Saturday, June 3, 2023

Clifford Scott Asness

 Clifford Scott Asness (/ˈæznəs/; born October 17, 1966) is an American hedge fund manager and the co-founder of AQR Capital Management. According to an April 2020 Forbes profile, Asness' estimated net worth was $2.6 billion.[1]

Early life and education[edit]

Asness was born to a Jewish family, in Queens, New York, the son of Carol, who ran a medical education firm, and Barry Asness, an assistant district attorney in Manhattan. His family moved to Roslyn Heights, New York when he was four. He attended the B'nai B'rith Perlman Camp and graduated from Herricks High School.[2]

In 1988, Asness graduated summa cum laude from the University of Pennsylvania, from which he received bachelor's degrees in computer science and finance as part of the Jerome Fisher Program in Management and Technology (M&T).[3] Asness's interest in finance and portfolio management began while he worked a research assistant in the Finance Department at Wharton,[3] where he learned to use "coding computer programs" to analyze markets" and "test economic and financial theories".[4]

In 1989, Asness enrolled at the University of Chicago, where he received his MBA with high honors in 1991 and his PhD in finance in 1994.[5][6] At Chicago, Asness was the Teaching Assistant (TA) for his dissertation adviser, Nobel laureate Eugene Fama[6][3] — who was also Asness' mentor[7] — and the economist, Kenneth French, who were both influential and widely-respected empirical financial economists, had established the foundations of their Fama–French three-factor model in 1992.[8][Notes 1] Fama and French had contrasted value stocks with growth stocks. Since Fama and French's inception of value stocks, "quants have designed algorithms that can scour market data" looking for "factors".[9]

Asness' doctoral dissertation was on "the performance of momentum trading, buying stocks with rising prices". Asness asserted that profits consistently beating market averages were attainable by exploiting both value and momentum. Asness concept of value was referred to in the context of fundamental analysis as a way of assessing the true worth of a security. His use of the concept of momentum referred to betting that the value will continue to go up or down as it did in the recent past. While he did not originate these concepts, Asness was credited with being the first to compile enough empirical evidence across a wide variety of markets to bring the ideas into the academic financial mainstream.[6]

Career[edit]

Global Alpha[edit]

Asness started his career in 1990, when he was 24 and still a PhD student.[7] In the early 1990s, he had left academia, to the regret of his mentor, to become manager of Goldman Sachs Asset Management's (GSAM) "new quantitative research desk." He invited two friends from his cohort at the University of Chicago to join him at GSAM. Together, they began "developing models to evaluate risk in currencies, bonds and entire economies."[4] While the "idea of factors" came from Fama and French, it was first "put into practice" in the late 1990s by Asness, according to The Economist.[9] Asness and his team at GSAM built on Fama and French's idea of factors,[8] and combined their work with insights he had gained from his own PhD research.[3][9] Asness worked as GSAM manager until 1997, when he and some members of the GSAM team, left to start their own quantitative hedge fund.[4][10]

In 1995, Asness persuaded a few partners at Goldman to provide him with an initial US$10-million investment to employ the computer-driven models that his team had developed, to invest in the market.[4][11][12]

When the $10 million initial investment reached $100 million, Goldman opened the fund to the public—the Goldman Sachs Global Alpha Fund.[4] Global Alpha, a systematic trading hedge fund was one of the earliest "quant vehicles" in the industry. The fund became known for high-frequency trading and furthered the careers of Asness and Mark Carhart.[12] Asness and his team used complicated computerized trading models to first locate underpriced equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities and then use short selling to take advantage of upward or downward price momentum.[13] The fund was designed to make money regardless of the direction the market was moving.[13] The Wall Street Journal described Asness and Carhart as "gurus" who managed Global Alpha, a "big, secretive hedge fund"—the "Cadillac of a fleet of alternative investments" that had made millions for Goldman Sachs by 2006.[14] By 2007, at its height, Global Alpha was "one of the biggest and best performing hedge funds in the world" with more than $12 billion assets under management (AUM).[15] Global Alpha was shutdown in the fall of 2011.[11] The quant fund had declined significantly by mid-2008, and continued its decline to $1 billion AUM through 2011.[16]

Bloomberg Wealth: Cliff Asness

Here is the link. 

AQR Founding Managing Principal and Chief Investment Officer Cliff Asness says he thinks equities could be a “scary place” in the event of a US recession. The legendary quant investor also takes a victory lap on “Bloomberg Wealth with David Rubenstein” after AQR’s bet on value finally paid off in 2022 after years of losing to growth stocks. This interview was recorded on April 24th in Greenwich, CT.

13:08/24:05

Process value investing, trend following quality investing, looking for positive carry, looking for good momentum

15:07 / 24:05

Warren buffet 

not very risky. Look for a decent price, 

  1. moats around it
  2. safety of the stock
  3. good things happening
Quants should explain ......

correlate with those factors:

value factor, the low risk factor and profitability 

Company makes a lot of money, aren't very risky, and then he looks for decent price...




Friday, June 2, 2023

Investor's Business Daily (IBD)

 Investor's Business Daily (IBD) is an American newspaper and website covering the stock market, international business, finance and economics. Founded in 1984 by William O'Neil as a print news publication, it is owned by News Corp and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.[1] Holding a conservative political stance,[2][3][4] IBD provides news and analysis on stocks, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, commodities, and other financial instruments aimed at individual investors and financial professionals. It also provides tools for financial literacy.[5] The publication focuses on the CAN SLIM investment strategy developed by founder William O'Neil.[6]

Every Monday in its weekly edition, the publication publishes the components of The IBD 50 Index, a list of 50 growth stocks that are most attractive based on earnings, stock price performance, and other criteria used in the CAN SLIM strategy.[7][8] It is the basis for an exchange-traded fund (ETF) called the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (Ticker: FFTY), which is also rebalanced weekly.

IBD Live includes a stock market discussion by professional stock traders via Zoom.

IBD's online courses

 

Trading & Investing Courses Online

IBD's online courses give you essential lessons on how to make more money in the stock market. Follow along at your pace and on your schedule to learn tips and tools developed from over 50 years of expert research and testing. And you'll be able to watch lessons any time on any device at investors.com!

Alphasense | edmundsec.com

 From what I hear, it's $5 - $7k per user / year.

However, I would recommend you use edmundsec.com. It's pretty much the same thing, but free.

陶鼎文教授 | Prof. Tao Dingwen

 印第安纳大学陶鼎文教授(https://wwwdingwentaocom/)诚招计算机博士生4名研究方向涵盖高性能GPU计算、高性能深度学习和分布式神经网络欢迎计算机、数学、电子工程、物理等相关专业的申请者本科专业不限不要求申请者具备科研经历但要求成绩优异、逻辑严谨、自学能力强以及具有恒心和毅力所有录取学生均将获得全额奖学金(包括生活费、学费、健康保险等)历年毕业生多进入一流研究型大学担任助理教授或加入Facebook、Microsoft等世界知名企业工作组里的博士生暑期均在美国顶级国家级实验室如橡树岭、阿贡、洛斯阿拉莫斯及微软研究院、Facebook人工智能研究院等工业界实验室实习印第安纳大学位于离印第安纳州首府印第安纳波利斯仅一小时车程的布卢明顿市印第安纳波利斯是美国第15大城市也是美国发展最快的地区之一印第安纳大学是“公立常春藤”大学之一美国62所顶尖大学组成的AAU成员之一在《华盛顿月刊》发布的2021年美国最佳大学排名中位列第48位2022年USNews美国最佳公立大学排名26位2021年USNews世界最佳大学76位在CSRankings综合排名中印第安纳大学计算机专业全美前50安全方向全美第10高性能计算全美第15编程语言全美第22印第安纳大学是少数几个拥有超级计算机的美国大学之一获得美国NSF的1000万美元投资用于建造Jetstream2超级计算机陶鼎文教授在过去5年内在CSRankings高性能计算领域顶会论文数位列全美第1、世界排第2(https://csrankingsorg/#/fromyear/2018/toyear/2023/index?hpc&us)并获得多项重要科研奖项包括NSFCAREER、MetaResearchAward、R&D100创新奖、IEEE高性能计算专委会杰出新人奖等

Thursday, June 1, 2023

Steven Cress

 SA Quantitative Strategy Head

Head of Quantitative Strategies at Seeking Alpha.

Data analysis and interpretation have taken center stage in my career. For my purpose, the interpretation of data is the process of making sense of statistics that have been collected, analyzed, and scored. This skill-set has served as a solid foundation for me to identify trends and make transparent predictions in the course of money management. It has also allowed me to develop user-friendly web-based tools that furnish individuals with the indicators and signals to instantly interpret the strength or weakness of a company's value. Importantly, this expertise has helped me build Wall Street trading desks, launch international hedge funds, and construct a SaaS FinTech investment research company.

Prior to my role at Seeking Alpha as the Head of Quantitative Strategies, I founded a Hedge fund and Asset Management company (Cress Capital Management), I was the Head of International Business Development at Northern Trust, and the majority of my career was at Morgan Stanley running a proprietary trading desk

Here’s how our quant system works

 

Here’s how our quant system works

  • Seeking Alpha's ‘Strong Buy’ quant ratings are the result of powerful computer processing and our special ‘Quantamental’ analysis.
  • From nearly all U.S. securities, our quant algorithm picks stocks with the strongest collective value, growth, profitability, EPS Revisions, and price momentum metrics vs. the peer sector.
  • These attributes are assigned grades that are then weighted to maximize the predictive value. The best stocks are awarded a ‘Strong Buy’ rating.
  • Over the last 12 years, the backtested strategy has delivered very impressive returns, beating the S&P 500 every single year.
  • What’s more, if we look at the performance since inception (December 2009 onwards), our ‘Strong Buy’ stock picks have delivered a staggering return, as you can see above.

To see our current ‘Strong Buy’ stocks, go to the Top Stocks by Quant screener. This screener automatically highlights the best-ranked quant stocks. You can also filter by multiple metrics to pinpoint the most suitable stocks for your investing strategy.

Interview With The 'Quant' Who Beat The Market 3 To 1 (Video)

Quant

 https://seekingalpha.com/performance/quant

Seeking Alpha data is sourced from S&P CapIQ. The backtesting tool employed by Seeking Alpha is ClariFi which is owned by S&P CapIQ. Both of these entities are fully owned by S&P Global.

> Seeking Alpha's Strong Buy recommendations are generated daily by a systematic quantitative model with no human intervention.

> The backtested return does NOT reflect an actual portfolio from an investment product.

> The portfolio return is from a backtested hypothetical portfolio consisting of all the Seeking Alpha Strong Buy Quant stock recommendations.

> The portfolio is rebalanced daily and equally weighted.

> Seeking Alpha's Strong Buy Quant recommendation performance is inclusive of paid dividends, rebalanced daily, with zero transaction costs.

> Commission and transaction costs would lower the return of an actual portfolio.

> Seeking Alpha backtested Strong Buy Quant trades were uploaded to a portfolio and performance attribution system owned by S&P CapIQ.

> The portfolio returns are generated and calculated by S&P CapIQ. > The benchmark in this table is the S&P 500 Total Return Index.

Wednesday, May 31, 2023

Joel Tillinghast: The Art of Investing

 Fleck: Those who don’t read history are doomed to repeat it, is the old adage.

Monday, May 29, 2023

Is Morningstar a good analyst?

 Is Morningstar a good analyst?

Over the past 35+ years, it has developed a swath of independent research, ratings, and tools. Today, Morningstar is one of the most respected stock market analysis firms in the U.S. and is trusted by individuals and professional investors alike. Mar 9, 2023

Annual subscription/ monthly subscription | My plans

 

Annual subscription/ monthly subscription | My plans

May 10, 2022

It is so important for me to get organized and review my subscription and services I got from USA/ Canada. I like to put together a check list so that I can manage better. 


  1. Exponent / monthly subscription, annual subscription $149 per year, renew March 23, 2023 | Paid by US citi credit card
  2. Leetcode / Annual subscription, $159.00, Nov. 11, 2022 | Paid by US citi credit card
  3. SeekingAlpha | Citi credit card | Membership Jan 22 - Dec 22, 2022, 12/14/2021 $179
  4. Google - youtube - free download | GOOGLE*YOUTUBEPREMIUM INTERNET NS | $13.43 | Scotia credit card Auto payment
  5. Microsoft - office software - monthly | MSFT *<E0800IF8XH> MSBILL.INFO ON | $12.32 | Scotia credit card Auto payment
  6. Rogers - monthly payment | ROGERS/FIDO BILL | Scotia credit card Auto payment - $30/ 1GB data
  7. Amazon kindle - unlimited edition - monthly (June 21, Scotia bank visa card $10.49)
  8. Zillow - rental listing - $29.99, Feb. 27, 2022 - one month rental listing charge | Citi credit card | ZILLOW *RENT LISTINGS 866-961-2570 WA
  9.  ENA*APPLIANCEWARRANTY 886-386-5286 NC | $125.03 - 05/01/2021
  10. BROWARDPLUMBING PARKLAND FL | $890 | Citi credit card | 08/09/2021
  11. Skype | Skype Number, 12 month subscription (+1 561 948 xxxx) | Total amount: CAD31.14 | Transaction date: Aug 18, 2021 | 
  12. iRun club membership - $40/ annual
  13. Auto insurance - ICBC - around $1500 Canadian dollars
  14. Auto maintenance - $1,000 Canadian dollars
July 8, 2022
I like to consider the following service: 
  1. Linkedin learning - annual subscription, monthly $24
  2. Udemy courses purchased - $240 dollars - system design - Need to finish those courses first
US citi credit card:


August 16, 2022
Vancouver open 2022 tennis 

Plan to purchase weekday pass, so that I can learn better about tennis


Sept. 6, 2022


Linkedin learning - Annual subscription, $342/ annual subscription, close to $30/ month.

Here is the blog starting my trial subscription. 

Sept. 8, 2022
AWS service 12 months free - Sept. 2021 - Sept. 2022, $28/ month plan - consider to make purchase and learn more about AWS

Oct. 7, 2022


Dec. 11, 2022
Leetcode, $159.00 dollars

Dec. 24, 2022
SeekingAlpha.com, $239.00 

Jan 27, 2023
Cancel tryexponent annual subscription 

Feb. 23, 2023
Sirius streaming service - First three month free - August 2023 - $24.00/ month including GST, PST 12% tax 

Car + Sirius app 

Feb. 24, 2023
Amazon unlimited kindle membership - Cancelled on Feb. 24, 2023 

March 29, 2023
Amazon prime membership $99 annual fee

May 29, 2023
MorningStar subscription - Annual fee $240 US dollars 

Morningstar annual subscription - Day one

Saturday, May 27, 2023

How to Invest with David M. Rubenstein

Here is the link. 


What do most successful investors have in common? David M. Rubenstein, co-founder of The Carlyle Group, has interviewed the greatest investors in the world to discover the time-tested principles and indispensable tools that guide their practices. In his new book, “How to Invest,” Rubenstein reveals the thinking of top investors. Hear his transformative discoveries and advice in this presentation. Moderated by Neil Irwin.

Friday, May 26, 2023

Centerbridge Partners

 Centerbridge Partners is a multi-strategy private investment firm focused on leveraged buyouts and distressed securities.

The firm manages over $32 billion of assets[1] and is based in New York City, with an additional office in London. The firm invests in both control (private equity and public debt with a "loan-to-own" strategy) and non-control (public market debt, public market equities, and other publicly traded securities) opportunities.

The firm [2] was founded in 2005 by Jeffrey Aronson and Mark Gallogly. Aronson had previously been the head of distressed securities and had founded the leveraged loan business at Angelo, Gordon & Co., which he had joined in 1989 from L.F. Rothschild & Co. Gallogly was formerly a senior managing director and head of private equity investments at the Blackstone Group from 2003 until his departure. At Blackstone, Gallogly was heavily involved in the firm's investments in New Skies Satellites and Sirius Satellite Radio among others and had joined the firm in 1989 from Manufacturers Hanover Trust Company, where he worked in acquisition finance.[citation needed]

Thursday, May 25, 2023

SABRE repositions for revenue opportunities, cost savings

 Sabre said it is repositioning the business as part of plans to go after new revenue opportunities and bring down costs.

Job losses are part of the strategy, according to a statement from president and CEO Kurt Ekert, who said the team would be impacted. Ekert added the CEO role in late April after becoming president in late 2021.

 “This is an exciting time to be taking the helm at Sabre," he said. "We operate in a dynamically changing industry, where customers demand modern retailing technologies that deliver innovation at pace and scale. We believe this is the opportune time to drive change at Sabre as well.”

A 15% reduction in employees is expected to be completed by the end of the second quarter which Ekert said would position the company better.

The restructure will cost the company $50 million in 2023 and $20 million in 2023, Sabre said in an analyst call.

The cost saving measures are part of the company's target of $500 million in free cash flow in 2025 and $900 million in adjusted EBITDA.

Reducing costs and boosting free cash flow are just two of Sabre's current priorities with sustainable growth and driving innovation also on the list.

Under the travel solutions business, developments will include global distribution system expansion, a global multi-source B2B lodging platform and further work around airline retailing including NDC.

Sabre also sees opportunity in its payments business following the acquisition of Conferma last summer as well as its partnership with Mastercard to speed up the use of virtual cards for B2B payments.

Growth is also expected to come from the hospitality solutions unit of the company including its Intelligent Retailing offering.

The company also said it is expecting a $200 million cost reduction annually including $100 million in the second half of 2023 put down to the "resource realignment."

For the first three months of 2023, Sabre reported revenue of $743 million compared with $585 million the previous year.

The growth was driven by increases in air, hotel and other travel bookings, the company said, with distribution bookings up 49% compared with Q1 2022.

Sabre’s net loss due to shareholders was $103 million compared with a net income of $42 million for Q1 of 2022 while adjusted EBITDA was $58 million versus $5 million year over year.

Revenue for the travel solutions business increased 27% to $677 million, including distribution revenue, which was up 53% to $526 million, and IT solutions revenue, which declined 21% to $152 million. Hospitality solutions increased almost a third to $74 million, attributed to an increase in central reservation system transactions.

Clayton Magleby Christensen

 Clayton Magleby Christensen (April 6, 1952 – January 23, 2020) was an American academic and business consultant who developed the theory of "disruptive innovation", which has been called the most influential business idea of the early 21st century.[1][2] Christensen introduced "disruption" in his 1997 book The Innovator's Dilemma, and it led The Economist to term him "the most influential management thinker of his time."[3][4] He served as the Kim B. Clark Professor of Business Administration at the Harvard Business School (HBS), and was also a leader and writer in the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (LDS Church).[5] One of the founders of the Jobs to Be Done development methodology.

Christensen was also a co-founder of Rose Park Advisors, a venture capital firm, and Innosight, a management consulting and investment firm specializing in innovation.[6]

SABR | Senior notes

  1.  9.25%  | $775 million | Due 2025
  2. 7.375% | $850 million | Due 2025 
  3. 11.25% | $550 million | Due 2027 

What Type of Bond Is a Senior Note and How Does It Work?

senior notes

 Are senior notes good or bad for stock?

Investing in senior notes poses less risk compared to junior notes or stocks, but it isn't risk-free. During bankruptcy, investors in senior notes get paid only after secured creditors' claims have been paid, and other creditors may have higher-priority claims.

A senior note

 A senior note is a type of bond that takes precedence over other debts in the event that the company declares bankruptcy and is forced into liquidation. Because they carry a lower degree of risk, senior notes pay lower rates of interest than junior bonds.

Wednesday, May 24, 2023

尼克·李森

 

NickLeeson.com

尼克·李森(英语:Nick Leeson,1967年2月25日),曾任英国巴林银行投资交易员。他的交易失利导致英国历史最悠久的投资银行——巴林银行倒闭。

李森从1992年开始隐瞒亏损,伪造买卖纪录,造假交易,仅私下留存粗略的真实交易回报。事件始于1995年1月16日,李森在新加坡东京交易市场进行金融衍生工具投机交易,卖出跨式(又称卖出鞍式,,short straddle,期权交易策略的一种)赌股价指数不会大幅波动。然而,在1月17日发生的阪神大地震重创日本经济,也使得日本股市大跌,而李森的交易也随之遭殃。李森试图补回他的损失,做了一系列风险越来越高的投资决策,赌日经会停止下跌且快速回升;但又再度碰壁,使亏损越积越多。最后,银行发现李森的交易累积了高达14亿美金的损失,也就是银行资本额的两倍。因此导致银行倒闭。

李森逃到马来西亚泰国,最终在德国被逮捕,并且于1995年11月20日被引渡到新加坡。虽然李森在1月16日的交易行为有得到授权,但他仍因欺瞒上级交易风险及损失程度而被起诉。有些评论家认为银行自我审核制度的缺陷和风险管理的陋习占了主要因素,新加坡的官方报告也指出,银行管理的疏失是主要关键,主管早已知悉李森用来作假的账号。判决结果他必须在新加坡的樟宜监狱服刑六年半。李森在1999年出狱,并被诊断出罹患结肠癌

1996年,李森在服刑时发行了他的个人传记《我如何弄垮巴林银行》,书中详细描述他的所作所为。这本书后来在1999年被拍成同名电影(台湾上映时片名改译为《A钱大玩家》),由伊旺·麦奎格安娜·弗瑞尔主演。

尼克·李森现居于爱尔兰西部的哥尔威郡巴纳。虽然此前在狱时离了婚,现在的他已经再婚且成为餐后演说的一般观众。他在2005年4月被任命为加尔威联足球俱乐部的商务经理,并在2011年2月时离职。他仍在操作股市,但仅使用个人资本。

2005年6月23日,尼克·李森推出新书Back from the Brink: Coping with Stress,再续了《A钱大玩家》后尼克·李森的故事。它诉说了尼克·李森完整的个人故事。其中与顶尖心理学家伊凡·提勒尔的深度对谈显示了连续不断的压力如何影响了尼克·李森以及世间大众的心理和生理健康。