FDX stock | FedEx (NYSE:FDX) Given New $305.00 Price Target at Raymond James Financial

 

FedEx (NYSE:FDX) Given New $305.00 Price Target at Raymond James Financial

Written by MarketBeat

December 22, 2025

Key Points

• Raymond James raised its price target on FedEx to $305 (from $255) and kept an "outperform" rating, implying roughly a 5.3% upside from the prior close.
• FedEx beat Q results with EPS of $4.82 vs. $4.02 est. and revenue of $23.47B (up 6.8% Y/Y), and set FY2026 guidance of 17.8–19.0 EPS (street expects ~19.14).
• Analyst views are mixed—the consensus price target is about $299.12 with an average "Hold" rating, even as several firms (e.g., BofA $315, UBS $314) recently raised targets; institutional investors own ~84.5% of the stock.
• MarketBeat previews the top five stocks to own by January 1st.

FedEx (NYSE:FDX - Get Free Report) had its target price raised by analysts at Raymond James Financial from $255.00 to $305.00 in a research report issued to clients and investors on Monday,MarketScreener reports. The firm presently has an "outperform" rating on the shipping service provider's stock. Raymond James Financial's target price indicates a potential upside of 5.28% from the company's previous close.

• FedEx Delivers Good News: The Bottom Is in for This Stock

FDX has been the topic of a number of other reports. Bank of America raised their price objective on FedEx from $285.00 to $315.00 and gave the company a "neutral" rating in a report on Friday. Cowen reiterated a "buy" rating on shares of FedEx in a report on Friday. UBS Group increased their target price on FedEx from $293.00 to $314.00 and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a research note on Friday, September 19th. TD Cowen increased their target price on FedEx from $271.00 to $313.00 and gave the company a "buy" rating in a research note on Friday. Finally, Morgan Stanley upped their price target on shares of FedEx from $200.00 to $210.00 and gave the company an "underweight" rating in a research report on Friday. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fifteen have assigned a Buy rating, thirteen have given a Hold rating and two have given a Sell rating to the company's stock. According to MarketBeat.com, FedEx presently has an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus price target of $299.12.

Institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the company. Grey Fox Wealth Advisors LLC acquired a new position in shares of FedEx in the 3rd quarter worth approximately $27,000. NewSquare Capital LLC boosted its stake in shares of FedEx by 121.8% in the 2nd quarter. NewSquare Capital LLC now owns 122 shares of the shipping service provider's stock valued at $28,000 after purchasing an additional 67 shares during the last quarter. Twin Peaks Wealth Advisors LLC bought a new stake in shares of FedEx during the 2nd quarter valued at $28,000. Wealth Watch Advisors INC acquired a new position in shares of FedEx during the 3rd quarter worth about $28,000. Finally, Ameriflex Group Inc. increased its stake in FedEx by 103.3% in the third quarter. Ameriflex Group Inc. now owns 124 shares of the shipping service provider's stock valued at $29,000 after purchasing an additional 63 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 84.47% of the company's stock.

FedEx Stock Performance

• FedEx Stock Is at Its Bottom—And It May Be Time to Buy

Shares of FDX opened at $289.71 on Monday. The stock has a market capitalization of $68.36 billion, a P/E ratio of 16.01, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.49 and a beta of 1.32. FedEx has a 12 month low of $194.29 and a 12 month high of $290.56. The firm's fifty day simple moving average is $262.33 and its two-hundred day simple moving average is $241.55. The company has a current ratio of 1.25, a quick ratio of 1.21 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73.

FedEx (NYSE:FDX - Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, December 18th. The shipping service provider reported $4.82 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts' consensus estimates of $4.02 by $0.80. FedEx had a return on equity of 16.72% and a net margin of 4.81%.The company had revenue of $23.47 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $22.79 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the firm earned $4.05 earnings per share. FedEx's revenue for the quarter was up 6.8% on a year-over-year basis. FedEx has set its FY 2026 guidance at 17.800-19.000 EPS. As a group, analysts predict that FedEx will post 19.14 EPS for the current year.

Institutional Trading of FedEx

著名大空头：美国AI发展依赖英伟达注定输给中国

 电影《大卖空》原型人物贝瑞表示，美国若不从英伟达芯片目前的发展轨迹转向，将在全球AI竞争中注定输给中国。（图／路透社／达志影像）

以精准预测2008年次贷危机闻名、电影《大卖空》原型人物麦可贝瑞（Michael Burry），今（20）日在社群网络上再度示警，称美国若不从英伟达芯片目前的发展轨迹转向，将在全球AI竞争中注定输给中国。

贝瑞秀出《彭博》以国际能源总署（IEA）数据制作的图表，可以看到中国的已安装发电产能遥遥领先美国，且双方的差距仍在迅速扩大中。

贝瑞表示，英伟达的发展路线图本质上就是一张耗电量成长路线图，所谓的创新，实际上仅仅只是设法替更大、更热的芯片供电和散热。由于运算装置的安装速度，已经超过发电效率提升的幅度，对电力的需求只能不断攀升。

但从上面那张图表已经可以看到，这并不是美国能够取胜的道路。因为中国的发电量遥遥领先，且关键在于中国电力生产发展的速度与美国的差距还在持续扩大中。

贝瑞指出，由于审批问题，美国的电网发展实际上正在放缓，相较之下，中国则在不受限制地根据电力输出需求建设输电网络。贝瑞强调，如果这被视为是一场AI军备竞赛，那么美国企业正把资本大量投入在结构上注定失败的竞赛之中。

因此，贝瑞认为美国需要摆脱“芯片越做越大、越来越耗电”的路线，转而全力投入发展AI专用芯片（ASIC）的创新。但是，英伟达透过对众多美国重要AI企业和新创公司的投资与合作协议，已经牢牢掌控着美国AI生态系的发展。

贝瑞表示，美国司法部反垄断部门正在进行调查，且理应采取行动，但川普很可能会出面阻止。因此，最终这只能由市场自行发现：大型语言模型（LLM）并非实现通用人工智能（AGI）或超人工智能（ASI）的正确途径，进而停止这种恶性循环。贝瑞说，“问题是，美国最大的企业能否完成这样的转向？”

FDX chart | Earnings gap up | 5 min chart | Trades analysis

 

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高级期权策略深度解析：螃蟹交易 (Crab Trade) 完全笔记

 最近接触到一个期权策略：“螃蟹策略(Crab Trade) ” 。感觉有点意思，于是做了个笔记，包括其核心思想、构建与应用、风险管理，并将其与其他相关收入型策略进行深度对比，以形成一个完整的了解。

1. 策略核心思想与盈利逻辑

• • 核心比喻：策略如其名，适用于预测股价不会发生剧烈涨跌，而是会像螃蟹一样横盘整理或小幅温和爬行的行情。
• • 策略目标：它并非追求方向性暴利的策略，而是一种收入型策略。其主要目标是通过卖出期权收取权利金，赚取市场稳定下的确定性收益。
• • 三大盈利引擎：
• • 时间价值衰减 (Theta Decay)：作为最主要的利润来源，策略中卖出的短期期权（蟹腿）价值会随着时间流逝而快速衰减。
• • 隐含波动率挤压 (IV Crush)：在财报等重大事件结束后，市场不确定性消除，期权的隐含波动率 (IV) 会大幅下降，导致卖出的期权价格下跌，从而获利。
• • 温和的方向性收益 (Delta)：如果股价朝预期的方向温和移动，策略的“身体”部分也会贡献一部分利润。

2. 策略构建详解：从理论到实践

策略由一个较长期的“身体”和一个或多个较短期的“蟹腿”组成。

• • 看涨螃蟹策略 (Bullish Crab Trade)
• • 预期：股价将横盘或温和上涨。
• • 身体 (Body)：构建一个较长期的看涨价差组合 (Bull Call Spread)。
• • 动作：买入一张较低行权价的Call，同时卖出一张较高行权价的Call。
• • 为何用价差组合？：相比只买一张Call，价差组合成本更低、风险更可控、时间损耗更小，是更稳定、更符合策略精神的“锚”。
• • 蟹腿 (Legs)：卖出数量更多的短期看涨期权 (Short Calls)。
• • 动作：卖出2份或更多的、即将到期的看涨期权。
• • 目的：策略的核心利润引擎，旨在一次性收取大量权利金。
• • 看跌螃蟹策略 (Bearish Crab Trade)
• • 预期：股价将横盘或温和下跌。
• • 身体 (Body)：构建一个较长期的看跌价差组合 (Bear Put Spread)。
• • 蟹腿 (Legs)：卖出数量更多的短期看跌期权 (Short Puts)。

3. 实战应用：标的与参数选择

• • 如何选择股票标的：
• • 高隐含波动率：寻找因财报等事件导致IV膨胀的股票，这是利润的燃料。
• • 高流动性：期权交易量必须大，买卖价差要窄。首选大型科技股和指数ETF。
• • 股性稳健：避开历史上走势极端的“妖股”，选择业务成熟、走势相对稳健的公司。
• • 如何选择行权价与Delta值：
• • 构建“身体”：
• • 买入腿 (Long Leg)：通常选择 Delta 0.30 - 0.50，以建立温和的方向性。
• • 卖出腿 (Short Leg)：通常选择 Delta 0.15 - 0.25，以定义利润区间的上限。
• • 构建“蟹腿”：
• • 行权价：通常设置在“身体”卖出腿的行权价之上（看涨）或之下（看跌），构建坚固防线。

4. 风险管理：当策略失效时

当市场走势与预期相反，出现极端行情时，必须将风险控制置于首位。

• • 首选方案：直接认亏平仓
• • 这是最专业、最理智的选择，能有效停止亏损、避免情绪化决策、遵守交易纪律。当股价突破关键防线或亏损达到预设上限时，应果断执行。
• • 备选方案：事后调整/补救（高级技巧）
• • 警告：此方案目标是减少亏损，而非扭亏为盈，操作不当会加剧亏损。
• • 主要方法：滚动 (Rolling)。当股价突破“蟹腿”时，可买回当前的“蟹腿”，同时卖出行权价更高/更低、到期日更远的新“蟹腿”，以空间和时间换取转机，但这本质上是追加了新的风险。

5. 核心策略对比：知其所以然

• • 螃蟹策略 vs. Iron Condor (铁鹰策略)
• • 核心区别：方向性与风险结构。
• • Iron Condor：是纯中性策略，两侧风险均有限，像一个不倒翁，赌股价横盘。
• • 螃蟹策略：带温和偏向性，但一侧风险无限，像一个倾斜的帐篷，希望股价能温和爬升/下降。
• • 螃蟹策略 vs. 对角价差 (Diagonal Spread)
• • 核心区别：合约数量比例。
• • 对角价差：是 1 : 1 结构，风险有限，主要目标是降低长期持仓成本，如同“收房租补贴房贷”。
• • 螃蟹策略：是 1 : N (N>1) 结构，一侧风险无限，主要目标是激进地收取短期权利金，如同“加盖多个阳光房来出租”，收入高但风险也集中于此。它本质上是对角价差与比例价差的混合体。