Monday, December 23, 2019

Bear market and long term investment - series 1 of 10

Dec. 23, 2019


Introduction


It is the important project for me to work on. I like to call bear market research. I like to work on the topic, and also prepare 2020 bear market. I like to behave better compared to 2001 and 2009. I like to break down the article written by Vanguard principal analyst Gregory Davis into 10 small blogs. I like to follow up with some research. 


Learn from Vanguard analysis


Here is the article. 

当长期投资遇到“熊市”我们该怎么办?


过去30年里,全球股市在牛市中给投资者创造的回报是远多于熊市中所产生的亏损的。


Actionable Items


I like to write down those numbers, and memorize the history data. It is hard for me to prepare 2020 bear market. I like to do my best to prepare since I have 50% asset in the market. 

Bear market 
1980 - 20 months - -28%

Maximum length of recession is 30 months, 2000 to 2002, -51%

What is MSCI world index? 
What is MSCI AC world index? 




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