could go to a lofty 5,047 before the bull market ends, though he is not forecasting such a surge. Most strategist expect the S&P 500 to end this year higher, with CNBC’s strategist survey at a median 4,100. But many do expect at least one pullback early in the year. The S&P 500 closed at 3,855 Monday, up 0.4%. “We don’t see any signs yet, concrete signs, of a medium term trading top, but this type of volatility leads us to believe that similar to 1999 to 2000, you could get a 10% to 15% pullback at any time,” said Emanuel. “From what we see right now the level of speculation leads us to conclude the typical retail investor is as bullish in the aggregate as we have seen in over 20 years. With valuations where they are now, that is the recipe for potentially rapid, albeit temporary set back in the market.” Bank of America global strategists also don’t see the market bubble popping soon. “Even the frothiest equity indices still lag well behind performance during previous bubbles. The NASDAQ is up 96% over the past three years,” they wrote. “It rose 201% before its early 2000 peak (after which it fell by 72%). The S&P is up 44% compared to 98% in the late 1990s. The MSCI World ex US is currently flat over 3 years, so no bubble there.” Short Squeeze Frenzy Monday’ s trading in some high momentum names sent a flash warning to some traders. GameStop, the poster child of the recent frenzy, surged to a high of $159.18 before reversing hard, to fall below $70. It ended the day at $76.79, up 18% on the day. The company has a high short position, and it is one of a number of stocks being targeted. “In the last few days, they’re just going at the names that are most shorted, to create one last squeeze,” said Scott Redler, partner with T3Live.com. GameStop is a popular name on Reddit’s Wall Street message board. AMC is another stock that was surging , closing up 26% Monday. Another short, Bed Bath and Beyond was very volatile, hitting a high of $47.73, before closing at $30.68, still up 1.6% on the day. Other retailers’ stocks got swept up in the ferver Monday, like Nordstrom which soared more than 10% before falling back to close up 1.7%. “There’s definitely some excessiveness out there right now, which has some professionals scratching their heads,” said Redler, who focuses on short-term technicals. “You don’t want to fight the excessiveness, but there’s nothing wrong with being a little more cautious. Why be aggressive with something like Apple, when it’s heading into earnings on a Wednesday.” Redler said he has become more cautious, and the wild trading Monday brought a level of fear back into the market for the first time in a while. Piling into call options The frenzied trading comes at at time when smaller investors are contributing much more of the daily volume in the stock market. That’s been especially true since the pandemic, with no fee, internet trading creating easy access to investing. At the same time, investors are piling into call options at a record pace on individual names and have been rewarded as the action drives dealers to buy stocks.


CNBC: Some people see this as a stick-it-to-the-man opportunity: Sorkin on GameStop

 Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin discusses the surge in GameStop shares and just who it is that could be hurt. There are no fundamentals behind what's happening here, he says.

CNBC: Billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya on GameStop surge and rise of retail investors

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

CNBC's "Halftime Report" team is joined by Chamath Palihapitiya, CEO of Social Capital, to discuss how he traded GameStop and what he thinks this means for the investment landscape going forward. To see the full interview with Palihapitiya sign up for a free trial to CNBC Pro: http://cnb.cx/3qXOJB4

Three distributions:

  1. Fundamental analysis
  2. Hedge fund - stock picker - modeler of company - giant of era 
  3. Respect by other traders followed along

CNBC: Watch CNBC's full interview with Social Capital CEO Chamath Palihapitiya

Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

CNBC's "Halftime Report" team is joined by Chamath Palihapitiya, Social Capital CEO, amid the coronavirus pandemic. Chamath Palihapitiya, founder and CEO of investment firm Social Capital, told CNBC on Thursday that the economic implications of COVID-19 will hit the middle class the hardest. “The people that get decimated are the 80% in the middle,” Palihapitiya, an early Facebook executive, said in a “Fast Money Halftime Report” interview. Palihapitiya added that the U.S. government needs to learn from the past mistakes of financial crises and help the people who actually need it most. “We have a responsibility this time around to learn from what we did wrong the last time,” he said. “You can’t just bail folks out financially for being financially greedy. It’s unfair. What we did in 2008 was incomplete, all we did was shift risk off the balance sheet.” He added, “Hedge fund guys are the ones buying quarter-of-a-billion-dollar apartments, buying sports teams, hedge fund guys are the ones buying art. And now all of a sudden if we have to go and step into the capital markets with United States dollars that everybody has a right to as citizens of this country, to shore up the financial operations of the capital markets, somebody has to pay a price for that as well.” Several companies have laid off or furloughed workers due to the new coronavirus. Jobless claims in the U.S. rose to 281,000 last week, a significant rise from last week’s 211,000. Marriott International said it will be laying off tens of thousands of employees. Compass Coffee, which is based in Washington, D.C. and competes with Starbuck’s, has laid off 150 workers, or 80% of its staff. Danny Meyer’s Union Square Hospitality Group said it would furlough 3,000 workers, also 80% of its workforce. The Trump administration said it has a plan to send Americans relief money as part of a massive stimulus package to blunt the impact of COVID-19. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that the plan, which is being discussed with congressional leaders across the aisle, would send payments totaling $500 billion directly to Americans. Mnuchin added that the White House’s plan would also allocate $300 billion for small businesses. He said “there will be loan forgiveness” for employees who keep their workers on the payroll. $200 billion would also be used for “more facilities” with the Federal Reserve, as well as secured lending to airlines and other critical industries being strangled by the crisis. Palihapitiya, who was a Facebook executive in the early days of the company, told CNBC last week that the broad market sell-off over coronavirus fears is like the 2008 financial crisis and 2000 dot-com bubble bust combined. He added that he thinks the markets still have the worst to come, especially if federal measures don’t come through. “I suspect we’re not near the lows.

CNBC: Watch CNBC's full interview with Social Capital CEO Chamath Palihapitiya

 Jan. 27, 2021

Here is the link. 

CNBC's "Halftime Report" team is joined by Chamath Palihapitiya, Social Capital CEO, amid the coronavirus pandemic. Chamath Palihapitiya, founder and CEO of investment firm Social Capital, told CNBC on Thursday that the economic implications of COVID-19 will hit the middle class the hardest. “The people that get decimated are the 80% in the middle,” Palihapitiya, an early Facebook executive, said in a “Fast Money Halftime Report” interview. Palihapitiya added that the U.S. government needs to learn from the past mistakes of financial crises and help the people who actually need it most. “We have a responsibility this time around to learn from what we did wrong the last time,” he said. “You can’t just bail folks out financially for being financially greedy. It’s unfair. What we did in 2008 was incomplete, all we did was shift risk off the balance sheet.” He added, “Hedge fund guys are the ones buying quarter-of-a-billion-dollar apartments, buying sports teams, hedge fund guys are the ones buying art. And now all of a sudden if we have to go and step into the capital markets with United States dollars that everybody has a right to as citizens of this country, to shore up the financial operations of the capital markets, somebody has to pay a price for that as well.” Several companies have laid off or furloughed workers due to the new coronavirus. Jobless claims in the U.S. rose to 281,000 last week, a significant rise from last week’s 211,000. Marriott International said it will be laying off tens of thousands of employees. Compass Coffee, which is based in Washington, D.C. and competes with Starbuck’s, has laid off 150 workers, or 80% of its staff. Danny Meyer’s Union Square Hospitality Group said it would furlough 3,000 workers, also 80% of its workforce. The Trump administration said it has a plan to send Americans relief money as part of a massive stimulus package to blunt the impact of COVID-19. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that the plan, which is being discussed with congressional leaders across the aisle, would send payments totaling $500 billion directly to Americans. Mnuchin added that the White House’s plan would also allocate $300 billion for small businesses. He said “there will be loan forgiveness” for employees who keep their workers on the payroll. $200 billion would also be used for “more facilities” with the Federal Reserve, as well as secured lending to airlines and other critical industries being strangled by the crisis. Palihapitiya, who was a Facebook executive in the early days of the company, told CNBC last week that the broad market sell-off over coronavirus fears is like the 2008 financial crisis and 2000 dot-com bubble bust combined. He added that he thinks the markets still have the worst to come, especially if federal measures don’t come through. “I suspect we’re not near the lows.

Equity research: Time to go to work - my IRA account - NOK up 6000 dollars gains - back to 2232 dollars gain

 


EXPR stock: short squeeze -> sold 2.1 4800 shares, Jan. 27, 2021 8.61/ share

 Jan. 27, 2021

Introduction

It is my attitude to cause me lose opportunity to make $31.000 dollars, since I did not understand short squeeze on Jan. 22, 2021. I did not know that EXPR will go up to $10.00 dollars. Also I did not know most important is not to sell until I can understand why it go up. 

Researcher -> Ask myself what is most important -> Understand short squeeze 

Here is my transaction. 


Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Jim Cramer breaks down the GameStop short squeeze

 Jan. 26, 2021

Here is the link. 

"Mad Money" host Jim Cramer discusses short squeezes involving stocks like GameStop, but contends the headline-grabbing moves do not threaten the health of overall U.S. equity market. Subscribe to CNBC PRO for access to investor and analyst insights: https://cnb.cx/2Vtntx6 Headline-grabbing short squeezes involving GameStop — and to a lesser extent, a few other companies — are really distractions for most stock market investors, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Monday. “As entertaining as these moves are, this stuff is ultimately a sideshow. At the end of the day, I don’t think a Reddit forum can bring the house down,” the “Mad Money” host said, referring r/wallstreetbets and other online chat rooms where some retail investors and day traders have sought to drive shares higher and squeeze out short-sellers. In other cases, it’s less about busting short-sellers and targeting companies that are “genuinely loved” such as Blackberry and Palantir, both of which had big runs during Monday’s session, Cramer said. Blackberry closed higher by about 28% while Palantir advanced 11%. “They’re picking undervalued stocks that have a big short position and running with them,” Cramer said. “That can cause crazy moves in a handful of stocks, but it’s not big enough to move the entire market.” While it may be causing financial pain for hedge funds and other investors who had shorted the stocks, essentially betting shares will go lower, Cramer said the recent developments in are not what most investors should be focusing on. “What really matters right now is that we have a stock picker’s market for the first time in 20-odd years,” Cramer said. “This is a market that rewards individual companies for being well-run, and that means stocks are less sensitive to the broader economy than they used to be.” To be sure, Cramer said there are some stocks that could hurt the market overall if large numbers of investors decide to sell and take profits after massive runs during the coronavirus pandemic. He also acknowledged that while technology companies have been major beneficiaries of the digital acceleration spurred on by the pandemic, most of the sector has “gotten overheated at these levels.” “The endless price target boosts for the semiconductors and for Apple are very unnerving to me,” Cramer said. “They set a high bar. That could hurt the market. There’s a whole gauntlet of stocks that have roared, from Microsoft to Tesla to Boeing to AMD, and they could really hurt us if they get hit with a big bout of profit-taking.” At the same time, Cramer said there are signs in the market that are encouraging for investors. For example, when a company such as Kimberly-Clark reported a positive quarter, the stock moves higher, Cramer said. “Of course, stocks go down just as much when they disappoint and that’s what happened to IBM last week,” Cramer said, leaning on these examples as evidence of what he believes is a stock-pickers market. That’s especially important for investors to remember during a busy week of earnings, Cramer said, which includes the likes of Apple, Tesla and Johnson & Johnson issuing quarterly reports. “With the exception of a handful of gigantic tech plays, there isn’t a stock out there that’s big enough to bring down this market,” Cramer said. “If anything, the gauntlet of earnings this week starting with J&J tomorrow, which is not at all sensitive to the economy, could be a terrific sign that many big-cap stocks are immune to a slowdown and unperturbed by the crazy action in marginal names like a GameStop or B&G Foods or even a [Rocket Companies] and Bed Bath & Beyond.” » Subscribe to CNBC TV: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCtelevision » Subscribe to CNBC: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBC » Subscribe to CNBC Classic: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCclassic


Jim Cramer: Short squeezes are generating major gains in stocks

Jan. 26, 2021

Here is the link. 

"Like it or not, right now we've got a bull market in short busting, and I bet you'll see more stories like GameStop and Bed Bath," the "Mad Money" host said. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/2NGeIvi

Cramer & Altucher: How To Play The Short Squeeze

 Jan. 26, 2021

Here is the link. 

Cramer & Altucher: How To Play The Short Squeeze


ClayTrader: Trading 101: What is a "Short Squeeze"?

 Here is the link. 

The stock market is a crazy place where money can be made no matter what happens. How so? Due to a trading and investing strategy known as "going short", you can literally make money from a stock price going down in value. While the stock market is very expansive in all the opportunities it can give you, it can also be a very risky place where large amounts of money can be lost. In the world of "shorting stocks" and "going short", you must be aware of and avoid what is known as a "short squeeze". Perhaps you've heard this term, but if you are a beginner in the stock market and just getting started, it would be normal for you to have no idea what it means. Let me show you how a short squeeze works and what causes it (and continues to cause it). Learning how to trade and invest means understanding the risks involved and this is definitely a risk you need to be aware of. What is "Shorting" / "Going Short"? - learn the basics HERE (https://claytrader.com/videos/shortin...)

Sasha Evdakov: What is a Short Squeeze and How Can You Profit From It?

 Here is the link. 

You may have heard of the term "short squeeze" in the past - but didn't know what it meant. I'm here to tell you what it is and how you can capitalize and profit from a short squeeze. What is a short squeeze? There are two players in the market. There are the "longs" and the "shorts" which are equivalent to buyers and sellers. Buyers are looking for the stock to head higher while Sellers are looking for the stock to head lower. Sellers typical are borrowing shares from their brokers - then will look for the stock to head lower - they'll purchase it back at a lower price and pocket the difference. These are called "short-sellers."


Equity research: GME stock short squeeze

 Jan. 26, 2021

Here is the article. 

Steve Sosnick, the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, said in an interview that short sellers should be on alert. “I believe there is a systemic targeting of highly shorted stocks,” he said.

There does not appear to be as many stocks being targeted by short sellers as there once was -- at least among large-caps. In the S&P 500, the median short interest fell from 1.5% of total market cap in December from 2.2% in June, according to Goldman Sachs. In the S&P 500, the most-shorted stocks include well-known names like American Airlines (AAL) and ViacomCBS (VIACA).

GME, DDS, LGND, BBBY, FIZZ, AMCX, MAC, SASO, SPWR, SKT, AXDX 

a function of investor short-covering as opposed to improvement in fundamentals


Equity research: Short squeezes

Jan. 26, 2021

Here is the link.

Short squeeze - first time I read the concept.  

A short squeeze occurs because short sellers get skittish when it looks like their short bets may prove wrong. Short sellers face unlimited risk if they turn out to be wrong and a stock’s price rises. Not only that, but short sellers will also start getting margin calls from their brokers as their short goes bad.

The easiest way for short sellers to cut their losses and answer their margin call is to simply close their trade. In a short, that means buying back the stock to cover the shares they borrowed and sold.

But, sometimes there simply aren’t enough shares to go around for all the short sellers who want to buy back the stock. That drives up demand, which in turn creates a lot of buying pressure and a sudden jump in the price of a stock. This creates something of a snowball effect – short sellers buy up the stock and drive up its price, thus forcing other short sellers to do the same thing to limit their own losses. A short squeeze can turn what might have started as a gain of several percent into a gain of 10% or more in a single day.

When trading a short squeeze, the goal is to get at the start of the bullish activity, before the majority of short sellers have been able to cover their positions and demand for the stock fades. To get the timing right, you need to know that a short squeeze might be coming.

Scanning for a Short Squeeze

It’s easy to turn those guidelines into scanner parameters using Scanz. Essentially, there are three conditions that must be fulfilled:

  1. The number of shares short should be greater than five times the average daily volume
  2. The shares short as a percentage of the float should be greater than 10%
  3. The number of shares short should be increasing

Follow up 

Oct. 27, 2021
Work on style of content using Microsoft word by changing line space, make content easy to read. 

A short squeeze occurs because short sellers get skittish when it looks like their short bets may prove wrong. Short sellers face unlimited risk if they turn out to be wrong and a stock’s price rises. Not only that, but short sellers will also start getting margin calls from their brokers as their short goes bad. 

The easiest way for short sellers to cut their losses and answer their margin call is to simply close their trade. In a short, that means buying back the stock to cover the shares they borrowed and sold. 

But, sometimes there simply aren’t enough shares to go around for all the short sellers who want to buy back the stock. That drives up demand, which in turn creates a lot of buying pressure and a sudden jump in the price of a stock. This creates something of a snowball effect – short sellers buy up the stock and drive up its price, thus forcing other short sellers to do the same thing to limit their own losses. A short squeeze can turn what might have started as a gain of several percent into a gain of 10% or more in a single day. 

When trading a short squeeze, the goal is to get at the start of the bullish activity, before the majority of short sellers have been able to cover their positions and demand for the stock fades. To get the timing right, you need to know that a short squeeze might be coming. 

Scanning for a Short Squeeze 

It’s easy to turn those guidelines into scanner parameters using Scanz. Essentially, there are three conditions that must be fulfilled: 

  1. The number of shares short should be greater than five times the average daily volume
  2. The shares short as a percentage of the float should be greater than 10%
  3. The number of shares short should be increasing

 

New home: Boca Flores by Pulte Homes

 Here is the link. 

It is a good deal for US citizen. 30 year mortgage around 2%, and 485 monthly maintenance, and property tax may be around $6000 dollars. 

Monthly mortgage is around $1600 dollars. 


Follow up 

August 12, 2021 

The market value went up $60,000 in six month up to August 12, 2021. 


T stock: Earning day Jan 27, 2021

 


Bought more shares. Looked today at how the disney PE took off once d+ got traction. It made an incredible move from 20 trailing pe to 60+ even as it's core business (theme parks) were totally shuttered for covid. Even if it doesn't happen overnight, HBO max WILL get on that trajectory. They have much better content than their peers and this 1 year marketing promotion (new releases on the platform) will expose people to the project and it will be sticky. International rollout this year. I could go on and on. Once wall street believes the story, PE will climb to 30 and beyond here. Bought in big today on top of my existing positions. VERY BULLISH GOOD TIMES AHEAD!

4th quarter earnings Wednesday morning. Get in before they report because this is going to pop at least 5%, maybe 6% on Wednesday. They're going to report a record breaking wireless revenue, as their trade-in offer on new phones for existing customers has been a huge success!! And HBO Max sign-ups is going to surprise to the upside with the Blockbuster Movie releases being planned for this year, far exceeding expectations. By Friday, I predict a 9% upside in the stock price. The only thing that may hold this back is if they also provide an update on the C-band auction results, which may scare off investors because of the increased debt load they'll be taking on (which they don't need right now)

Nokia stock: My first purchase in 2021

 


Monday, January 25, 2021

Equity research: $150,000 dollars gain on EXPR in less than two months | 50,000 capital | 0.92 - 4.2/ share

 Jan. 25, 2021

Introduction

It is time for me to evaluate the maximum gains I can work on. I need to choose equity research to make maximum gains. I like to talk about the possibility of gains $150,000 dollars on EXPR projects. 

Questrade - TFSA

I have $64,000 canadian dollars on my TFSA. If I can make purchase of 50,000 shares of EXPR at price 0.92, and then I can have gains on Jan. 25 at price of 4.2/ share. 

The gains is over $150,000 dollars, near $200,000 dollars. 


A few concerns about bankruptcy in short term - it is zero in next 3 months. 100 million loan is secured. 

Project management skills

I have problems to manage an equity project. I should keep my purchase shares confidential until I made purchase. I also need to make my shares confidential, so that I will be a trader to sell as pump and dump scheme. 

Train myself

I have to train myself to think big, and play big instead of being a trader. Meanwhile I like to learn all kinds of business, and how the business survive in pandemic. 

  1. Willing to take risk to purchase shares at not lowest price and then hold those share until the price goes up. Do not time the market, speculate return to sell with my own target, 100% return for example. Let market do it's work. If EXPR goes up 4.2, I sell at price 2.1 near 100% gain, then it is not a good project management. Market has over 300% return instead. 
  2. Do not rush to work on too many projects. Focus on one. Do it really very well. 
  3. Consider the risk of loss. Be humble and learn. Do not check market value. Those are not real one. 
  4. Train myself to think independently. 

Equity research: Nokia Experts talk end-to-end 5G technology and the way forward

Jan. 25, 2021

Here is the link. 

Our panel of 5G domain experts, moderated by Michael Hainsworth, talk all things 5G technology. In particular focusing on the importance of taking an end-to-end 5G architecture approach so that CSPs can extract the most value from their investments and create extraordinary experiences for their consumer and enterprise customers. Related Link: https://www.nokia.com/networks/5g/end...

Equity research: What makes a good research on EXPR?

 Jan. 25, 2021

Introduction

I like to learn how to collaborate with people. So we have chats on wechat group for Jiaotong university alumni, we work together over six months. How to make a good research on EXPR? 

EXPR stock

Anna told us to purchase EXPR at price 0.96/ share. I did not pay attention until I saw the gains from 0.60 to 1.80 dollars. I started to work on the research, made first purchase of 300 shares of EXPR. 

I like to learn from EXPR stock behavior, so I did not sell for 10% profit. First I tried to wait for pullback. 


Scalability 

I try to scale the investment to biggest as possible. I did not purchase 10,000 shares at 0.92 on Dec. 31, 2021. 

What if I made purchase on Dec. 31, 2020 with more than 40,000 shares? 

Why my motivation is to make gains of $2600 and so excited for the gain? I have to figure out how to measure the maximum gains for EXPR. 


Equity research: Missing first $10,000 dollars gains in one day

 Introduction

I like to teach myself to work on equity research, but not a day trader. I like to push myself to take some risk to find discount stocks, and then see if I can make significant gains on the investment. I made the mistake to sell the first day surfing. Next business day I missed 4800 shares with 9888 dollars gains. 

Day trader mindset

I like to correct my behavior as a day trader mindset. I do not like to take loss even if it is temporary market swing. I like to have experience to own 4800 shares of EXPR. My record was 4 minutes to own it, and I was heart-pumping to rush to sell and surprised that the price was 20 cents/ share up in 4 minutes. 4 minutes 960 dollars gain, but I missed another 10,000 dollars in one business day. 

I did not act like cool investor, think about value of the stock. I need to find ways to correct my behavior as an investor. 

Equity research: What is value of my research?

 Jan. 25, 2021

Introduction

I like to teach myself to work on equity research, but not a day trader. I like to push myself to take some risk to find discount stocks, and then see if I can make significant gains on the investment. I made the mistake to sell the first day surfing. Next business I missed 4800 shares with 9888 dollars gains. 

Day trader mindset

I like to correct my behavior as a day trader mindset. I do not like to take loss even if it is temporary market swing. I like to have experience to own 4800 shares of EXPR. My record was 4 minutes to own it, and I was heart-pumping to rush to sell and surprised that the price was 20 cents/ share up in 4 minutes. 4 minutes 960 dollars gain, but I missed another 10,000 dollars in one business day. 

I did not act like cool investor, think about value of the stock. I need to find ways to correct my behavior as an investor. 

Equity research: Target is too low to beat inflation, market pullback and time spent - $3000 vs $13,000 dollars

  Jan. 25, 2021

Introduction

I like to teach myself to work on equity research, but not a day trader. I like to push myself to take some risk to find discount stocks, and then see if I can make significant gains on the investment. I made the mistake to sell the first day surfing. Next business I missed 4800 shares with 9888 dollars gains. 

Day trader mindset

I like to correct my behavior as a day trader mindset. I do not like to take loss even if it is temporary market swing. I like to have experience to own 4800 shares of EXPR. My record was 4 minutes to own it, and I was heart-pumping to rush to sell and surprised that the price was 20 cents/ share up in 4 minutes. 4 minutes 960 dollars gain, but I missed another 10,000 dollars in one business day. 

I did not act like cool investor, think about value of the stock. I need to find ways to correct my behavior as an investor. 

Equity research: Why day trading thoughts are not rewarding - EXPR sold at 2.1/ 4800 shares, next day up 9888 dollars

 Jan. 25, 2021

Introduction

I like to teach myself to work on equity research, but not a day trader. I like to push myself to take some risk to find discount stocks, and then see if I can make significant gains on the investment. I made the mistake to sell the first day surfing. Next business I missed 4800 shares with 9888 dollars gains. 

Day trader mindset

I like to correct my behavior as a day trader mindset. I do not like to take loss even if it is temporary market swing. I like to have experience to own 4800 shares of EXPR. My record was 4 minutes to own it, and I was heart-pumping to rush to sell and surprised that the price was 20 cents/ share up in 4 minutes. 

I did not act like cool investor, think about value of the stock. I need to find ways to correct my behavior as an investor. 



Equity research: Nokia Experts talk end-to-end 5G technology and the way forward

 Jan. 25, 2021

Here is the link. 


Nokia stock: Nokia is winning 5G deals, CEO says

Jan. 25, 2021

Here is the link. 

Nokia CEO Rajeev Suri discusses the race among top telecom equipment makers — including China's Huawei — to roll out 5G networks.


Sunday, January 24, 2021

Billionaire Stephen Schwarzman talks about staying competitive, Trump, the markets, and success

 Jan. 24, 2021

Here is the link. 

No matter the height of his success, Steve Schwarzman isn’t satisfied. Straight out of Harvard business school, Schwarzman joined Lehman Brothers, where he rose to managing director at just 31 years old. He left it behind in 1985 to co-found the private equity firm Blackstone Group, which raised $830 million for its first fund. The company has since grown into a giant—with $512 billion in assets under management and 23 offices worldwide. Schwarzman is here to talk about what his investments reveal about where the economy is right now and where it’s headed.


Stephen A. Schwarzman - an American businessman, investor and philanthropist.

 Stephen Allen Schwarzman (born February 14, 1947) is an American businessman, investor and philanthropist. He is the chairman and CEO of The Blackstone Group, a global private equity firm he established in 1985 with former chairman and CEO of Lehman Brothers and US Secretary of Commerce Peter G. Peterson. His personal fortune is estimated at $19 billion as of October 2020, ranking him at 64th on the World's Billionaires list.[1][2] Schwarzman briefly served as Chairman of President Donald Trump's Strategic and Policy Forum.[3]

Goldman Sachs: Stephen Schwarzman – Blackstone CEO and Author of "What It Takes"

Jan. 24, 2021

Here is the link. 

In this episode of Talks at GS, Stephen Schwarzman, the co-founder and CEO of Blackstone, discusses his experience building one of the world’s leading investment firms. Learn More https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights...

Smart person does not want that. A lot of people just are happy. 

Get admitted to Yale university, waiting list of Harvard university. 


Value Investing Principles & Approach | Bill Nygren | Talks at Google

Jan. 24, 2021

Here is link. 

William C. Nygren, CFA: Partner, Portfolio Manager and Chief Investment Officer - U.S. Equities Bill Nygren has been a manager of the Oakmark Select Fund (OAKLX) since 1996, Oakmark Fund (OAKMX) since 2000 and the Oakmark Global Select Fund (OAKWX) since 2006. He is also the Chief Investment Officer for U.S. Equities at Harris Associates, which he joined in 1983; he served as the firm’s Director of Research from 1990 to 1998. Mr. Nygren has received many accolades during his investment career, including being named Morningstar's Domestic Stock Manager of the Year for 2001. He holds an M.S. in Finance from the University of Wisconsin's Applied Security Analysis Program (1981) and a B.S. in Accounting from the University of Minnesota (1980). Moderated by Saurabh Madaan.

My notes for last five minutes:

54:00 - 1:03

Last five minutes about tech bubble back in 2000 and 2001. The growth fund investment firm was out of business, when bubble popped.

To be a successful investor, ......

Back in 2000, people take away 80% of investment from us, since we refused to take technology stocks. Revenue dropped 80%. Would you own one technology fund? If we can find one to fit into our value criteria, then there is time in the future. When technology is out-of-favor, you are ......

Stick to principles. 

Feb. 2000, they lost customers. At the end, they were out of business. Market is suddenly to correct itself. The technology name fell down. 

Bubble grows, bubble pops. 

The Evolution of a Value Investor | Tom Gayner | Talks at Google

 Jan. 24, 2021

Here is the link. 

About the Talk Tom Gayner is the CIO of Markel Corp, where he manages the company's investment portfolio. He talks about his journey as an individual and value investor. A recent Wall Street Journal feature on Mr Gayner's investing style mentions: "He has an outstanding investing record. He works only for Markel and doesn’t take outside clients, but every investor can learn from him.You never would know any of this [extraordinary success] from listening to Mr. Gayner. After a good year, most portfolio managers beat their chests even harder than they beat the market; Mr. Gayner’s 2014 report merely said, “our overall equity portfolio earned 18.6%,” without even mentioning that the S&P 500 was up 13.7%.Instead of trying to mimic the inimitable brilliance of Mr. Buffett, maybe more investors should emulate the common sense and patience of Mr. Gayner." About the Author Tom Gayner is the president and Chief Investment Officer at Markel, and a Director at Graham Holdings, Colfax, the Davis Mutual Funds as well as The Community Fund of Richmond and the Bon Secours Health System. Mr. Gayner, who is a CPA, worked as an accountant, a stockbroker and an equity analyst before joining Markel in 1990.

Personal capital: Report on Jan. 24, 2021