Sunday, March 15, 2020

美股创历史新高 巴菲特却急着减仓

Here is the article.

巴菲特曾今公开自己的“股神指标”——用美股总市值占GDP比重衡量美股估值的泡沫程度——当前估值处于20年前互联网泡沫以来从未出现过的高水平。
在前面两次席卷全球的金融风暴中,这一指标均从顶峰直线下坠:科技股泡沫时期从136.9%的峰值跌至72.9%,次贷危机时期则从105.2%跌到56.8%。
此外,巴菲特向美联储寻求批准将增持美国银行股份超过10%,就算经济出现衰退,巴菲特也可以拿着分红和大把现金等着抄底。
早在2008年,巴菲特就成功为市场崩盘做好了准备,巴菲特事先将多余的现金储存起来,在危机期间将资金借给高盛和通用电气等陷入困境的公司,赚得盆满钵满。



Investing Insights: Navigating Market Downturns and Medicare Choices

Here is the link.

Increase monthly contribution.



Stock Market Is Crashing | How It's Affecting Our Financial Independence Plan & Early Retirement

Here is the link.


Do You Need a Mentor to Become a Millionaire? Ask Mr. Wonderful #21 Kevin O'Leary & Barbara Corcoran

Here is the link.


Feb. 27 and March 15 comparison using Mint app trend

March 15, 2020

Introduction


It is so tough for me as a 53 years old, and I did not know how to time the market. After 26% SPX crash from Feb. 24 to March 15, and I like to compare my investment accounts using Mint trend. I do not have time to get into each account and get total of all accounts, I plan to start to use Mint app trend to help.

Two day comparison


Here is the comparison I like to share. Through the process, I like to ask myself questions, how to think, what to read in this recesssion. How to be a passive investor?



Market change before and after crash 26% SPX - Feb. 27 - March 13


I wrote a blog about my Victoria TFSA account on Feb. 25, 2020, 2 days loss over $2000 dollars. Here is the blog.

Actionable Items


I need to work on my Questrade.com TFSA account, and see how I can track the balance.

We aren't close to the end of bad coronavirus headlines: Josh Brown

Here is the link.

CNBC's "Halftime Report" team breaks down how markets are trading amid the escalating coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. and what investors should do.

Saturday, March 14, 2020

Coronavirus stock selloff means bull market will ‘soon end’, says Goldman — sees S&P 500 falling another 15%

Here is the article.


Because I invest SPX ETF

March 14, 2020

Introduction

I have to spend time to work on learning about world economy and everything about USA economy, because I am a passive investor on SPX ETF fund.

Case study

I need to push myself to learn more, so I can spot opportunities as an investor. I will understand swings of SPX index.


How Did Mark Cuban Get Rich?

Here is the article.

Broadcast.com was later acquired by Yahoo! now Altaba (AABA) and Mark took in $1.7 billion in Yahoo! stock. He accurately foresaw the dot-com bubble burst and began to option and liquidate his Yahoo! stock as a means to protect his wealth.

Johnson stock

Johnson stock  $150 -> $120 dollars, -16%

Here is the article.

What billionaire Mark Cuban is buying amid the sell-off

Here is the link.




What investors need to prepare for: Former Cisco CEO John Chambers

Here is the link.

John Chambers, former CEO of Cisco, joins "Squawk Alley" to discuss the market sell-off and spread of coronavirus, and how its affecting businesses. Stocks plummeted once again on Thursday after President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve both failed to quell concerns over the economic slowdown stemming from the coronavirus, leading to a historic drop for the U.S. markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 2,352.60 points lower, or 9.99%, at 21,200.62. The index had its worst drop since the 1987 “Black Monday” market crash, when it collapsed by more than 22%.The S&P 500 plummeted 9.5% to 2,480.64, joining the Dow in a bear market. The S&P 500 also had its worst day since 1987. The Nasdaq Composite closed 9.4% lower at 7,201.80. “The coronavirus is scary and people don’t know what to expect,” said Kathy Entwistle, senior vice president of wealth management at UBS. “It’s like the tsunami is coming. We know it’s going to hit any day and nobody knows what the outcome is going to be.” The major averages got a brief respite during the trading day after the Fed announced it will ramp up its overnight funding operations to more than $500 billion on Thursday. It will then offer more repo operations totaling $1 trillion on Friday. The Fed also expanded the types of securities it would purchase with reserves. However, stocks quickly traded back towards their session lows as investors awaited more aggressive measures to support the economy and target the virus outbreak directly. “These changes are being made to address highly unusual disruptions in Treasury financing markets associated with the coronavirus outbreak,” said the statement from the New York Federal Reserve, which conducts these operations on behalf of the Fed.


Markets just need to get through the next six weeks, says Bleakley's Boockvar

March 14, 2020


Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group, joins "Squawk Box" to help make sense of the coronavirus-driven market volatility.

2:47/ 3:47
worry about operation money?

Royal caribbean 36.60 +20.91%
Carnial corp. 17.25      +15.23%
Norwegian cruise line 11.11  +15.13%
Occidental petrol 13.40  +12.70%
Schlumberger   15.97  +10.75%

Stock futures bounce after biggest drop since '87

Balance sheet analysis

Get through next six weeks.


美国被动股基规模首超主动股基 十年间主动股基意外“失血”万亿美元

Here is the article. 


由于ETF跟踪指数,一部分市场人士认为,在市场遭遇重创时,被动指数基金跟随指数卖出股票,会加剧指数下跌,而指数下跌之后,跟踪该指数的指数基金又必须随之卖出更多,从而形成恶性循环,加剧市场波动。近期,电影《大空头》的原型Scion基金创始人Michael Murry表示,代表被动投资的指数基金和ETF将导致市场崩盘。海外部分对冲基金人士也表达了类似的忧虑。

There's trillions of dollars on the sideline, how can you not start buying: Jim Cramer

Here is the link.


Us stocks analysis

Here is the article. 


著名的瑞·达利欧和他的桥水基金,就一直在唱空美股。桥水基金曾经在2019年4月时报告称,上市公司已经无法维持盈利水平,美股股价将会比当前低40%。2019年底,美国媒体报道,桥水基金预判全球股市将在2020年3月下跌,并在看跌期权上下注了大约15亿美元。


一根针就是新冠疫情。疫情开始在国际上蔓延,如果无法得到有效控制,那么对于美国甚至世界经济的影响显而易见。这一点风吹草动,立刻引发了市场一波恐慌。接下来,美国以及欧洲似乎并没有拿出有效措施应对,于是大家又争先恐后抛售,深怕股票砸在自己手里。
另一根针就是油价。新冠疫情导致石油需求减少,自然价格下跌,沙特就跟俄罗斯商量减产,来保住油价,但俄罗斯不同意。结果沙特一气之下发起价格战,这下大家更恐慌了。为啥?美国自己也是石油出口国,而且成本比沙特和俄罗斯高不少,这价格一跌,美国页岩气行业怎么办?另外,原油还有金融属性,一系列金融衍生品都和原油挂钩,这一跌,必然会影响到股市。
有多恐慌,看看芝加哥期权交易所VIX指数的变化,就能一目了然。这个被称为“恐慌指数”的数字越高,代表市场对未来越不确定,不久前还保持在20以下,现在多少?75!大家都想着赶紧卖掉走人,所以就出现了你看到的熔断。
ETF technical detail - triggers to sell

近年来,美股ETF等被动投资的规模不断增大,由机器、模型或被动型公式控制的自动交易系统盛行,但设置的交易策略却趋同,所以一旦短期内出现大幅下跌,系统就会选择抛售,大量类似的交易策略一拥而上,就造成了恶性循环。

Facts about stock buy backs

美股的高估值,都是美国减税和降息推上去的。为什么呢?减税让美国企业手里现金变多,低利率又方便美国企业低成本借钱,企业的现金越来越多,用到哪里去?投资?研发?生产?我们不能说没有,但是在美国,有很大一部分钱,被企业用来回购股票,提升自身股价。光2018年,美国上市公司股票回购规模竟然超过了一万亿美元。

股价涨了,但这些公司呢?营收和利润并没有任何改变。所以企业的基本面,其实已经配不上美股的高估值。

Actionable items


The article related to oil industry, here is the link. 


Recession hasn't fully been priced in, yet, says economist

Here is the link.

David Rosenberg, chief economist at Rosenberg Research, and Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, join "Squawk on the Street" to discuss the market sell-off and probability of a recession.

Citi Oil Veteran Says $20s Likely on Unique Demand-Supply Shock

Here is the link.

Mar.12 -- Commodities tumbled with global markets as efforts by policy makers across the world failed to reassure investors worried over the fallout from the coronavirus outbreak. Oil declined 4.5%. On "Bloomberg Commodities Edge", Bloomberg's Alix Steel talks with Ed Morse, head of commodities research of Citigroup.

Fancybox 3 - an app I like to use

March 14, 2020

Introduction

It is such a great app and I like to spend time to work on more on this app.


Victoria portfolio - March 13 2020 recovery day - Make me happy

March 14, 2020

Introduction


It brought me attention to be an investor. I have to focus on my daily work, but in order to handle special swings on stock market, I should get up at early 6:00 AM and before 9:00 AM I go to work, I should watch the market, and do not miss some opportunities. I need to learn from those swings.

March 13 2020 recovery day


As a passive investor, it is also very challenge for me to learn things from big swings. Ask whys?



D.C. responds to the coronavirus pandemic & stocks end a wild week

Here is the link.


Jim Cramer: Not sure this stock market sell-off can be stopped

Here is the link.


The Stock Market is Flashing Warning Signs

Here is the link.

Business Insider CEO Henry Blodget talks about the warnings being issued by a growing faction of fund managers, including John Hussman, the president of the Hussman Investment Trust and a former economics professor. He outlines Hussman's argument that equity valuations are too high, and that technical indicators are flashing sell signals. Blodget sits down with Business Insider executive editor Sara Silverstein to discuss Hussman's bear arguments, as well as those posed by Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards, who's another long-standing critic of the current equity bull market. She looks at recent comments made by Edwards that the number of Americans planning to take a vacation is signaling the type of complacency that can derail the ongoing rally. Silverstein and Blodget then debate whether these recent comments from Hussman and Edwards hold water, citing a handful of bull arguments that suggest the market will continue higher for much longer. Blodget says the current environment reminds him of the second half of the 1990s, when bearish value investors were shamed as the market continued to rally. He laments the fact that while Hussman and Edwards may be right at some point, that the lack of clarity around timing makes it difficult to react.


Hussman Sees `Dangerous' Signs in U.S. Stock Market : Video

Here is the link.

May 27 (Bloomberg) -- John Hussman, president of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, talks with Bloomberg's Julie Hyman about risk facing the U.S. stock market.
Hussman's Hussman Strategic Total Return Fund beat 99 percent of its peers for the past five years. (This report is an excerpt. Source: Bloomberg)


6 investment accounts - Mint app trend

March 14, 2020

Introduction


I spent one hour to play with min.com, after I use mint.app more than one year, I came cross Trend feature yesterday and spent one hour to play the feature. I like to use it to understand my investment accounts last few months big swing.

Mint app trend


I have to be patient to explore all product features on mint.com. I think that it may save me a lot of time in order to monitor investment.






The 10-Year Bull Market Just Died Of Coronavirus (John Hussman & Chris Martenson)

Here is the link of one hour interview.

Given the extraordinary and historic meltdown underway in the markets, we've just recorded interviews with two of the most prominent financial experts we know to make sense of what's happening, and what's most likely to come next. John Hussman is famous for his accurate predictions of both the 2001 and 2008 stock market crises, on which he made tremendous returns for investors. John makes very few public appearances -- this is his first media interview in years. Steen Jakobsen is the Chief Investment officer of Saxo Bank. His macro market and political outlook are in high demand, making him a regular (though often contrarian) on major media such as CNBC and Bloomberg News. Both have been warning of the structural excesses and instabilities in both the global economy and financial markets that set the stage for the current breakdown we're witnessing. That said, they remain extremely concerned that the carnage that has started is far from over. Here is video #1, of Chris in conversation with John Hussman, offering arguably the best and freshest insight on what's driving this violent market sell-off and what concerned investors should be paying most attention to at this point. And here's the link to video #2, Chris' discussion with Steen Jakobsen: https://youtu.be/a7m_WRxkzHg


超级空头:美股估值过高,未来将暴跌67%

Here is the article.

John Hussman

“市场当前的高估程度已经无以复加,这就意味着未来将发生重大的亏损行情,标普500指数可能失掉三分之二(67%)的价值。”他在研究报告当中写道,“我知道自己这个三分之二损失的说法看起来有点荒谬,但是2000年到2002年,以及2007年到2009年大崩盘前夕那些类似的预测,当时看上去不也是一样荒谬吗?”

“让我担心的是,许多投资者似乎已经得出了‘经验’,即估值已经不再有意义,联储是无所不能的,股票价格再高都值得投资。”

Hussman Strategic Advisors创始人

中欧基金:美股估值过高 下跌趋势不容乐观

Here is the article.

美股估值过高。本轮美股的牛熊周期始于2009年3月,企业盈利增长和以养老金入市为代表的长期资金持续流入是美股近十年来不断走高的主要原因。除此之外,过去几年量化投资策略盛行,进一步加强了美股的表现。以SP500指数为例,虽然今年10月以来美股估值水平经历了大幅回调,但是目前15倍的估值水平相对于本轮周期低点9倍左右的估值仍然偏高。随着美国经济周期见顶回落,美股估值存在下行风险,而量化投资策略则有可能进一步加速美股的下跌速度。
美国居民资产配置过于集中,美股下跌可能引发连锁反应。以2016年为例,美国共同基金中89%的持有人为家庭投资者,美国居民金融资产中养老金、股票、债券等固定资产投资占比分别达到30%、21%、7%,其中很大一部分被用于居民养老。目前美股的下跌趋势不容乐观,可能导致长期资金对美股的信心下降,并进一步引发连锁反应。



美股估值高到巴菲特都嫌贵 坐拥1280亿美元不愿加价

Here is the article.




US stock loss summary - Feb. 18, 2020 - March 13, 2020

Here is the article. 

First stage: 

2.18 - 2.28  2%
2.24-28  -15%
3.2 - 3.6  -15%
3.3 - 3.13 -16.54%

第四,美股长达11年牛市,波动率一直很低投资者仓位很高,且指数化交易占比高,这导致波动率快速上升时仓位调整引起的踩踏。


数据来源:Wind,招商证券研究二部


美股估值趋向泡沫化


经济继续增长的动力衰减

American families will bankrupt?

Here is the article with the title:

其一,美国家庭资产负债表:美国家庭的金融资产占比63%,负债总额20.9%,净资产占比79.1%。
在金融资产结构里,多数资产为存款、保险、养老金、股票型基金、债券这些品种,这些金融资产类别,多数又为风险较小的稳健类基金资产,除了股票型基金外。要説美股暴跌,会给美国家庭带来收入减少,但破产倒还不至于。
其二,美国人通常自己不直接炒股票,而是购买股票型基金,由于美股有做空机制,金融市场也非常发达,机构投资者通常会配置对冲工具,以防美股出现系统性风险。所以,面对美股暴跌,多数机构是能够对冲风险能力。

首先,美国企业的债务已经达到最高,已经超过2008年债务危机时期,之前企业债务问题不大,是依托于企业的股票的持续上涨,如果企业股票持续重挫,那企业有破产和倒闭的风险,届时员工都要失业回家。
再者,美股如果出现暴跌,会使投资者损失惨重,就会减少消费和投资,而当大家减少消费和投资时,美国多数企业盈利就会进一步下跌,这时候企业间再恶性竞争,很多企业就无法生存下来。

Boeing 55% loss, Canival 79% loss - 波音仅剩0.5个茅台 恐怖游轮跌79%

Here is the article.

It is fun to read the article and learn a few facts in the following:


粗略统计显示,今年以来,全球已经有70多家股指最大跌幅超过20%。重要指数方面,俄罗斯RTS、巴西圣保罗IBOVESPA指数、法国CAC40、德国DAX、英国富时100等股指年内最大跌幅均超过30%,日经225、道琼斯指数、标普500、印度孟买SENSEX指数等最大跌幅均超过20%。

根据这种计算方式,全球重要市场年内市值高点超过千亿的公司中,数据宝统计显示,有110多家股价最大跌幅超过50%。符合条件的股票绝大部分为欧美公司。美国公司最多,达到48家,加拿大、巴西、法国、英国、意大利均超过5家。非欧美国家的公司并不多,包括利比里亚1家、南非1家、日本3家,中国1家等。

周四暴跌后,美国能源巨头埃克森美孚市值仍超过万亿元,位居榜单首位,公司股价年内至3月12日期间最大跌幅超过50%。英国能源巨头壳牌石油市值超过7800亿元位居次席,年内最大跌幅超过54%。美国军工巨头波音飞机市值超过6000亿元,年内最大跌幅超55%。

加拿大能源的股价表现更令人心惊肉跳,2008年该股股价一度超过360美元,2014年超过100美元,而今仅剩3美元,简直跌到渣都不剩。

巨大利空影响下,嘉年华邮轮公司股价从最高的48美元跌到3月12日14美元下方,跌幅超过71%。高盛在一份报告中指出,预计该公司2020年的每股收益将较最初的预期减少40%-50%,其中主要影响来自于需求放缓。皇家加勒比海游轮公司股价跌幅更大,从133美元上方跌至最低30美元下方,不到两个月跌幅近79%。


OVV.N  90%
CCL.N 71.37%
CNQ.N
VAL.O
CNQ.TO
BA.N   - boeing 55.50%
0087.L
AIRBIS


美股暴跌、暴力反弹背后的黑手找到了

Here is the article.



这只黑手就是目前华尔街最为流行的对冲基金模式:风险平价基金。野村跟踪的风险平价基金的仓位显示,这些基金所有的股票持仓经过过去三周的意外狂跌之后,已经基本全部降到0,也就是说这类对冲基金的空头子弹已经全部打光。

而这类基金的规模非常大,据2018年的一份研究报告估计,仅在美国管理的总金额就高达1.5万亿美元。更重要的是,这些基金有着相同的行为模式,所以“集体行动”的能量巨大。


平价基金(RiskParity或又称voltargeting)是桥水达里奥在90年代末的发明,并通过08年金融危机“一战成名”,迅速被同行大量复制。


而达里奥的发明强调的不是配置资产,而是根据资产的波动率属性来配置风险。也就是说,平价基金的关注重点在于各个资产间的风险关联度和历史关系,并通过配置资产来达到平衡各类资产的风险组合的终极目的。


同时,为了最大化收益,各类资产还会加不小的杠杆。因为组合里面的风险是平衡的且是互相抵消的,理论上较高杠杆是安全的。

I love number of six mark on interviewing.io

March 14, 2020

Introduction


It is such great experience to work on interviewing.io as a volunteer interviewer. I have chance to get interviews a few more times this years. I have 9 more interviews and I got six interviews passed. I love mark number six. I like to write a blog to celebrate my achievement.

6/ 13 mark 


I like to show the mark in my blog. I just could not believe that I also learn so many things as a system design interviewer. I started to learn and like to learn more about system design.

Learning system design is so much fun once  I  have chance to be an interviewer, and interview Microsoft SDE II, MIT graduate, and engineers from booking.com. Life is not bad as a learner and in my 53 year old.


Case study: Check completeness of a binary tree

Here is the link.



Key largo portfolio - March 13, 2020


Friday, March 13, 2020

Thursday, March 12, 2020

Say yes to short term pain

March 12, 2020

Introduction


It is so challenge to go through the bear market and see portfolio drop in one day, more than 7%. I know that people are risk aversion. It is also a good idea to review 7 traits for a good investor.


Say yes to short pain


Here is the article I like to read again.


I like to review the following trait #7, and work on some research on arguments from hedge fund manager Mark Sellers.

Trait #7
And finally the most important, and rarest, trait of all: The ability to live through volatility without changing your investment thought process.
This is almost impossible for most people to do; when the chips are down they have a terrible time not selling their stocks at a loss. They have a really hard time getting themselves to average down or to put any money into stocks at all when the market is going down.
People don't like short term pain even if it would result in better long-term results. Very few investors can handle the volatility required for high portfolio returns.
They equate short-term volatility with risk. This is irrational; risk means that if you are wrong about a bet you make, you lose money. A swing up or down over a relatively short time period is not a loss and therefore not risk, unless you are prone to panicking at the bottom and locking in the loss.
But most people just can't see it that way; their brains won't let them. Their panic instinct steps in and shuts down the normal brain function.
I would argue that none of these traits can be learned once a person reaches adulthood. By that time, your potential to be an outstanding investor later in life has already been determined.
It can be honed, but not developed from scratch because it mostly has to do with the way your brain is wired and experiences you have as a child. That doesn't mean financial education and reading and investing experience aren't important.
Those are critical just to get into the game and keep playing. But those things can be copied by anyone.

Victoria portfolio TFSA - March 12, 2020

March 12, 2020

Introduction


Say yes to short pain. I like to show my portfolio and learn how to grow my portfolio and build wealth.

Case study




Actionable Items


I do believe that this is biggest loss day I ever see. What should I do?

Should I continue to balance the portfolio, and sell some bond and purchase VFV.TO? What I can do is to wait another two months to work on rebalance?


Key largo - March 12, 2020 11:36 PM

March 12, 2020

Introduction


It is such a big loss in one day. My key largo portfolio lost 8.31% percent, and VOO position has 10.71% loss.

Case study


I like to work on a short case study. How should I stay as a passive investor, and stay disciplined.


Victoria portfolio - TFSA March 11, 2020

March 12, 2020

Introduction


It is the bear market first day. I like to write down something to memorize my day. I am a mature passive investor, and I will play by rules, not by emotions. 



Actionable items


I should control and measure my own fear and greedy. If I am a considerate person, then I should not put $13,000 dollars into US equity in February. Anything like 30% return in less than three months, I should be super careful. No free lunch. It is just manipulation before the crash.

Also I should have sold all my equity to cash when VAB.TO was $28.00/ share with $1.00 dollar market change. I have to train myself to think, how to make short gain as well when market crashes.


Design twitter - meet the challenge

Case study: Design twitter system as an interviewer

Case study: Find maximum length of substring containing k distinct chars

Here is the link





Feedbacks




Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Sell-off accelerates as WHO characterizes coronavirus outbreak as pandemic

Here is the link.

Boeing (BA)  $189.03  -18.15%, 50 off last 365 days.
Disney (DIS) 153.41 -> 102.43  30% off

Cruiseline - it is not investable; it will take years.
Macy - balance sheet problem

Balance sheet -

Starbuck - 9% off
$88 -> $68.00

SPX is level as Jan. 2018.




Say hello to bear market - Key largo portfolio

March 11, 2020

Introduction


It is the first blog I write after the bear market 2020. Here is my key largo portfolio with the big loss 3.67%. 

Case study


I just set up the portfolio in May 2019, and my original deposit is around $14,000 dollars from 1999 to 2004. This recession may bring my balance under $14,000 dollars. 

Here is my IRA account blog. 

First blog of key largo portfolio is here written on June 2019.

What are the benefits of passive investing?

Here is the link.


Stop Me Before I Do Something Stupid

Here is the article.


10 ideas to be a smarter runner

March 11, 2020

Introduction


I like to share my running image last Saturday around Deer lake, and I expect that I will lose 20 lbs in a few months.

Runner like me


I have to learn so many things in order to adopt a new sports running. I have so good running partners in the camp.


5 Silly Things About Passive Investing Nobody Talks About

Here is the article.


March 11 2020 - TFSA Victoria portfolio



March 11 2020 - Key Largo portfolio


Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Why All Successful Investment Strategies Require Discipline

Here is the article.

There is one common trait you will find with every single successful investor: discipline.

Build a plan, remove emotion

This could be a passive investment plan or an active investment plan. However, without a plan, emotion takes over.

They lose money by panic selling and miss out on gains by not being invested.

Time in the market beats timing the market. 


994 Rotten oranges

Here is my discussion post.

C# Having fun to practice more ideas in 2020

I came cross the chance to practice the algorithm in various platform. It is an easy level algorithm, but I need to come out better design, and push myself to write error-prone code, be competitive instead of being so fragile under pressure.
My first practice in 2019. Here is the practice.
My second practice in 2020 March 10. Here is the link.
Improvement is to use mapping function with better design, instead of choosing minimum value columns, use rows + columns of given matrix input argument.
March 10, 2020
My third practice is here. The title is called "C# start from each rotten orange to apply BFS approach - more work".


What are challenges to be a competitive programming as a 53 years old?

March 10, 2020

Introduction


I have to work on some research related to my age, and how should I work on retaining my skills to write bug-free code in C#.


Do not miss out



  1. I should join Leetcode weekly contest last three months;
  2. I should write easy level algorithm weekly, my number on Leetocode is 463 last two months;
  3. I should find time to work on my coding;
  4. I should not worry about stock market. Be a passive investor, stay on the course, be a long term investor;
  5. I should control my emotions. I got so much joy when SPX hit 3300, and my TFSA has unrealized gain over $3500 dollars. 

How to enhance trouble shooting skills?

March 9, 2020

Introduction


I like to find all kinds of apps or other tools to help me increase my judgement skills. I like to learn how to perform under stress, specially on coding interview, online code assessment, system design interview.

One of ideas


I like to learn how to calm down, and learn how to communicate myself better with others. Being a single person, it is so hard for me to stay alone all day long. I need to find some activities to help me relax, actively improve my communication, and also work on my skills of reasoning.


Monday, March 9, 2020

My TFSA Victoria portfolio - Crash 7% March 9, 2020




VAB.TO Canadian bond one dollar increase March 9 2020

March 9, 2020

Introduction


I woke up before US stock market opened in EST 9:30AM, and then I woke up again second time I found out my bond in TFSA went up over $2,000 unrealized profit, since one dollar increase the first two hours trading on March 9, 2020.

Business opportunity


I was thinking about getting up early to spend two hours to work on online code assessment, but I went back to sleep. I had hay fever, and my eye was itching and nose was running. It felt like cold.

I should get up early, and then look for business opportunity as an investor.

I own over 1000 share of Canadian bond, I should sell all of them, and purchase them back when the price drops. I did not understand why bond price can go up one dollar.

I used Jstock app to track my profit. Here is the snapshot of March 9, 2020.


March 9 2020 VAB.TO ETF short term jumping up $1.00 dollar

March 9 2020 Key Largo portfolio crashed 7%


Sunday, March 8, 2020

HOW (AND WHY) ATHLETES GO BROKE

Here is the article.

Reading is most helpful for me to learn how to understand people, money, and control my own emotions.

I like the statement in the following paragraph:

Sometimes,though, a jock just can't shake the temptation to try to hit the jackpot. Butowsky believes that "there's something in an athlete's mentality"that drives him to swing for the fences financially--usually at his own peril."The solution to the problem is, without a doubt, education," the adviser says. "Change won't happen until grown men start wanting to learn."

What former NFL star Terrell Owens learned from blowing through $80 million

Here is the article.

Despite the fact that NFL players make an average of $1.9 million a year, 15 percent declare bankruptcy, while Sports Illustrated estimates that 78 percent end up coming close and/or experience significant financial stress.

Former stars explain why NFL players go broke, and what you can learn

Here is the link.

Facts:

78% of NFL players end up broke or under financial stress after they retire.

Here are some of the ways people sabotage their finances.

They enable instead of help

Uncles ask for money, aunts, grandmothers, friends, all of the sudden they think it's a free-for-all.

Players should learn to say no, both out of self-preservation and because unearned money breeds dependency.

Be wary of giving money to people who chronically overspend or who aren't taking steps to support themselves. You may want to help, but you could be making things worse.

They trust the wrong people

Too often, people turn over the keys of their financial lives to others and stop paying attention.

The player should have learned about finances even though he was busy setting NFL records...

Trust advisors to manage my financial portfolio without keeping a close eye on it.

They spend too much

The money disappeared faster than expected.

Careers may be shortened by injuries or getting cut from a team.

The takeaway: None of us is guaranteed a long career or ever-climbing paychecks. Living below our means during good times is the best way to survive when times are bad. Putting aside money for retirement and emergencies should be top priorities.







Shaq Inc. and The Business of Fun - SportsMoney | Forbes

Here is the link.


Shaq: Invest in companies that can change lives

Here is the link.


Shaquille O'Neal Discusses Investing, Franchising, and Donuts | WSJ

Here is the link.


Shaquille O'Neal Discusses Investing, Franchising, and Donuts | WSJ

Here is the link.


Case study: Why bond ETF prices go up quickly?

March 8, 2020

Introduction


It is so interesting to learn that bond ETF price goes up. I like to ask why? And I like to learn why market is so easy for me to work on rebalance, since bond ETF goes up and I like to sell, and equity ETF goes down and I like to purchase.

Case study


Here is the snapshot of my Canadian TFSA ETF.


Saturday, March 7, 2020

Liz Ann Sonders: Recession Inevitable, the Question is When? Your Money, Your Wealth® podcast #204

Here is the article.


Why Global Diversification Matters

Here is the article.


Why Waiting for a Market Rebound Could Cost You

Here is the article.


When You Have to Sell in a Down Market: How to Make the Best of a Bad Situation

Here is the article.


How Traders Can Take Advantage of Volatile Markets

Here is the article.


7 Investing Principles The fundamentals you need for investing success.

Here is the article.

Asset classes perform differently.

$100,000 invested in 1997 would have had a volatile journey to nearly $400,000 in 2017 if invested in U.S. stocks. If invested in cash investments or bonds, the ending amount would be lower, but the path would have been smoother. Investing in a moderate allocation portfolio would have captured some of the growth of stocks with lower volatility over the long term.

My thoughts


I just could not believe that those 20 years return will be almost 4 times. I went to USA in 1996 August, and before 2001 I worked full time and my net income near 3 three year is over $110,000 US dollars. 

Based on the simulation on the above page, here are returns with stocks 50%, bonds 40%, cash 10%

1996   13.5%
1997   21.1%
1998   18.2%
1999    10.7%
2000    0.7%
2001    -2.2%
2002    -6.8%
2003    16.1%
2004      7.3%
2005      3.7%
2006     10.1%
2007       6.0%
2008     -16.2%
2009      15.6%
2010      10.2%
2011        4.2%
2012        9.7%
2013       15.4%
2014         9.2%
2015         0.9%
2016         7.1%




Market Volatility: Here’s What You Should Know

Here is the article.


Do’s and Don’ts for the Next Bear Market

Here is the article.


When Markets Dip, Don’t Drop Out

Here is the article.


Market Correction: What Does It Mean?

Here is the article.


Rebalancing to Help Reduce Risk - Portfolio management

March 7, 2020

Introduction


It is my favorite article and there are a few wisdom for me to pick up. I like to learn more about rebalancing and understand how it helps to reduce risk.

Article reading


Here is the article. I like to learn how to make decision and also remove emotions from decision making.

“Instituting a disciplined rebalancing strategy can help remove those emotions from the decision-making process.”

How Charles Schwab's chief investment strategist manages her own money

Here is the article. I like to learn from Liz Ann Sonders.


The Beginning is the End is the Beginning: A Look at Recessions

Here is the article.

Chop, Chop, Chop: Stocks’ Choppy Behavior Around Trade News

Here is the link.

I like to read the following paragraph more carefully later on.

Don’t try to trade around trade news!

One of the lessons that should come from observing what’s above is that trying to trade around these trade headlines is a potentially-treacherous exercise. With so much daily noise, we continue to recommend a disciplined strategy around diversification and rebalancing. Tied to that has been our sector strategy; which has been fairly “neutral” over the past year—having only one outperform rating (health care) and only one underperform rating (communications services). The remaining nine sectors have market perform ratings. That said, we have been generally emphasizing a somewhat-defensive positioning, with a bias toward sectors like health care; and utilities, REITs and consumer staples within the market perform-rated sectors.